A FINE match to bet on! $$$
2023-06-21

Tapio

外籍分析师

芬兰杯

06/21 23:30

已完赛

解读理由:

SalPa vs Inter Turku


SalPa welcome visitors from Turku in Salo for this Finnish Cup 1/8-finals late Tuesday evening Beijing time. By European standards we cannot expect a high-level game here. Salo is a small city near Turku. They do not have a big number of fans and the home advantage is here is much smaller than on average in this competition. A decent number of Inter Turku fans are expected to be in Salo supporting the team today. The visitors play in the Veikkausliiiga, the first tier of Finnish football. They currently occupy the 6th place in the standings with 14 point to their account. However, they have played just 9 games so far! Some teams have played 13 games already. They are in the 5th place in my power rating that reflects the teams’ pure class. Inter Turku are a traditional, good club in Veikkausliiga who even won the championship in the last decade.. Last season they even played in the UEFA Champions League qualification but did not succeed well, mainly due to losing their key striker, Benjamin Källman. The opponent was also strong. They have clearly improved from early season as key players have raised their level recently. They also have a good coach, Jarkko Wiss. He is a strict coach but seems to suit Inter Turku well.

SalPa are a young and experienced team who are currently in 9th place in the Ykkönen standings with 10 points in the pocket. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 8.21. The difference between Veikakusliiga and Ykkönen is substantial! The Ykkönen teams have a significantly lower players’ salary budgets than any Veikkausliiga club. This is the case when comparing Inter and SalPa too. In terms of players’ total market value according to a German website, Transfermarkt.com, too Inter Turku are at a completely different level. The hosts are a small team even by Ykkönen standards and were promoted to this league from Kakkonen for this season. I expect them to struggle in Ykkönen but are still not the worst team in this league. They were pretty strong early season but have now lost four games in a row and have clearly declined. Inter on the other hand have won 5/7 of their latest matches. In their most recent match in the Finnish Cup they crushed Inter Turku II 8-0!The biggest, sometimes rather sharp bookies offer the visitors odds of around 1.65 to win by at least two goals’ margin. This is definitely too high. Inter are massively better in all areas of the game and are gigantic favorites here. They have a good chance of winning this competition!



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萨尔帕vs国际图尔库


北京时间周二晚,萨尔帕在萨洛欢迎来自图尔库的游客观看芬兰杯1/8决赛。按照欧洲的标准,我们不能期望在这里有一场高水平的比赛。萨洛是图尔库附近的一个小城市。他们没有很多球迷,主场优势也比这项比赛的平均水平小得多。今天将有相当数量的国际图尔库球迷来到萨洛支持球队。客队在芬兰甲级联赛维科斯利加踢球。他们目前在积分榜上排名第六,积分为14分。然而,到目前为止他们只打了9场比赛!有些球队已经打了13场比赛了。他们在我的力量排名中排名第五,这反映了球队的纯粹等级。国际图尔库是维克考斯利加一个传统的好俱乐部,他们甚至在过去的十年里赢得了冠军。上赛季他们甚至参加了欧冠资格赛,但没有取得好成绩,主要原因是失去了他们的关键前锋本杰明Källman。对手也很强大。他们从赛季初开始就有了明显的进步,关键球员最近都提高了水平。他们也有一个很好的教练,Jarkko Wiss。他是一个严格的教练,但似乎很适合国际图尔库。

SalPa是一支年轻而经验丰富的球队,目前在Ykkönen积分榜上排名第9位,有10个积分。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)仅为8.21。Veikakusliiga和Ykkönen之间的差异是巨大的!Ykkönen球队的球员工资预算明显低于任何一家维克考斯利亚俱乐部。这也是比较国米和巴萨的情况。根据德国网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,就球员的总市值而言,国际图尔库也处于完全不同的水平。即使按照Ykkönen的标准,主队也是一支小球队,本赛季从Kakkonen升入该联赛。我预计他们会在Ykkönen中挣扎,但仍然不是联盟中最差的球队。他们在赛季初非常强大,但现在已经连输四场,明显下滑。另一方面,国际米兰在最近的比赛中赢了5/7。在芬兰杯的最近一场比赛中,他们以8-0击败了国际图尔库II队!最大的,有时相当精明的博彩公司给客队开出了1.65左右的赔率,以至少两个球的优势获胜。这确实太高了。国米在比赛的各个方面都要好得多,是这里最受欢迎的球队。他们很有可能赢得这场比赛!

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