Lecce VS Bologna

Lecce host Bologna for this Italian Serie A round 38 battle at Stadio Via del Mare early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the last round of football. Serie A is top-league by European standards – the fourth-best on the planet in my view. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect an entertaining match here and open game here! Neither have nothing left to play this season and can play relaxed, offensive football – trying to entertain as much as possible. Lecce will surely want to thank their home fans for their massive support throughout the difficult season. In these kinds of games the home team has a significantly bigger chance of winning - or at not losing than in a normal midseason clash. Both coaches are expected to rotate the squad here – at least moderately. Lecce have no confirmed absentees at the time of writing this analysis late Sunday evening Beijing time. The visitors will be without Dominguez – due to too many yellow cards and the injured Soriano and Somearo.Lecce can, however, be pretty satisfied with their season. They are in 16th place with 36 points to their account in this league with a total of 18 clubs. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is much higher though. They would have deserved 47.12 points! This is probably the main reason behind them being undervalued on the betting market here!

Offensively the visitors do have an edge but it is much lower than the numbers of goals scored would reflect. Lecce have netted the ball 31 times and do lack some speed and creativity in offense. Theur number of expected goals (xG) is, however, 38.09. Bologna have more individual skill and a better structure in offense and have scored 50 goals. Their number of xG is 41.89. Their defense has been leaky though and they have allowed 50 goals. The midfielders are not active enough in defending and the defenders make too many silly mistakes. Their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 59.12. Lecce, on the other hand, have defended well this season and have conceded just 43 goals. They defend well as a team – even the strikers sometimes take part in protecting a lead. Here there is no actual need to do this though the goal expectancy is higher than the bookies think. The probability of over 2.5 total goals to be scored is 57%. Bologna have had a mediocre season and have taken 51 points. At the moment the teams are more or less equal. Bologna should be better by pure class but the defense is just too leaky. I also do not really trust their coach.. their number of expected points is much lower than the actual 51. They have not impressed me lately and have won just one of their latest eight games. This win came on the 20th of last month over a poor team, Cremonese, away from home 5-1. The final score is very misleading as Bologna only generated 2.32 in xG. The hosts' number was 1.24. They were pretty good in their most recent game though against Napoli and it was a 2-2 draw. They wanted to thank the fans and give their best. Lecce have not lost any of their latest three games and beat a good team, Monza, away from home in their most recent game 1-0 generating more than the hosts in xG. Three weeks ago they took a point from Lazio, who finished in 2nd place! It was a 2-2 draw away from home as massive underdogs! Lecce are solid favorites here!

莱切VS博洛尼亚

北京时间周一凌晨，莱切主场迎战博洛尼亚，进行意甲第38轮比赛。这是最后一轮足球赛。按照欧洲的标准，意甲是顶级联赛——在我看来是这个星球上第四好的联赛。球迷和我们认真的足球投注者可以期待一场有趣的比赛和开放的比赛!这两个人本赛季都没有什么可踢的了，他们可以踢轻松的进攻足球——尽可能地娱乐。莱切肯定会感谢他们的主场球迷在这个艰难的赛季中给予的大力支持。在这类比赛中，主队获胜或不输球的机会要比通常的赛季中期比赛大得多。两位教练都希望在这里轮换阵容——至少适度。在北京时间周日晚上写这篇分析时，莱切没有确认缺席。客队将失去多明格斯——因为黄牌太多，索里亚诺和索萨罗也受伤了。然而，莱切可以对他们的赛季感到满意。他们在联赛中以36分排名第16位，总共有18家俱乐部。但是他们的期望值(xPTS)要高得多。他们应该得到47.12分!这可能是他们在这里的博彩市场被低估的主要原因!

客队在进攻端确实有优势，但远低于进球数所反映的水平。莱切有31次进球，在进攻端确实缺乏一些速度和创造力。然而，他们的预期目标数(xG)是38.09。博洛尼亚有更多的个人技术和更好的进攻结构，他们已经进了50个球。它们的xG数是41.89。他们的防守漏洞百出，已经丢了50个球。中场球员在防守中不够积极，后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误。他们的预期进球(xGA)是59.12。另一方面，莱切本赛季防守很好，只丢了43个球。他们作为一个团队防守得很好——即使是前锋有时也会参与保护领先优势。这里没有必要这样做，尽管预期进球比博彩公司认为的要高。总进球数超过2.5个的概率是57%。博洛尼亚本赛季表现平平，只拿到51分。目前两队的实力大致相当。博洛尼亚在纯粹的级别上应该做得更好，但是防守太漏了。我也不相信他们的教练。他们的期望值远低于实际的51分。他们最近没有给我留下深刻的印象，在最近的八场比赛中只赢了一场。这场胜利发生在上个月20日，对手是一支实力不强的球队，克雷莫纳斯，他们在客场5-1获胜。最后的比分很容易误导人，因为博洛尼亚在xG比赛中只取得了2.32分。东道主的数字是1.24。他们在最近一场对阵那不勒斯的比赛中表现得很好，结果是2比2战平。他们想要感谢球迷，并竭尽全力。莱切在最近的三场比赛中没有输过一场，并且在最近的一场比赛中以1比0击败了一支优秀的球队蒙扎。三周前，他们从拉齐奥那里拿走了一分，后者最终排名第二!客场2-2战平，我们都处于劣势!莱切在这里是最受欢迎的!