Vegalta Sendai VS Fujieda

Vegalta Sendai and Fujieda lock horns in this Japanese Emperor's Cup 1/32-finals clash at Yurtec Stadium Sendai in Sendai evening Beijing time. Both teams play in the J2 League, the second-highest tier of Japanese football. Japan is the strongest football country in Asia at the moment. We can expect a match of mediocre level here by J2 League standards. There is a significant difference in pure class between the two teams! The hosts are a pretty good team by J2 League standards and finished in 7th place last season with a respectable 63 points to their account. They had a good score difference of 67:59. The visitors, on the other hand, were promoted to the J2 League for this season. They are a modest team in terms of financial resources. They cannot really match the hosts in any area of the game. I also want to mention that according to a very well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the Vegalta Sendai players have a total market value of 9.7 million euros. In my opinion this is still a little too low. I would set the number at around 11million..  The visitors' players have a total market value of around 3.9 million which is still too high! Three players are overvalued. The total market value can, of course, sometimes be misleading but is still a relatively good indicator of a team's level in real action on the pitch.. The football (player) market is, after all, a global one.. The smart bookmakers, football journalists/analysts and particularly professional football bettors pay increasingly more attention to teams' total market values these days.. However, if two players are equally capable and one of them is 25 years old and the other one is 35, the younger one is, of course, much more valuable.. For example, World Champion Leo Messi or the fresh Spanish champions' Barcelona's Polish super striker Robert Lewandowski do not have even close to the highest current market value despite being top-8 players on the planet! Furthermore, for instance super-promising Englishman, Jude Bellingham,  who is just 19 years old, has a much higher market value than the legendary super stars Messi or Lewadowski at the moment! 

The hosts currently occupy the 7th place in the standings with a fine 30 points to their points. The bookies do not seem to have fully realized how strong the hosts are at the moment and can still improve a little! Their number of expected points (xPTS) 32.03. With this number of points they would be in 4th place. They have netted the ball 24 times in 19 games in J2 League so far. Their number of expected goals (xG) is, however, a little bigger - 25.67 to be precise. I have to admit that I may have underestimated Fujieda a little in my in-depth preseason analysis but I have now raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class and are in 17th place in this ranking. In  the league table they are in 14th place with 25 points in their pocket. A total of 22 teams play in this league. They have been surprisingly effient offensively but will almost certainly score less goals per game as the season progresses.. Their number of xG is 22.12 but have somehow managed to net the ball 28 times.. Their defense is, however, extremely shaky and they have allowed 30 goals. I expect the hosts to put huge pressure on Fujieda's vulnerable defense and would not be surprised to see them scoring even more than twice! Vegalta Sendai have been in impressive form recently winning four of their latest games!  In their most recent game they beat Tokyo Verdy, a strong team currently in 3rd place with 33 points, 2-0 away from home. Vegalta Sendai were clear underdogs in this game on the betting market - priced around 3.80 to win. Before this they beat Chiba at home and did deserve the win after recording more goal attempts (9-5) shots on and off goal and attacks. Weirdly they were underdogs according to the bookies in this game.. This is yet another example of them being undervalued by the bookmakers!

Fujieda have played two draws and taken one win in their latest games. They were pretty good in these games but I want to highlight that many of their players have played above their normal level so far this season and this cannot go on forever. The match they won was against Tokushima, currently in 18th place. It was a 3-0 home win but the match was, in reality, much more balanced. Both teams had three shots on goal and Tokushima even recorded more attacks - 80-70. On the road they, however, lack confidence to control the ball and be active which often results in them being under huge pressure especially against the better teams.. They usually eventually get tired and get very few good scoring chances.. This is not, however, a big surprise as they are a small team with a rather limited squad.. Fujieda have lost 2/3 of their latest away games and allowed eight goals in these games! The odds offered by the biggest bookies on the hosts to win during the 90 minutes of play are around 1.85 at the time of writing this analysis early Wednesday morning Beijing time and this is definitely too high! Unless some unexpected news about the starting lineups appear I expect the hosts' odds to drop as sharp money should pile up on them.. They have a 62-63% chance of bringing my fans and me yet another winner!

