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2023-06-11

Tapio

外籍分析师

日乙

06/11 18:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Roasso Kumamoto VS Shimizu S-Pulse


Kumamoto host Shimizu S-Pulse for this Japanese J2 League round 20 battle at Egao Kenko Stadium in Kumamoto Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the second-highest level of Japanese football. Japan is a strong football nation but the level of this league is not very high by global standards. The level of this league is much lower than that of J1 League. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of mediocre level here by J2 League standards. Kumamoto played a very strong last season - finishing in 4th place - with a respectable 67 points to their account - after the regular season. Their score difference was 58:48. This season has, however, been rather difficult.. They are currently in 11th place in the league table with 27 points in the bank. They can, however, improve in all areas of the game but most probably will not finish in the top-4 this season.. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 28.43. By J2 League Shimizu S-Pulse are a big team in terms of financial resources, players total market – according to Transfermarkt.com – as well as historical success.. They were relegated from J1 League after a very disappointing last season. Things seem to be messy for them at the moment both on and off the pitch. J2 teams seem to be very motivated to beat this ”big” team in front of home fans and Shimizu S-Pulse have been in trouble on the road so far this season. They have won just two of the ten away games in J2 League. With this record they are only the 17th best away team in this league with a total of 22 clubs. Furthermore, they have lost three away games in a row. Before these three games they took on Tokushima, not a strong club, away from home and it was a disappointing 1-1 draw. S-Pulse only recorded one shot on target! They were priced around 1.60 on the betting market to take all three points. This match was yet another example of them being clearly overestimated bookies!

The visitors are currently only in 10th place which is extremely surprising and disappointing - in my opinion and the same is probably true with most football analysts and the bookies.. I have been forced to significantly lower their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class from my in-depth preseason analysis. It is almost certain that they will significantly climb up the standings. However, I do not expect a clear, fast improvement.. There are rumors about some players not getting along very well and about the team spirit being ”sour” to say the least.. The bookies seem to give their big potential significantly too much emphasis.. Their offense has been on fire this season and they have scored a stunning 36 goals in J2 League! In comparison, the leaders, Machida, have netted the ball 28 times. Yes, they have skill, creativity and a fine structure on offense but I still want to mention that the 36 goals scored is misleading. Their number of expected goals (xG) is ”only” 32.54. Their defense is, however, not top-level in this league at the moment.   Yes, they are clearly the better team here by pure class but at the moment the difference with the expected lineups is only moderate. 

Even so, despite their struggles away from home they deserve to be solid favorites but the odds of around 1.85 offered by the bookies at the time of writing this analysis Saturday evening Beijing time is massively to low! Well, my fans know that the bookies often make mistakes with their odds on Japanese football.  Kumamoto have a 58% chance of taking at least a point and bringing my fans and me yet another winner! Unless some unexpected news about the starting eleven of each team appears I expect the odds on the recommended bet, +0.5 goals handicap on Kumamoto to drop as sharp money should pile up on the hosts.. S-Pulse were humiliated on Wednesday at home in an Emperor's Cup game as gigantic favorites – priced around 1.25 by the bookies to get the job done in regulation time. However, they lost to Gifu, a team from J3 League. R. Kita scored the winning goal for this small team in the 12th minute of extra time. What a shameful loss! Before this they were the better team away from home against Montedio Yamagata but lost 1-2. Many of their players once again looked anxious on the pitch and hesitated or made the wrong choice at critical moments. Kumamoto crushed Iwaki on Wednesday 4-0 away from home – also in an Emperor's Cup battle. It was an impressive performance! Kumamoto recorded nine shots on goal - the hosts managed just two. The match was expected to be a somewhat balanced one by the bookies but it was far from that! Kumamoto had 60% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts, total passses, completed passes and dangerous attacks. This was yet another example of the bookies reacting too heavily on Kumamoto's disappointing start to the season and the consequent undervaluation.. Let's take advantage of this and go for even more profit!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

