Omiya Ardija VS Fujieda

Omiya Ardija host Fujieda MYFC for this Japanese J2 League round 20 battle at NACK5 Stadium Omiya in Saitama. This is the second-highest level of Japanese football. Japan is a strong football country but the level of this league is only decent by global standards. The level of this league is much lower than that of J1 League. We cannot expect a particularly good-level game here by J2 League standards between these teams that are not among the top-10. The hosts had a very bad last season and finished in 19th place last season in this league with a total of 22 clubs. They grabbed a total of 43 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) was only 38.98. They had an abysmal score difference of 48:64. This season they have been even worse! I expected them to be worse than last season but have been surprised to see them being this lame. It seems the bookies do not fully seem to realize their current level. They are currently in last place with just 14 points in the pocket. However, they are in the second-last place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. Their number of xPTS is only moderately higher than the actual 14 points. Omiya Ardija have netted the ball just 16 times in this league so far . This is the second-lowest number in this league! Only Iwaki (21th place) have scored less goals. The hosts' offense lacks everything needed to score enough goals. Indeed, their offense lacks structure, speed, creativity and passing accuracy near the opponent's goal. This often makes it easy for the opponent - not only the top teams - to defend successfully.. I see them having only limited potential for improvement in this area of the game.. I also do not trust their coach in terms of tactics going into this game against a stronger opponent. Furthermore, according to my sources their team spirit is very far from optimal..

I have to admit that I may have underestimated Fujieda a little in my in-depth preseason analysis but I have now raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class and they are now 15th place in this ranking. The team has modest financial resources and do not look very strong on paper but play well as a team and really fight hard in every game. They were promoted to this level for this season but do belong in J2 League! In the league table they are in 14th place with 25 points in their pocket. They have been surprisingly effient offensively but will almost certainly score less goals per game as the season progresses though.. They have netted the ball 28 times.. Their defense is, however, not very solid and they have allowed 30 goals. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is only 25.12. Moreover, they have potential to improve their defense.. The defenders, midfielders and the goalkeeper should communicate better with each other to avoid wrong decisions under pressure. The hosts' defense is, however, much more leaky! Their defense is often a total ”mess”. The structure is poor and silly individual mistakes are frequent. Moreover, the midfielders are often lazy and too late when defending. Their number of xGA is a whopping 35.67. For example on the 27th of May they were beaten by Kofu 1-5 away from home and looked terribly vulnerable defensively! They have been in horrible form for a long time. Indeed, they have won just once and lost nine times in their latest 12 games! They are obviously low in confidence.. The win they managed to grab on Wednesday away from home over Chiba 1-0 in an Emperor's Cup game. However, they were not impressive and had plenty of luck on their side. I also want to mention that Chiba played below their normal level in this game.

Fujieda lost their most recent game on Wednesday away from home against Vegalta Sendai as very clear underdogs – priced around 4.50 to win by the bookies to win in regulation time. However, they pushed the hosts well and could easily have forced an extra time.. Before this they took two draws and a one win.. They were pretty good in these games! The match they won was against Tokushima, currently in 18th place. It was a 3-0 home win but the match was, in reality, more balanced though. Both teams had three shots on goal and Tokushima even recorded more attacks - 80-70. On the road they, however, lack confidence to control the ball and be active which often results in them being under huge pressure especially against the better teams.. This probably affects the odds too much here.. Indeed, the hosts are expected to be so bad that they probably will not be able to exploit Fujieda's weaknesses.. The odds offered on the hosts to win by the biggest bookies with the largest betting limits are around 2.35 at the time of writing this analysis Saturday morning Beijing time and this is definitely too low! Unless some unexpected news about the starting lineups appears I expect the Fujieda's odds to drop as smart money should pile up on them.. They deserve to be solid favorites here with a 39% chance of winning!