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仙台VS藤田

北京时间晚上，日本天皇杯1/32决赛将在仙台宇特体育场举行。两支球队都参加了J2联赛，这是日本足球的第二高级别联赛。日本目前是亚洲最强的足球国家。按照J2联赛的标准，我们可以期待一场中等水平的比赛。两队在纯等级上有明显的差异!按照J2联赛的标准，东道主是一支相当不错的球队，上赛季以63分的可观成绩排名第七。他们的比分相差67:59。另一方面，客队本赛季升入了J2联赛。就财政资源而言，他们是一个适度的团队。他们在比赛的任何方面都无法与东道主匹敌。我还想提一下，根据一家非常知名和受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com，仙台维加尔塔球员的总市值为970万欧元。在我看来，这还是有点太低了。我估计这个数字在1100万左右。客队球员的总市值约为390万，这仍然太高了!有三个球员被高估了。当然，总市值有时可能会误导人，但它仍然是一个相对较好的指标，反映了一支球队在球场上的实际水平。足球(球员)市场毕竟是一个全球性的市场。如今，聪明的博彩公司、足球记者/分析师，尤其是职业足球投注者，越来越关注球队的总市值。然而，如果两个能力相当的球员，其中一个25岁，另一个35岁，那么年轻的那个当然更有价值……例如，世界冠军梅西或西班牙新冠军巴塞罗那的波兰超级前锋罗伯特·莱万多夫斯基，尽管他们是世界上排名前8的球员，但他们的市值甚至还没有达到目前的最高水平!此外，例如超级有前途的英国人，只有19岁的裘德·贝灵汉，目前的市场价值比传奇巨星梅西或莱瓦多斯基高得多!

东道主目前在积分榜上排名第七，积分榜还差30分。博彩公司似乎还没有完全意识到东道主目前有多强，而且还可以提高一点!他们的期望点数(xPTS)为32.03。以这样的积分，他们将排在第四位。到目前为止，他们在J2联赛的19场比赛中取得了24次进球。然而，他们的预期目标数量(xG)要大一些——准确地说是25.67个。我不得不承认，在季前赛的深入分析中，我可能低估了藤田，但我现在提高了他们的实力评级，这反映了球队的纯粹等级，在这个排名中排名第17位。在积分榜上，他们以25分排在第14位。这个联盟共有22支球队参加。他们的进攻效率惊人，但随着赛季的进展，他们的场均进球数肯定会减少。他们的罚球数是22.12，但不知怎么的，他们已经成功地把球打进了28次。然而，他们的防守非常不稳定，他们已经丢了30个球。我希望东道主能给藤田裕田脆弱的防线施加巨大的压力，看到他们连进两球也不会感到惊讶!仙台维加尔塔最近的状态令人印象深刻，赢得了他们最近的四场比赛!在最近的一场比赛中，他们击败了东京Verdy，一支目前以33分排名第三的强队，客场2比0。在这场比赛中，仙台维加尔塔在投注市场上明显处于劣势-价格约为3.80获胜。在此之前，他们在主场击败了千叶，并且在射门次数(9-5)和射门次数(球门外射门和进攻)更多的情况下，他们确实应该获胜。奇怪的是，他们在这场比赛中是不被看好的。这是他们被庄家低估的又一个例子!

藤田在最近的比赛中两平一胜。他们在这些比赛中表现不错，但我想强调的是，到目前为止，他们的许多球员都超出了他们的正常水平，这种情况不可能永远持续下去。他们赢得的比赛是对阵目前排名第18位的德岛。这是一场主场3-0的胜利，但实际上，这场比赛更加平衡。两支球队都有3次射门，德岛甚至有更多的进攻——80比70。然而，在客场，他们缺乏控制球的信心和主动性，这往往导致他们承受巨大的压力，尤其是面对更好的球队。他们通常最终会累

艾德很少有好的得分机会。然而，这并不令人惊讶，因为他们是一支阵容有限的小球队。藤田在最近的客场比赛中输掉了2/3，丢了8个球!在北京时间周三凌晨写这篇分析时，最大的博彩公司对东道主在90分钟比赛中获胜的赔率约为1.85，这绝对太高了!除非出现一些关于首发阵容的意外消息，否则我预计东道主的赔率会下降，因为大量资金应该会堆积在他们身上。他们有62% -63%的机会给我和我的粉丝带来另一个赢家!