A lucrative match in Finland! $$$
2023-05-31

Tapio

外籍分析师

芬兰杯

05/31 23:30

已完赛

查普斯
1:0
EIF埃克纳斯
解读理由:

JäPS vs Ekenäs IF


JäPS host visitors from Ekenäs for this Finnish Cup 1/16-finals clash at Järvenpään Keskuskenttä in Järvenpää late Wednesday evening Beijing time. I know my home country’s Finland's football super-well and we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! Both teams play in Ykkönen, the second tier. I watch all Veikkausliiga, the first tier, Ykkönen and Finnish Cup games starting from this stage – many matches live at the stadium as well. The level of Ykkönen is very low by European standards and most players are not even professional footballers. Luckily for my fans and me the bookies put much more time and resources on the big leagues - such as the Spanish LaLiga - than on the big leagues than on Veikkausliiga, Ykkönen and the Finnish Cup where they make many mistakes with their odds. The stakes are high here despite the fact that neither team have a good chance of winning this cup. This would bring 50 000 euros in prize money and a ticket for the UEFA Conference League qualification for next season..

 Football fans and us football bettors can expect a good-level match here by Ykkönen standards. However, I see this match as more low-scoring and the draw after 90 minutes of football as more probable than the betting market does. Both teams have scored more goals in Ykkönen than they would have deserved in terms of expected goals (xG).The biggest, often pretty sharp bookies see the visitors only as narrow favorites here – at least at the time of writing this preview Wednesday evening Beijing time. I do, however, expect the odds on Ekenäs IF to come down before the kickoff as smart money is expected to pile up on them.. Indeed, there is no doubt about the fact that Ekenäs IF are a much better team here. The home advantage in Ykkönen is much smaller than in many other European leagues. Moreover, JäPS do not have very good fans. With today's expected lineups Ekenäs IF deserve to be clear favorites. 

The visitors currently occupy the 2nd place in the Ykkönen standings and have lost just one game so far this season! No, they are not in the top-2 two in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class but I have still raised their ranking from my in-depth preseason analysis. They have 16 points to their account after seven games and have scored the highest number of goals in Ykkönen – 12 to be precise. Their defense has also been very solid and they have allowed just four goals in Ykkönen. They defend well as a team and silly mistakes are rare.Their players salary budget – around 150 000 euros – is bigger than that of JäPS. The hosts were promoted to Ykkönen for last season from Kakkonen, the third tier and have small financial resources and have not achieved anything worth mentioning in the past. They cannot match the visitors in any area of the game. They did beat a dangerous team, Jaro, in their most recent match 2-0 at home but the match was in reality pretty balanced. Jaro even recorded more attacks. JäPS had only 52% ball possession in this game. Ekenäs have won six of their latest seven games and are sky-high in confidence! They have won four games in a row scoring a whopping 11 goals in these games. They beat JJK comfortably 3-0 four days ago despite seemingly saving energy late into the second half..



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JäPS vs Ekenäs IF


北京时间周三晚,JäPS将在Järvenpää招待来自Ekenäs的访客,观看芬兰1/16杯决赛的比赛。我非常了解我的祖国芬兰的足球,我们这里还有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!两支球队都在第二梯队Ykkönen比赛。从这个阶段开始,我看了所有的维城联赛、一级联赛、Ykkönen和芬兰杯的比赛——许多比赛也在体育场现场直播。按照欧洲的标准,Ykkönen的水平非常低,大多数球员甚至不是职业足球运动员。幸运的是,对于我和我的球迷来说,博彩公司把更多的时间和资源放在大联赛上,比如西甲联赛,而不是维考斯利加,Ykkönen和芬兰杯,他们在赔率上犯了很多错误。尽管两队都不太可能赢得这个奖杯,但赌注还是很高的。这将带来5万欧元的奖金和一张下赛季欧足联联赛资格赛的门票。

足球迷和美国足球投注者可以期待一个高水平的比赛在这里Ykkönen的标准。然而,我认为这场比赛比分更低,90分钟后的平局比博彩市场更有可能发生。两支球队在Ykkönen的进球都超过了他们应得的预期进球(xG)。最大的、往往相当敏锐的博彩公司认为,客队在北京的胜算不大——至少在北京时间周三晚上写这篇预告的时候是这样。然而,我确实希望Ekenäs IF的赔率在开球前下降,因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在他们身上。的确,毫无疑问,Ekenäs IF在这里是一支更好的球队。Ykkönen的主场优势比许多其他欧洲联赛要小得多。而且,JäPS也没有很好的粉丝。随着今天的预期阵容Ekenäs IF应该是明确的最爱。

客队目前在Ykkönen积分榜上排名第二,本赛季至今只输了一场!不,他们在我的实力排名中并不是前两名,这反映了球队的纯粹水平,但我仍然在季前赛的深入分析中提高了他们的排名。七场比赛后,他们的账户上有16分,并且是Ykkönen进球最多的,准确地说是12个。他们的防守也非常稳固,在Ykkönen比赛中只丢了4个球。他们作为一个团队防守得很好,很少犯愚蠢的错误。他们的球员工资预算约为15万欧元,比JäPS要高。主队上赛季从第三梯队卡科宁(Kakkonen)升入Ykkönen,财力有限,过去也没有取得什么值得一提的成绩。他们在比赛的任何领域都无法与客队匹敌。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场2-0击败了一支危险的球队,但实际上这场比赛是相当平衡的。Jaro甚至记录了更多的攻击。JäPS在这场比赛中只有52%的控球率。Ekenäs最近七场比赛赢了六场,信心十足!他们已经赢得了四连胜,在这些比赛中打进了惊人的11球。四天前,他们轻松地以3比0击败了jk,尽管他们似乎在下半场后期节省了精力。

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