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大宫松鼠VS藤枝MYFC

日本J2联赛第20轮比赛将在埼玉县的NACK5体育场举行。这是日本足球的第二高水平。日本是一个强大的足球国家，但这个联赛的水平在全球标准下还算不错。这个联赛的水平比J1联赛低得多。按照J2联赛的标准，我们不能指望这些不在前十的球队之间有一场特别高水平的比赛。东道主上赛季的表现非常糟糕，在联赛中总共有22家俱乐部，排名第19位。他们总共拿到了43分，但是他们的期望分数(xPTS)只有38.98分。他们的得分差是48:64。这个赛季他们更糟糕了!我本以为他们会比上赛季更糟糕，但看到他们这么差劲，我感到很惊讶。看来博彩公司似乎还没有完全意识到他们目前的水平。他们目前仅积14分排在最后一名。然而，他们在我反映球队纯粹级别的力量评级中排名倒数第二。他们的xPTS数量仅略高于实际的14点。到目前为止，奥米亚·阿迪贾在联赛中只打进了16球。这是联盟第二低的数据!只有岩城(第21位)的进球数比他少。东道主的进攻缺乏取得足够进球所需的一切。的确，他们的进攻缺乏结构、速度、创造力和在对手门前传球的准确性。这通常使对手——不仅仅是顶级球队——很容易成功防守。我认为他们在这方面的改进潜力有限。我也不相信他们的教练在面对强大对手时的战术。此外，根据我的消息来源，他们的团队精神远非最佳…

我不得不承认，在季前赛的深入分析中，我可能低估了藤田，但我现在提高了他们的实力评级，这反映了球队的纯粹等级，他们现在在这个排名中排名第15位。这支球队的财力并不雄厚，从纸面上看也不是很强，但作为一支球队，他们踢得很好，每场比赛都很努力。他们本赛季升到了这个级别，但确实属于J2联赛!在积分榜上，他们以25分排在第14位。他们的进攻效率惊人，但随着赛季的进展，他们的场均进球数肯定会减少。他们已经射门28次了。然而，他们的防守并不稳固，他们丢了30个球。然而，他们的预期进球数(xGA)只有25.12个。此外，他们有潜力提高自己的防御能力。后卫、中场和守门员之间应该更好地沟通，避免在压力下做出错误的决定。然而，东道主的防御却漏洞百出!他们的防守通常是一团“乱”。它的结构很差，而且经常出现愚蠢的个人错误。此外，中场球员往往很懒，防守时也太迟了。他们的xGA数是惊人的35.67。例如，5月27日，他们在客场1-5输给了神户，防守不堪一击!很长一段时间以来，他们一直处于糟糕的状态。事实上，在最近的12场比赛中，他们只赢了一场，输了9场!他们显然信心不足。周三，他们在主场1-0战胜千叶的天皇杯比赛中取得了胜利。然而，他们并没有给人留下深刻的印象，而且运气很好。我还想提一下千叶在这场比赛中的表现低于他们的正常水平。

藤田在周三客场输给仙台Vegalta的比赛中输掉了他们最近的一场比赛，这是一个非常明显的劣势——博彩公司在规定时间内的胜率约为4.50。然而，他们很好地击败了东道主，很容易就把比赛拖到加时赛。在此之前，他们两平一胜。他们在这些比赛中表现得很好!他们赢得的比赛是对阵目前排名第18位的德岛。这是一场主场3-0的胜利，但实际上，这场比赛更加平衡。两支球队都有3次射门，德岛甚至有更多的进攻——80比70。然而，在客场，他们缺乏控制球的信心和主动性，这往往导致他们承受巨大的压力，尤其是面对更好的球队。这可能会影响到这里的几率。事实上，东道主被认为是如此糟糕，以至于他们可能无法利用藤田的弱点。最大的博彩公司以最大的投注限额为东道主提供的赔率约为2.35

写这篇分析的时间是北京时间周六早上，这绝对太低了!除非出现一些关于首发阵容的意外消息，否则我预计藤田的赔率会下降，因为聪明的钱应该会堆积在他们身上。他们有39%的获胜机会，理应成为最受欢迎的球队!