In my opinion Iwaki have really good chances to avoid loss in this game.

I going with guests for 3 reasons today:

1. Mental advantage – both teams played each other in March. Iwaki won at home 1:0, but that was dominant performance and Tokushima had a lot of luck to avoid much bigger loss in that game.

2. Defensive stability – of course, Iwaki conceded 4 goals in last round in league, but if You look on the bigger picture they are solid at the back – in last 10 matches only two times they conceded more than one goal. On the other hand Tokushima is extremely unstable at the back – they conceded more than one goal in 3 of last 5 matches.

3. Motivation – both teams at the moment are involved in battle to avoid relegation. According to many sources because of that home team today will not use the strongest possible line up. Iwaki coach after painfull loss against Kumamoto said: ‘We would like to win the cup and use it as a opportunity to emerge.’ I expect strong line up for Iwaki today.

On those circumstances value is on away side for me.

在我看来，磐城在这场比赛中有很好的机会避免失败。

我今天和客人一起去有三个原因:

1. 心理上的优势——两支球队在三月份的时候打过一场比赛。Iwaki在主场1:0获胜，但这是他的主导表现，德岛在那场比赛中运气很好，避免了更大的损失。

2. 防守稳定——当然，岩城在上一轮联赛中丢了4球，但如果你从整体上看，他们的后防线很稳固——在过去的10场比赛中，他们只有两次丢了一个以上的球。另一方面，德岛的后防线极不稳定，他们在最近5场比赛中有3场丢了一个以上的球。

3.动力——两支球队目前都在为保级而战。根据许多消息来源，因为主队今天将不会使用最强的阵容。Iwaki教练在痛失熊本后说:“我们想要赢得奖杯，并把它作为一个崛起的机会。”他预计今天磐城股市将迎来强劲的阵容。

在这种情况下，价值对我来说是不重要的。