Mallorca VS Rayo Vallecano

Mallorca welcome Rayo Vallecano for this Spanish LaLiga round 38 clash at Estadio de Balaídos in Vigo very early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the last round of play. LaLiga, is in my opinion, the second-best league on the planet after the English Premier League. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a high-level game here! Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won seven picks in a row in LaLiga and the much longer term results are also awesome! Moreover, we are on a winning streak of six picks! The situation ahead of this game is pretty straightforward. Only Celta Vigo have anything left to play for in terms of qualifying for the UEFA Europa League qualification for next season. This seems to affect the odds way too much here.. Let's take a closer look at the very balanced battle between the teams in places 7-12th..

The team that finishes in 7th place qualifies for the Conference League qualification next season. Despite being only the 3rd-highest of the UEFA competitions this opportunity surely motivated Rayo Vallecano, a pretty small club in terms of financial resources and historical success. However, they are only in 10th place at the moment so in reality they would need a lot of help from other teams to topple three strong teams! This is very improbable.. If the players hear bad news/scores in-play from other matches this would surely affect their motivation.. When betting on the last round matches in LaLiga it is important to know that if points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tie-breaker. Rayo Vallecano have a total of 49 points to their account. However, they have been a little lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). They would have deserved only 43.17 points.  They have played better than I would have expected this season and can be happy with their effort. Many players have played above their normal level this season and it looks like some key players are low in energy at this point of the season.. They are only in 12th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. Mallorca are in 11th place in this rating. On the road Rayo Vallecano have, however, not been strong at all! Indeed, they have won just four games away from home in LaLiga so far this season! Furthermore, their score difference away from home is bad – 17:28 to be precise. Moreover, they have not won any of their latest eight away games – losing six! What a horrible record it is! 

Rather weirdly, the biggest bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers offer Rayo Vallecano odds of around 2.35 to take all three points. I must strongly disagree with these bookies here! Despite the edge in motivation the hosts are solid favorites here! With the recommended bet of +0.5 goals handicap on Mallorca we have a high chance of winning - once again! It is true that Mallorca do not have the very best fans but have been very strong at home recently! They have won three times and played three draws in their most recent six games at Visit Mallorca Estadi. Furthermore, they have allowed just two goals in these six matches. They have allowed 43 goals in LaLiga and have a clear edge over the visitors in the area of the game. Indeed, Rayo's defense has been pretty leaky this season. The defensive structure is often poor – especially away from home and the defenders make too many silly mistakes! Rayo Vallecano have conceded 50 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is higher - 53.02 to be precise. They have netted the ball 45 times in LaLiga but their number of expected goals (xG) is 38.90. Mallorca have mainly relied on solid defense to grab points this season and have scored just 34 goals. Their offense does lack some creativity, speed and individual skill. This is why they could not make it to the top-7 this season. At home their offense has, after all, been okay. Their number of xG is 37.98. Indeed, Rayo Vallecano do have a marginal edge over Mallorca in terms of offensive quality.

Mallorca were dominated by the fresh LaLiga champions,  the mighty Barcelona, in their most recent game losing 0-3 away from home. However, this was not a surprise as Barcelona are the best team in LaLiga and played above their recent level in this match. Barcelona were priced around 1.25 to win by the bookies.  Before this Mallorca did well beating a dangerous team, Valencia - a team who are better than the standings would suggest. Valencia were very motivated but Mallorca defended well taking a 1-0 win. Valencia are fighting hard to avoid relegation. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, did well in their most recent game beating Villarreal 2-1 at home as clear underdogs on the betting market. However, this match could easily have gone either way. The visitors recorded 69% ball possession and recorded many more attacks (128-76), dangerous attacks (51-40) as well as corner kicks. Rayo did generate more in xG though. I want to highlight that Villarreal were far from their best in this game and Rayo played above their normal level! Before this the hosts lost three games in a row! On the 21st of May they were beaten at home by Espanyol 2-1 despite being very clear favorites according to the bookies. This is yet another example of Rayo being overrated by the bookies. It was a very disappointing performance indeed! Espanyol are in 19th place in the standings and have already been relegated after an abysmal season! 

