70% WINS RECENTLY! GREAT ODDS! 日联赛杯 大阪樱花VS大阪钢巴
2023-06-18

Ricards

外籍分析师

日联赛杯

06/18 17:00

已完赛

解读理由:

On Sunday afternoon, J-League Cup is having a couple of games and one of them will be between Cerezo and Gamba. After 5 games, Cerezo has 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses, a total of 5 points and 4th place while Gamba has 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, a total of 7 points and 3rd place. In this game, I'm predicting that Cerezo won't lose.

Cerezo is having a good streak as they have 5 wins and 1 draw in the last 7 games. The only loss was on the road against Nagoya although they had 66% ball control and 2 more shots in total. At home, the team has won 3 games in a row. With only 5 games played in the J-League Cup, it is better to look at stats from the J1 League. Cerezo this season has 5 wins and 1 draw in 9 home games, with a total of 13 goals scored and 10 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 0.96 goals at home and concede 1.36 but per xG in the J-League Cup, they have 2.08 expected goals and 1.35 conceded.

Gamba has won 3 out of the last 4 games. All wins have been in the J1 League and 2 of them were on the road. At the same time, in the win against Albirex (3:1) they had only 28% ball control, 12 fewer shots in total and 4 fewer shots on target while their xG's were almost equal. A similar story was against Fukuoka when their xG's were almost identical. Prior to these wins, Gamba lost 6 games in a row away from home. In the J1 League this season, Gamba has 2 wins and 1 draw in 9 road games, with a total of 10 goals scored and 22 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.25 goals on the road and concede 1.70 (4th worst) while in the J-League Cup, they are expected to score 1.27 goals and concede 1.33.

There's one interesting thing about this matchup. In the last 7 games between both teams, Cerezo has won 5 times and 2 games ended with a draw. Gamba struggles to win in these matchups as Cerezo has been much better. If we are talking about this game, I'm thinking that it won't be easy for either of the teams but I'm expecting Cerezo to get at least a point. This is Osaka's derby, this game means much for both teams and the concentration level should be very high but Cerezo has performed better this season overall.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周日下午,j联赛杯有几场比赛,其中一场将在塞雷佐和甘巴之间进行。5场比赛后,塞雷佐1胜2平2负,共积5分,排名第4;甘巴2胜1平1负,共积7分,排名第3。在这个游戏中,我预测Cerezo不会输。

塞雷佐在最近7场比赛中取得了5胜1平的好成绩。唯一的失败是在客场对阵名古屋,尽管他们有66%的控球率和2次射门。在主场,球队已经连续赢了3场比赛。在j联赛杯中只打了5场比赛,最好看看j联赛的数据。本赛季塞雷佐在9场主场比赛中取得5胜1平的成绩,进13球失10球。据预测,韩国队在主场的平均进球数为0.96球,失球数为1.36球,但在j联赛杯的平均进球数为2.08球,失球数为1.35球。

甘巴在最近4场比赛中赢了3场。所有的胜利都是在J1联赛,其中2场是在客场取得的。与此同时,在3:1战胜阿尔比雷克斯的比赛中,他们的控球率只有28%,射门次数少了12次,射正次数少了4次,而他们的射门次数几乎持平。类似的故事发生在对福冈队的比赛中,当时他们的xG几乎完全相同。在这些胜利之前,甘巴在客场连输6场。在本赛季的J1联赛中,甘巴在9场客场比赛中取得了2胜1平的成绩,共进10球失22球。据预测,在客场比赛中,韩国队的平均进球数为1.25球,失球数为1.70球(倒数第4位),而在j联赛杯比赛中,韩国队的平均进球数为1.27球,失球数为1.33球。

这场比赛有一件有趣的事情。在两队最近的7场比赛中,塞雷佐取得了5场胜利,2场战平。甘巴在这些比赛中很难取胜,因为塞雷佐的表现要好得多。如果我们谈论这场比赛,我认为这对任何一支球队来说都不容易,但我希望塞雷佐至少能得到一分。这是大阪的德比,这场比赛对两支球队来说都很重要,我们的注意力应该非常集中,但塞雷佐本赛季的整体表现更好。

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