Is really Scotland favorite here?
2023-06-20

Borja

外籍分析师

欧预赛

06/21 02:45

已完赛

苏格兰
1:0
格鲁吉亚
解读理由:

Scotland, who have a very weak squad, were very lucky in this Qualifiers so far. They have three victories in a row, are now the leaders of the group and managed to beat Spain, Norway and Cyprus so far.

Cyprus is normal, because is one of the worst teams in the tournament. But against Spain were very lucky, as found an early goal by McTominay which allowed them to play their best football (defensive + counters), whilst against Norway managed to score two lucky goals in the last minutes (87’ and 90’) to win 1:2 in a very lucky game where they were outplayed and deserved to lose.

They are showing a level which isn’t real, are clearly over performing and sooner or later will go down again. Scotland achieved their big wins vs Spain and Norway in games where they defended, had little possession and countered. Now they will have to have most of the ball and hold the initiative, while Georgia will counter.

On the other hand, Georgia is a team who is improving a lot recently: only one defeat in their last 15 international fixtures, which was a friendly against Morocco (who showed in the World Cup how strong they are). Between these games are strong teams such as Sweden and Norway. Georgia played a great game against Norway in the Qualifiers, where they drew 1:1 in a result we could consider fair. They also beat Cyprus 1:2.

Georgia has a decent squad, with Kvaratskhelia leading them and managing their longest unbeaten streak in their history (10 official games).

If we compare the squad name by name, they are pretty similar. These odds are offered just due to the over-performances of Scotland against Norway and Spain, but they shouldn’t be such favorites here. The kind of match that will be played here is better for Georgia, as Scotland isn’t a team accustomed to dominate or have the ball, so they will surely struggle.

Georgia has a very pacy and suitable players to play fixtures as visitors with counter attacks.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

苏格兰的阵容很弱,在预选赛中到目前为止还很幸运。他们已经取得了三连胜,现在是小组第一,目前已经成功击败了西班牙、挪威和塞浦路斯。

塞浦路斯很正常,因为他们是联赛中表现最差的球队之一。但是对阵西班牙的比赛我们非常幸运,麦克托米奈在比赛一开始就打进了一个进球,这让他们发挥出了最好的足球(防守+反击),而对阵挪威的比赛他们在最后几分钟(87 '和90 ')打进了两个幸运的进球,以1:2的比分取胜。

他们表现出的水平是不真实的,显然表现过度,迟早会再次下降。苏格兰队在对阵西班牙和挪威的比赛中取得了重大胜利,他们在比赛中防守、控球和反击都很少。现在他们将不得不拥有大部分球权并掌握主动权,而格鲁吉亚将会反击。

另一方面,格鲁吉亚是一支最近进步很大的球队:在最近的15场国际比赛中,他们只输了一场,那就是对摩洛哥的友谊赛(摩洛哥在世界杯上展示了他们的实力)。在这些比赛之间是瑞典和挪威这样的强队。格鲁吉亚在预选赛中对挪威打了一场精彩的比赛,他们1:1战平,我们认为结果是公平的。他们也以1:2击败了塞浦路斯。

格鲁吉亚有一支不错的球队,由克瓦拉茨基利亚带领,并创造了他们历史上最长的不败纪录(10场正式比赛)。

如果我们逐个比较球队的名字,他们是非常相似的。这样的赔率只是因为苏格兰在对阵挪威和西班牙的比赛中表现出色,但在这里他们不应该如此受欢迎。在这里进行的比赛对格鲁吉亚来说更好,因为苏格兰不是一支习惯于控制或控球的球队,所以他们肯定会挣扎。

格鲁吉亚拥有速度非常快的球员,适合作为客队进行反击。

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