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

马略卡VS巴列卡诺

北京时间周一凌晨，马略卡欢迎巴列卡诺在维戈Balaídos球场参加西甲联赛第38轮的比赛。这是最后一轮比赛了。在我看来，西甲是这个星球上仅次于英超的第二好的联赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场高水平的比赛!最重要的是，我和我的粉丝在这里又有了一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们已经连续七次在西甲赢得选秀权，长期的结果也很棒!而且，我们已经连续赢了6次了!这个游戏前面的情况很简单。只有维戈塞尔塔还有下赛季的欧联杯资格。这似乎对赔率影响太大了。让我们仔细看看7-12位球队之间的平衡之战。

以第7名结束比赛的球队有资格参加下赛季的联盟资格。尽管在欧足联的比赛中排名第三，但这个机会肯定会激励巴列卡诺，一个在财政资源和历史成就方面相当小的俱乐部。然而，他们目前只排在第10位，所以实际上他们需要其他车队的大量帮助才能推翻三支强队!这是极不可能的……如果玩家在其他比赛中听到坏消息或得分，这肯定会影响他们的动力。在下注西甲最后一轮比赛时，重要的是要知道，如果在比赛结束时得分相等，那么正面交锋将是决胜局。巴列卡诺总共得到49分。然而，他们在期望值(xPTS)方面有点幸运。他们只应该得到43.17分。他们本赛季的表现比我预期的要好，他们应该为自己的努力感到高兴。很多球员本赛季的表现都超过了他们的正常水平，看起来一些关键球员在这个赛季的这个时候能量很低。在我的实力排名中，他们只排在第12位，这反映了球队的纯粹实力。马略卡在该排名中排名第11位。然而，在客场，巴列卡诺的表现一点也不强!事实上，他们本赛季到目前为止在西甲只赢了四场客场比赛!此外，他们在客场的比分差距很大，确切地说是17:28。此外，他们在最近的8场客场比赛中没有赢过一场，输了6场!多么可怕的记录啊!

相当奇怪的是，接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司为雷约巴列卡诺提供了2.35左右的赔率，以获得所有三分。我必须强烈反对这些赌徒!尽管在积极性上有优势，但东道主在这里是最受欢迎的!根据马洛卡队+0.5的胜率，我们有很大的机会再次获胜!马洛卡确实没有最好的球迷，但最近在主场表现非常强劲!在最近的6场比赛中，他们在马洛卡球场取得了3胜3平的战绩。此外，他们在这六场比赛中只丢了两个球。他们在西甲丢了43球，在比赛区域上明显领先客队。事实上，本赛季雷诺的防守相当有漏洞。防守结构往往很糟糕——尤其是在客场，防守队员犯了太多愚蠢的错误!巴列卡诺丢了50个球，但是他们的预期失球数(xGA)更高——准确地说是53.02个。虽然在西甲联赛中打进45球，但预期进球数(xG)为38.90。马略卡本赛季主要依靠稳固的防守来抢分，只进了34球。他们的进攻确实缺乏创造力、速度和个人技巧。这就是为什么他们本赛季没能进入前七的原因。毕竟在主场，他们的进攻还不错。它们的xG数是37.98。确实，巴列卡诺在进攻质量上比马洛卡略胜一筹。

马洛卡被新西甲冠军，强大的巴塞罗那统治，在他们最近的一场客场0-3输掉了比赛。然而，这并不令人惊讶，因为巴塞罗那是西甲最好的球队，在这场比赛中发挥得比他们最近的水平要好。博彩公司给巴塞罗那开出了1.25英镑的胜率。在此之前，马略卡击败了一支危险的球队，瓦伦西亚——一支比积分榜更强的球队。瓦伦西亚很有动力，但马洛卡防守很好，以1-0取胜。瓦伦西亚正在努力保级。另一方面，巴列卡诺在最近的比赛中表现不错

在主场2-1击败比利亚雷亚尔的比赛在博彩市场上明显处于劣势。然而，这场比赛很容易发生任何一种情况。客队的控球率为69%，进攻次数(128胜76负)、危险进攻(51胜40负)和角球次数也更多。Rayo在xG中创造了更多。我想强调的是，比利亚雷亚尔在这场比赛中远远没有发挥出他们的最佳水平，而雷约的发挥也超出了他们的正常水平!在此之前，东道主连输三场!5月21日，他们在主场被西班牙人2-1击败，尽管根据博彩公司的说法，他们是非常明显的热门球队。这是另一个被博彩公司高估的例子。这确实是一场非常令人失望的表演!西班牙人在积分榜上排名第19位，在经历了一个糟糕的赛季后，他们已经降级了!