Hillerod VS Hobro

Hillerod welcome Hobro for this Danish First Division Relegation Group round 32 clash at Secma Ground  very early Saturday morning Beijing time. This league is of pretty low level as a whole by European standards . We cannot expect a particularly entertaining or good-level match here – even by this league standards but betting-wise the match is very interesting Both teams are having a rather disappointing season. Hillerod currently occupy the 3rd place in this group with a total of six teams. They have a total of 37 points to their account. However, they have been lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) as they would have deserved just 33.02 points. Their defense has been extremely leaky this season and they have allowed 51 goals so far. In this area of the game Hobro have a very clear edge over the hosts. Furthermore, Hillerod's number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 55.12! Their defense lacks structure and the defenders make way too many silly mistakes. The midfielders should also be more active in defending. They have allowed 10 goals in their latest three games. Hobro have conceded 42 goals in this league so far this season. Their number of xGA is slightly higher though – 43.02 to be precise. I must disagree with the biggest, often pretty sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers who see Hillerod only as the favorites here and offer them odds of around 2.50 to take all three points here at the time of writing this preview Friday evening Beijing time . However, I expect the odds on Hobro to come down before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up in the visitors. They should be narrow favorites here with the expected lineups. The home advantage is surely there but Hillerod do not have the best fans.

I want to mention that according to a very well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Hobro players have a bigger market value than Hillerod players. Hobro currently occupy the 4th place in the league table with 37 in their pocket. Their number of xPTS is 41.21. Indeed, the bookies should respect them more. There is no denying that they have not met my expectations offensively this season. Indeed, they have netted the ball 33 times in this league this season. They should be more creative - and pass the ball faster near the opponent's goal.. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 38.03 goals and they only have a marginal edge over Hillerod in this area of the game.. Hillerod have been in abysmal form lately. Indeed, they have lost five of their latest six games! In their most recent match they were humiliated away from home against Fredericia losing 0-4. Some players looked pretty lazy on the pitch - especially in the second half. The host had 54% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts (14-7) and especially shots on goal – 10-1 to be precise. Indeed, Hillerod were very lame offensively! Hobro, on the other hand, have been in decent form lately. In their most recent game they did, however lose to Koge at home 0-2 but the match was, in reality, a balanced one. Hobro had 52% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks. Both teams had six shots on - and off goal.

希勒罗德VS霍布罗

希勒罗德欢迎霍布罗参加北京时间周六凌晨在塞玛球场举行的丹麦甲级联赛降级组第32轮比赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的整体水平很低。我们不能期待一场特别有趣或高水平的比赛——即使以这个联赛的标准来看，但从下注的角度来看，这场比赛非常有趣。两支球队都有一个相当令人失望的赛季。希勒罗德目前在这个小组中排名第三，共有六支球队。他们的账户上总共有37分。然而，他们在期望积分(xPTS)方面已经很幸运了，因为他们应该得到33.02分。这个赛季他们的防守漏洞百出，到目前为止他们已经丢了51个球。在这方面的比赛中，Hobro对东道主有着非常明显的优势。此外，希勒罗德的预期失球数(xGA)是55.12!他们的防守缺乏结构，防守者犯了太多愚蠢的错误。中场也应该更积极地防守。他们在最近三场比赛中丢了10个球。本赛季到目前为止，霍布罗在联赛中丢了42球。它们的xGA值稍高，准确地说是43.02。在北京时间周五晚上写这篇文章的时候，我必须反对那些最大的、通常是相当精明的博彩公司，他们接受那些只把希勒罗德视为最受欢迎的客户的最大赌注，并为他们提供2.50左右的赔率，以获得所有三分。然而，我预计霍布罗的赔率会在开球前下降，因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在客队身上。在预期的阵容中，他们应该是微弱的热门。主场优势当然是有的，但是希勒罗德没有最好的球迷。

我想提一下，根据一个非常知名和受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com, Hobro球员的市场价值比hilerod球员更大。Hobro目前以37个积分排在联赛第4位。他们的xPTS数为41.21。事实上，博彩公司应该更尊重他们。不可否认，他们本赛季在进攻端没有达到我的期望。事实上，他们本赛季已经在联赛中取得了33次进球。他们应该更有创造力——在对手的球门附近传球更快。他们的预期进球数(xG)是38.03个，他们在这方面只比希勒罗德略为逊色。希勒罗德最近状态很糟。事实上，他们在最近的六场比赛中输了五场!在最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场0-4输给了弗雷德里西亚队。有些球员在球场上看起来很懒，尤其是在下半场。东道主有54%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数(14胜7负)，尤其是射门次数——准确地说是10胜1负。的确，希勒罗德在进攻上很蹩脚!另一方面，Hobro最近状态不错。在最近的一场比赛中，他们做到了，然而在主场0-2输给了科奇，但实际上，这场比赛是一场平衡的比赛。霍布罗的控球率为52%，他的进球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。两队各有6次射门，球门内外都有。