An interesting game in Iceland
2023-06-06

Tapio

外籍分析师

冰岛杯

06/06 04:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Breidablik VS Hafnarfjordur


Breidablik welcome Hafnarfjordur at Kópavogsvöllur in Kópavogur for this Icelandic Cup quarter-final clash early Tuesday morning. Both teams play in the Besta Deild Karla, the highest level of Icelandic football. The level of this league is very low – even worse than that of the Finnish Veikkausliiga for example. The hosts are very clear favorites here with the expected lineups today. The biggest bookies that accept the largest bets from customers offer them odds of around 1.55 for them to win during the 90 minutes of play. This is – based on my in-depth analysis – too much! The hosts have good fans by Icelandic standards and the home advantage is not massive but still substantial here. Breidablik have a much more solid defense than the visitors. They have allowed surprisingly many goals so far this season though – 13 in the league to be precise. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is, however, just 8.02 Offensively the edge is smaller though. The hosts have netted the ball 21 times in Besta Deild Karla but their number of expected goals (xG) is 24.12. They are the reigning champions of Iceland! They took an impressive 63 points last season. At the moment they are in 2nd place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. They have potential to improve in all areas of the game! I also trust their coach a lot. Hafnorfjordur, on the other hand, have improved from last season when they played in the Relegation Group at the end of the season. They are in 4th place in the standings with 17 points but their number of expected points is just 12.12 and this is probably the main reason the bookies respect them too much..

 The visitors were lucky to avoid a defeat in their most recent match away from home against Valur. The hosts had 61% ball possession and recorded more shots in and off goal, goal attempts (17-6) attacks and dangerous attacks. Breidablik played a good-level game by Icelandic standards at home in their most recent match against the current top team in Iceland, Vikingur. It was a 2-2 draw and could have gone either way. Before this they were unlucky not to beat Keflavik away from home. No goals were scored. I also want to mention that according to a very well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the hosts' players have a total market value of just around 2.9 million euros. In my opinion this is still a bit too low! I would set the number at around four million.. The visitors' players have a total market value of approximately 1.9 million which is too high! . The total market value can, of course, sometimes be misleading but is still a relatively good indicator of a team's level in real action on the pitch.. The football (player) market is, after all, a global one...



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Breidablik VS Hafnarfjordur


周二凌晨,布莱达布里克队将在Kópavogur网站Kópavogsvöllur欢迎哈夫纳峡湾队参加冰岛杯四分之一决赛。两支球队都参加了冰岛足球最高水平的联赛。这个联赛的水平很低,甚至比芬兰的联赛还差。东道主在今天的预期阵容中非常受欢迎。最大的博彩公司接受客户最大的赌注,在90分钟的比赛中为他们提供1.55左右的赔率。这是——基于我的深入分析——太多了!以冰岛的标准来看,东道主拥有不错的球迷,主场优势并不大,但仍然很大。布雷达布里克的防御比来客要坚固得多。本赛季到目前为止,他们丢了令人惊讶的多球——准确地说,联赛丢了13球。然而,他们的预期失球数(xGA)仅为8.02,进攻端优势较小。东道主在贝斯塔德卡拉的比赛中取得了21次进球,但他们的预期进球数(xG)为24.12个。他们是冰岛的卫冕冠军!他们上赛季拿到了令人印象深刻的63分。目前,他们在我的力量排名中排名第二,这反映了球队的纯粹等级。他们在比赛的各个方面都有潜力提高!我也很信任他们的教练。另一方面,哈夫诺峡湾从上赛季开始有所进步,他们在赛季末还在保级组。他们在积分榜上以17分排名第四,但他们的预期积分只有12.12,这可能是博彩公司过于尊重他们的主要原因。

客队很幸运,在最近一场客场对阵Valur的比赛中避免了失利。主队有61%的控球率,并且记录了更多的射门和射门次数,射门次数(17-6次)和危险进攻。布雷达布里克队最近在主场对阵目前冰岛的顶级球队维金古尔队时,打出了冰岛标准的高水平比赛。结果是2比2平局,两种情况都有可能发生。在此之前,他们很不幸没能在客场击败凯夫拉维克。没有进球。我还想提一下,根据一家非常知名和受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com,东道主球员的总市值仅为290万欧元左右。在我看来,这还是有点太低了!我估计这个数字在400万左右。客队球员的总市值约为190万,这太高了!. 当然,总市值有时可能会误导人,但它仍然是一个相对较好的指标,反映了一支球队在球场上的实际水平。足球(球员)市场毕竟是一个全球性的市场。

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