Kawasaki Frontale VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Kawasaki Frontale welcome Sanfrecce Hiroshima for this Japanese J1 League round 17 battle at Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium in Kawasaki Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the highest level of Japanese football. Japan is the most powerful and successful Asian football country in recent years – and the J1 league is the best in Asia at the moment! We can expect a match of good level here by J League standards between these two better than average teams. My fans and I have won six games in a row betting on this league and 9/10 of the latest picks on Japanese football overall at the time of writing this preview early Saturday night Beijing time! It is very clear that we have yet another excellent opportunity to make money here! Most of my fans are by now probably aware of the fact that I never let the league table fool me! Here the standings do not actually lie, but I but the difference between the two teams by current level is,  perhaps a little surprisingly,  moderately bigger than the league table would indicate! Let's take a closer look at the match..

Kawasaki currently occupy the 10th place in the standings. They have only 21 points to their account. They have not met - I would guess – anyone's expectations so far this season.. Last season they were strong and finished in second place, behind Yokohama Marinos, having 66 points to their account. Sanfrecce Hiroshima, too, performed well and ended up in 3rd place. Both teams did, however, grab more points than they would have deserved in terms of expected points (xPTS).  I would be a little surprised to see the visitors finish in the top-2 this season. The hosts, on the other hand, probably will not even make it to the top-5! They are only in the 8th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. However, they should have potential for improvement but this will probably take time and might not happen at all.. The bookies seem to give their potential too much emphasis. their current form they are not even among the top-10 teams! Kawasaki Frontale's number of expected points (xPTS) 19.12. At the moment they cannot match the visitors in any area of the game. They have not been at all impressive at Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium in the J1 League so far this season. Indeed, they have won just two of the seven games in front of their loud and very demanding fans. The home advantage is, of course, there but I do not expect the atmosphere to be that great on Sunday. The fans have been very disappointed and frustrated with the team's performances this season. I must strongly disagree with the biggest bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers. Even these bookies seem to make a lot of mistakes with their odds on this league! They currently see the hosts as favorites – offering them odds of around 2.45 to take all three points. Based on my in-depth, strongly data-based sophisticated analysis Sanfrecce Hiroshima deserves to be narrow favorites. The recommended bet of +0.5 goals handicap on them has a big chance of winning! I see the games as more low-scoring – and the draw as a more probable result than the bookies do. The probability of under 2.5 goals to be scored is 66%. The probability of both teams grabbing a point is 33%. This view is mainly based on the visitors' very well-structured defense and on the hosts lame offense. Hiroshima have allowed just 15 goals so far and have a clear edge in this area of the game. Their number of expected goals (xGA) is even lower – 13.09. The hosts defense is not bad either – they have conceded 18 goals but their number of xGA is 21.23. They have however, recently improved in this area of the game. The silly defensive mistakes have become more rare than early season and the midfielders have been smarter and more active in defending recently.

The hosts' offense has been even worse compared to last season than I would have estimated! It lacks speed, structure, creativity and passing accuracy. The strikers should have enough skill but somehow it just does not work well. Maybe the coach is to blame.. They have netted the ball just 19 times in this league so far. I would not be shocked to see them failing to score at all against the great Sanfrecce Hiroshima defense! The visitors have scored a satisfactory 22 goals and their number of expected goals (xG) is 23.98. They defend so hard that it is understandable that they cannot match the top-2 goal-scoring teams, Vissel Kobe and Yokohama Marinos, offensively.. Even so, I trust their coach and the teams' style of play! The hosts beat a very small team, Tochigi City, at home 3-1 in their most recent game in the Emperor's Cup as gigantic favorites – priced around 1.05-1.07 on the betting market to win in regulation time. It was not a great performance! D.Tono scored the winning 2-1 goal no sooner than in the 71st minute.. Before this they took a comfortable home win over Kashiwa Reysol - currently in the second-last place with 12 points - as very clear favorites. The visitors did have their chances to score – recording seven goal attempts but the hosts did deserve to win. However, this kind of performance would probably not be enough to win against strong Hiroshima! Furthermore, before these two games they lost three games in a row – all 1-2 against FC Tokyo, Yokohama FC and Urawa Reds and were mostly disappointing. Against Yokohama FC they were priced around 1.40 to win by the bookies but only generated marginally more in xG – 1.07-1.04 and were very lame! This was yet another example of them being overvalued by the bookies! The visitors crushed FC Tokushima, a very small team, in the Emperor's Cup at home on Wednesday 5-0 giving the visitors hardly any chances to score. Before this they easily beat Kyoto 3-1. Their defense was not at its best in this game though and Kyoto (currently 14th place), managed to record 0.98 in xG. Sanfrecce Hiroshima's number was much higher though 2.65 and they fully deserved to win! Before this, the 31th of May, they lost a balanced game away from home to a dangerous team, Urawa Reds 1-2 despite recording marginally more in xG – 1.05-1.03.

