Dundalk VS St. Patricks Athletic

Dundalk welcome St. Patricks for Irish Premier Division round 25 clash at Oriel Park in Dundalk early Tuesday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is surprisingly low taking into account that Ireland has a pretty strong football culture and their national team plays at a decent level. Even the Finnish Veikkausliiga is of a better level than the Irish Premier League. Most talented Irish players leave their home country at an early age to play in the UK and elsewhere in Europe. However, we can expect a pretty good match here by this league's standards between the two top-5 teams. Dundalk currently occupy the 5th place in the standings with 33 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 37.02. Last season they grabbed a total of 66 points and finished in 3rd place. St. Patricks, on the other hand, ended up in 4th place with 61 points in their pocket. Yes, Dundalk are not as strong as last season but the drop in their level is still small. They have netted the ball 33 times in this league so far this season but it is interesting that in fact their number of expected goals (xG) is marginally smaller.. They have conceded 29 goals so far but in reality their defense is much better than this number would suggest! Their number of goals allowed (xGA) is just 24.12. Their defense has a good structure and the midfielders do actively participate in defending. Silly defensive mistakes still do happen but have become more rare than in early season. At home they have been strong this season and have lost just twice in this league in front of their loyal and pretty loud fans. They have not suffered a defeat at home in any of the most recent five games – winning 3/5. St. Patrick have not been bad on the road this season but have still lost 5/11 away games.

St. Patricks have taken 38 points so far and their number of xPTS is 37.56. Offensively they are definitely better than the hosts and have netted the ball 38 times. They have allowed 30 goals and their number of xGA is 30.45. Indeed, defensively the hosts have a clear edge. As a whole – with the expected lineups – the teams are equal based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis. Dundalk have been in fine form recently winning three games in a row and look high in confidence. According to my sources they also have a very good team spirit. In their most recent match they defeated Drogheda away from home 2-1. They had 57% ball possession and recorded more shots on goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before this they were not at their best but still beat Cork City on the road. Furthermore, on the 5th of June they easily crushed UC Dublin 4-1 at home. This team is a weak one though. The visitors have achieved pretty good results recently. However, on the pitch they have been a little erratic. They did beat Shelbourne at home 1-0 in their most recent game as clear favorites – priced around 1.80 to win by the bookies. The visitors had 60% ball possession and recorded more attacks, dangerous attacks and shots off goal (10-5). Both teams had 10 goal attempts but the hosts did have many more shots on goal. I was not impressed by St. Patricks' performance and they would have to improve or get lucky to win today. Before this they were lame and lost to Drogheda 1-2 away from home as solid favorites on the betting market. Drogheda had just 52% ball possession but recorded many more attacks, dangerous attacks, goal attempts (17-9), shots on and off goal as well as generated more in xG. The biggest bookies see the visitors as very slim favorites here offering them odds of around 2.60 to take all three points but in my opinion the hosts are the favorites with a 43% chance of winning!

邓多克VS圣帕特里克竞技队

北京时间周二凌晨，爱尔兰超级联赛第25轮将在敦多克的奥里尔公园球场迎来圣帕特里克队。考虑到爱尔兰有很强的足球文化，他们的国家队踢得也不错，这个联赛的水平低得惊人。就连芬兰联赛也比爱尔兰超级联赛高。大多数才华横溢的爱尔兰球员在很小的时候就离开了自己的祖国，去英国和欧洲其他地方踢球。然而，我们可以期待这两支排名前五的球队之间的一场非常好的比赛。邓多克目前以33分排名第五。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)是37.02。上赛季他们总共拿到了66分，排名第三。另一方面，圣帕特里克队以61分排名第四。是的，邓多克没有上赛季那么强大，但他们的水平下降仍然很小。本赛季到目前为止，他们在联赛中有33次进球，但有趣的是，他们的预期进球数(xG)略少…到目前为止，他们已经丢了29个球，但实际上他们的防守比这个数字所显示的要好得多!他们的失球(xGA)只有24.12个。他们的防守结构很好，中场球员积极参与防守。愚蠢的防守失误仍然会发生，但比赛季初更少了。在主场，他们本赛季一直很强大，在他们忠实的球迷面前只输了两场。在最近的5场比赛中，他们在主场没有输过一场，以3比5获胜。圣帕特里克本赛季在客场表现不错，但在客场仍输球5/11。

圣帕特里克到目前为止已经得到38分，他们的得分是37.56分。在进攻端，他们绝对比东道主强，他们已经打进38球。他们丢了30个球，进球数是30.45个。的确，东道主在防守上有明显的优势。根据我的深入分析，总的来说，在预期的阵容下，两支球队是平等的。邓多克最近状态不错，连赢了三场比赛，看起来信心十足。据我所知，他们也有很好的团队精神。在最近的一场比赛中，他们客场2-1击败了德罗海达。他们有57%的控球率，记录了更多的射门、进攻和危险进攻。在此之前，他们虽然状态不佳，但仍然在客场击败了科克城。此外，6月5日，他们在主场以4比1轻松击败了都柏林大学。不过这支球队实力不强。来访者最近取得了相当不错的成绩。然而，在球场上他们有点不稳定。在最近的一场比赛中，他们确实在主场以1比0击败谢尔本，成为明显的夺冠热门——博彩公司开出的胜率约为1.8英镑。客队拥有60%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进攻、危险进攻和射门(10胜5负)。两队都有10次进球尝试，但主队的射门次数确实更多。我对圣帕特里克队的表现印象不深，他们必须提高，或者运气好才能赢得今天的比赛。在此之前，他们表现不佳，在客场1-2输给了德罗海达，成为了博彩市场上最受欢迎的球队。德罗海达只有52%的控球率，但他的进攻、危险进攻、射门次数(17-9次)、射门次数和射门次数都更多，而且在禁区内创造了更多的机会。最大的博彩公司认为客队是非常小的热门球队，提供2.60左右的赔率来获得所有三分，但在我看来，东道主是最有希望的，有43%的获胜机会!