A fine match to bet on! 美职足 奥兰多VS费城
2023-06-22

Tapio

外籍分析师

美职足

06/22 07:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Orlando City VS Philadelphia Union


Orlando host Philapdelphia Union at Exploria Stadium for this MLS battle Thursday morning Beijing time. The level of football in MLS has raised significantly during the past 10 or so years. Teams from both USA and Canada play in this league. Most teams play entertaining, aggressive and offensive football – at least in the regular season games. Entertaining the crowd is considered important in the US – the same is true in the NBA and NHL (ice-hockey). There are many experienced, older ex-star players from the big European leagues playing and many young and talented younger players mainly from South America playing in this league. Football fans as us serious football bettors can expect good entertainment here as well! The goal expectancy here is bigger than the betting market estimates. The probability of over 2.5 goals to be scored is 57%. The main rationale behind this view is the fact that Philadephia have strong offense. Indeed, they have scored 27 goals in the MLS so far this season. Their number of expected goals (xG) is even much higher – 32.09 to be precise. Their defense has been solid so far and they have allowed 17 goals in the MLS. For example Cincinnati, the the top team in the Eastern Conference with 40 points to their account, have allowed just one goal less. However, Philadelphia have potential to improve defensively even further! I trust their coach a lot to work on the defensive structure and motivate the midfielers to be more active in defensing – especially when they are protecting the lead. Orlando's defense is okay but the number of goals allowed in MLS – 20 – is still misleading! Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 24.12! The defenders do make quite a few silly mistakes, especially against the top-teams but they have been lucky in many games in a sense that the opponent has failed to capitalize on the the dangerous scoring chances. Philadelphia Unions' dangerous strikers probably will though and I would not be surprised to see them score even more than twice today.. It is a bit weird to see the hosts as favorites here in the eyes of the biggest bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers. These bookies offer Orlando odds of around 2.50 to win. Based on my sophisticated analysis they are slim favorites here. The +0.5 goals handicap them is an excellent betting option! In fact, they have lost just one of their latest 7 games. This happened in their latets game against San Jose but the loss was unlucky.



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奥兰多VS费城联盟


北京时间周四上午,奥兰多主场迎战费城联盟队。在过去的十多年里,美国职业足球大联盟的足球水平有了显著的提高。美国和加拿大的球队都参加这个联赛。大多数球队踢的是娱乐性强、进攻性强的足球——至少在常规赛中是这样。娱乐观众在美国被认为是很重要的,在NBA和NHL(冰球)中也是如此。在这个联赛中,有许多来自欧洲各大联赛的经验丰富、年龄较大的前明星球员,也有许多年轻而有天赋的年轻球员,主要来自南美。球迷们,我们这些认真的足球投注者,也可以期待在这里得到很好的娱乐!这里的进球预期比博彩市场估计的要大。进球超过2.5个的概率是57%。这种观点背后的主要理由是费城有强大的进攻。事实上,本赛季到目前为止,他们已经在美国职业大联盟打入了27个进球。他们的预期进球数(xG)甚至更高——准确地说是32.09个。到目前为止,他们的防守一直很稳固,他们在美国职业大联盟中丢了17个球。例如,在东部排名第一的辛辛那提队,他们的账上有40分,只少丢了一个球。然而,费城有潜力进一步提高防守!我非常信任他们的教练在防守结构上的努力,并激励中场球员在防守中更加积极——尤其是在他们保护领先优势的时候。奥兰多的防守还可以,但是大联盟的失球数——20个——仍然是误导!他们的预期进球(xGA)是24.12!后卫确实犯了不少愚蠢的错误,特别是面对顶级球队时,但他们在很多比赛中都很幸运,因为对手没有抓住危险的得分机会。费城工会的危险的罢工者可能会,但是我不会惊讶看到他们今天进了两个以上的球。在接受客户最大投注的最大博彩公司眼中,东道主是最受欢迎的,这有点奇怪。这些博彩公司给奥兰多的赔率约为2.50。根据我复杂的分析,他们在这里的胜算不大。+0.5个进球对他们来说是一个绝佳的投注选择!事实上,他们在最近的7场比赛中只输了一场。这种情况发生在他们最近一场对阵圣何塞的比赛中,但他们输得很不幸。

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