熊本罗索VS清水S-Pulse


北京时间周日晚,日本J2联赛第20轮比赛将在熊本野高研古体育场举行,届时熊本将迎战清水S-Pulse。这是日本足球的第二高水平。日本是一个强大的足球国家,但以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平不是很高。这个联赛的水平比J1联赛低得多。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场以J2联赛标准衡量的平庸水平的比赛。熊本上个赛季表现非常强劲,在常规赛结束后,他们以67分的可观成绩排名第四。他们的比分差距是58:48。然而,这个赛季相当艰难。目前他们以27分的积分榜排名第11位。然而,他们可以在比赛的各个方面都有所提高,但很可能本赛季不会进入前4。它们的期望值(xPTS)为28.43。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据,在J2联赛中,清水S-Pulse是一支财力雄厚、球员总市场以及历史上的成功球队。在经历了一个令人失望的赛季后,他们从J1联赛降级了。对于他们来说,无论是在场上还是场下,事情似乎都很混乱。J2队伍似乎非常有动力在主场球迷面前击败这支“大”队,而清水S-Pulse本赛季到目前为止在客场一直遇到麻烦。在J2联赛的10场客场比赛中,他们只赢了两场。以这样的战绩,他们在22支球队中仅排在联赛第17位。此外,他们已经连输了三场客场比赛。在这三场比赛之前,他们客场挑战了并不强大的德岛,结果是令人失望的1-1平局。S-Pulse只记录了一枪命中目标!在博彩市场上,他们的价格在1.60左右,可以获得所有三个点。这场比赛是另一个他们显然被高估的赌徒的例子!

客队目前只排在第10位,这是非常令人惊讶和失望的——在我看来,大多数足球分析师和博彩公司可能也是如此。从季前赛的深入分析中,我不得不大幅降低他们的能量评级,这反映了球队的纯粹等级。几乎可以肯定的是,他们的排名将大幅上升。然而,我并不期望会有明显的、快速的改善。有传言说一些球员相处得不太好,团队精神至少可以说是“酸酸的”……博彩公司似乎过分强调了他们的巨大潜力。他们的进攻本赛季已经火了,他们已经在J2联赛中打进了惊人的36球!相比之下,排名第一的町田田有28次进球。是的,他们有技术,创造力和良好的进攻结构,但我仍然想说的是,36个进球是误导。他们的预期目标数(xG)“只有”32.54。然而,他们的防守目前在这个联盟中还不是顶级的。是的,从纯粹的级别来看,他们显然是这里更好的球队,但目前与预期阵容的差异只是适度的。

即便如此,尽管他们在客场表现不佳,但他们理应成为最受欢迎的球队,但在北京时间周六晚上写这篇分析时,博彩公司提供的1.85左右的赔率实在太低了!我的球迷们都知道赌马公司在日本足球的赔率上经常出错。熊本有58%的机会拿到至少一分,给我和我的粉丝带来又一个冠军!除非出现关于两队首发11人的意外消息,否则我预计熊本的赔率将会下降,因为大量资金将会涌向东道主。周三,S-Pulse在主场的皇杯比赛中被视为大热门,被博彩公司定价在1.25左右,以便在规定时间内完成比赛。然而,他们输给了来自J3联赛的岐阜队。R. Kita在加时赛的第12分钟为这支小球队打进了制胜一球。多么可耻的损失啊!在此之前,他们在客场对阵山形Montedio Yamagata时表现更好,但以1比2输掉了比赛。他们的许多球员再次在球场上显得焦虑不安,在关键时刻犹豫不决或做出了错误的选择。熊本在周三客场4-0击败了磐城,也是在天皇杯的比赛中。这是一场令人印象深刻的表演!熊本有9次射门,东道主只有2次射正。博彩公司期望这场比赛是一场平衡的比赛,但事实远非如此!熊本有60%的控球率,他的进球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数和传球次数也比熊本多

angerous攻击。这是博彩公司对熊本赛季令人失望的开局反应过度以及随之而来的低估的又一个例子。让我们利用这一点,争取更多的利润!

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