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川崎前线VS广岛圣战者

北京时间8日晚，日本J1联赛第17轮比赛将在川崎龙木体育场举行，川崎前锋将迎来广岛圣队。这是日本足球的最高水平。日本是近年来最强大、最成功的亚洲足球国家——J1联赛目前是亚洲最好的!按照J联赛的标准，我们可以期待这两支比一般球队更好的球队之间的比赛。我和我的球迷已经连续赢了六场比赛，在北京时间周六晚上写这篇文章的时候，我已经赢了9/10的最新日本足球预测。很明显，我们还有另一个绝佳的赚钱机会!我的大多数球迷现在可能已经意识到，我从来没有让积分榜欺骗我!这里的排名实际上并没有说谎，但我认为两支球队目前水平的差距可能有点令人惊讶，比联赛表所显示的要大得多!让我们仔细看看这场比赛。

川崎目前排名第十。他们的账户上只有21分。我猜他们本赛季到目前为止还没有达到任何人的期望。上个赛季，他们很强大，以66分的积分排名第二，仅次于横滨马里诺斯队。广岛圣弗雷斯也表现出色，最终获得第三名。然而，两支球队都获得了比他们应得的期望积分(xPTS)更多的积分。如果这个赛季客队能进入前2名，我会有点惊讶。另一方面，东道主很可能连前五都进不了!他们在我的实力排名中只排在第8位，这反映了球队的纯粹水平。然而，他们应该有改进的潜力，但这可能需要时间，也可能根本不会发生。博彩公司似乎过于强调他们的潜力。他们现在的状态，连前十都进不了!川崎前锋的期望点数(xPTS) 19.12。目前，他们在比赛的任何领域都无法与客队匹敌。本赛季到目前为止，他们在J1联赛的川崎龙木球场并没有给人留下深刻的印象。事实上，在他们喧闹而苛刻的球迷面前，他们只赢了七场比赛中的两场。主场优势当然是有的，但我不认为周日的气氛会那么好。球迷们对球队本赛季的表现感到非常失望和沮丧。我必须强烈反对那些接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司。就连这些博彩公司在这个联赛的赔率上似乎也犯了很多错误!他们目前认为东道主是最受欢迎的球队，他们给出了2.45的赔率来包揽全部三分。根据我深入的、以数据为基础的复杂分析，广岛圣弗朗西斯科应该是一个小热门。建议投注+0.5的进球障碍，他们有很大的机会获胜!我认为比赛的得分更低，而平局的可能性也比博彩公司认为的更大。进不到2.5球的概率是66%。两队各得一分的概率是33%。这种观点主要是基于客队结构良好的防守和主队蹩脚的进攻。广岛到目前为止只丢了15个球，在这个领域有明显的优势。他们的预期进球数(xGA)甚至更低，只有13.09个。东道主的防守也不错——他们丢了18个球，但是他们的平均进球数是21.23。然而，他们最近在这方面有所改进。与赛季初相比，愚蠢的防守失误已经变得越来越少，中场球员在防守中变得更加聪明和积极。

东道主的进攻比上个赛季比我估计的还要糟糕!它缺乏速度、结构、创造力和传球准确性。前锋应该有足够的技术，但不知何故，这并没有发挥好作用。也许是教练的错…到目前为止，他们在联赛中只进了19次球。如果看到他们在面对广岛圣弗朗西斯科的防守时一球未进，我不会感到震惊!客队打进了令人满意的22球，他们的预期进球数(xG)为23.98。他们防守太过强硬，所以进攻端无法与射手榜前二的神户队和横滨马里诺斯队相比是可以理解的。即便如此，我还是相信他们的教练和球队的打法!在最近一场天皇杯比赛中，东道主以3-1击败了一支非常小的球队枥木城(Tochigi City)，这支球队的价格在1.05-1.07美元左右

在规定时间内赢得投注市场。这不是一个伟大的表演!d .托诺在第71分钟就打进了致胜的一球。在此之前，他们在主场轻松战胜了Kashiwa Reysol，后者目前以12分排名倒数第二，是非常明显的夺冠热门。客队也有得分的机会，他们尝试了7次进球，但主队确实应该获胜。然而，这样的表现恐怕不足以战胜强大的广岛!此外，在这两场比赛之前，他们连输了三场比赛，都是1比2输给东京FC、横滨FC和浦和红军，而且大多令人失望。在对横滨FC的比赛中，他们的胜率被博彩公司定在1.40左右，但在xG - 1.07-1.04的比赛中，他们的胜率只高了一点点，非常差劲!这是他们被博彩公司高估的又一个例子!在周三的天皇杯比赛中，客队在主场以5比0击败了一支非常小的球队德岛FC，客队几乎没有进球的机会。在此之前，他们轻松击败京都3-1。他们的防守在这场比赛中并不是最好的，京都(目前排名第14)在xG中取得了0.98的成绩。广岛圣弗朗西斯科的得分要高得多，不过是2.65，他们完全配得上胜利!在此之前，5月31日，他们在客场以1比2输给了一支危险的球队浦和红军，尽管他们在xG - 1.05-1.03的战绩略高。