Molde vs Sandefjord

Molde host Sandefjord for this Norwegian Eliteserien round 8 battle at Aker Stadion late Monday evening Beijing time. This league is of mediocre level by European standards. We cannot expect a particularly entertaining - or good-level match here. However, we have have a lucrative betting opportunity here! Indeed, there is a huge difference in terms of pure class. Most of my fans probably know by now that I never let the standings fool me! Molde currently occupy the 8th place in the standings. They have a total of 10 points to their account. There is no denying the fact that they have been disappointing in Elitserien so far. I have, as result, moderately lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. However, I want to highlight that they have been unlucky in many games this season. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 14.02. Offensively they have been almost as good as I estimated in my sophisticated in-depth preseason analysis. They have scored 15 goals so far and their number of expected goals is only marginally bigger. Their defense, however, has been surprisingly leaky. Indeed they have conceded 12 goals so far. Their defensive structure has not been the best in some games and the defenders have made some silly mistakes. Furthermore, the midfielders should be more active in defending.. Even so, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is only 8.45. I do trust their coaches' abilities to improve his team's performance in all areas of the game. The bookies seem to have reacted too much to Molde's disappointing start to the season. This offers my fans and me a chance to place a good bet on Molde with the -1.5 goals handicap. The biggest, usually pretty sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets offer odds of around 1.50-1.55 on Molde to win by a margin of at least two goals. Based on my strongly data-based analysis the probability for this is 72%. 

We must not forget that Molde are the reigning champions and grabbed a very big number of points last season – 78 to be precise. They had an excellent score difference of 71:25. Sandefjord, on the other hand, were close to relegation last season. They finished in 14th place with only 24 points in their pocket. Their goal difference was abysmal 42:68. Not that much has, after all, changed for this season. Sandefjord currently occupy they 13th place with six points. They are in 14th place in my power rating. Their offense has been very lame, as expected. It lacks everything to score a good number of goals! The offensive structure is poor, the strikers are not fast and creative enough and also lack passing accuracy near the opponent's goal. This makes it easy for the opponent to defend successfully. They have, however, conceded just six goals which is a very low number as even Bodo/Glimt, the current leaders, have allowed seven goals. Yes, their defense has been surprisingly good but their number of xGA is still significantly bigger – 10.02. Molde are a strong home team and have very loud and enthusiastic fans – by Norwegian standards. Sandefjord, on the other hand, last won an away game in Elitserien on the 16th of July last year. They have now lost three games in a row. In their most recent match they lost a cup game to a small team, Eik-Tonsberg, 3-2 after penalties as huge favorites according to the betting market. Molde, on the other hand, have improved significantly from the early season and have won four of their most recent games. On the 16th of this month they were unlucky to lose to Aalesund 1-3 away from home after having 59% ball possession and many more scoring attempts (17-9), shots on goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. Molde also generated much more in expected goals (xG) 2.45 – 1.99.

Molde vs Sandefjord

北京时间周一晚间，莫尔德将在阿克球场迎战挪威精英队第8轮对阵桑德兰。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛处于中等水平。我们不能期待一场特别有趣或高水平的比赛。然而，我们有一个有利可图的赌博机会!事实上，在纯粹的阶级方面存在巨大的差异。我的大多数粉丝现在可能都知道，我从不让排名欺骗我!莫尔德目前在积分榜上排名第八。他们的账户上总共有10分。不可否认的事实是，到目前为止，他们在精英队的表现令人失望。因此，我适度降低了他们的能量等级，这反映了球队的纯粹等级。然而，我想强调的是，他们在本赛季的很多比赛中都不走运。它们的期望点数(xPTS)为14.02。在进攻端，他们的表现几乎和我在季前赛分析中预测的一样好。到目前为止，他们已经进了15个球，他们的预期进球数只是稍微多一点。然而，他们的防御却出人意料地漏洞百出。事实上，到目前为止他们已经丢了12个球。他们的防守结构在一些比赛中不是最好的，后卫犯了一些愚蠢的错误。此外，中场应该更积极地防守。即便如此，他们的预期进球(xGA)也只有8.45个。我相信他们的教练有能力在比赛的各个方面提高球队的表现。对于莫尔德令人失望的赛季开局，博彩公司似乎反应过度。这为我和我的球迷提供了一个机会，在莫尔德的胜率为-1.5的情况下，给他下个好赌注。最大的，通常是相当敏锐的博彩公司接受最大的赌注，为莫尔德提供了1.50-1.55的赔率，以至少两个进球的优势获胜。根据我强有力的数据分析，这种可能性是72%。

我们不能忘记莫尔德是卫冕冠军，上赛季他们拿到了非常多的积分——确切地说是78分。他们的比分相差71:25。另一方面，桑福德上赛季差一点就降级了。他们仅以24分的成绩排在第14位。他们的净胜球差到了可怕的42:68。毕竟，这个赛季并没有太大的变化。桑德福目前以6分排名第13位。他们在我的能量评级中排名第14位。不出所料，他们的进攻很蹩脚。它缺少所有能进很多球的东西!进攻结构很差，前锋速度不够快，创造力不够，在对手的球门附近也缺乏传球的准确性。这使得对手很容易成功防守。然而，他们只丢了6个球，这是一个非常低的数字，即使是目前领先的博多/格里姆特也丢了7个球。是的，他们的防守一直出奇的好，但是他们的xGA数量还是明显的多——10.02。莫尔德是一支强大的主队，拥有非常响亮和热情的球迷——按照挪威的标准。另一方面，桑德兰队上一次在埃利特泽林赢得一场客场比赛是在去年7月16日。他们现在已经连输三场了。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们在点球大战中以3比2输给了一支小球队艾克-汤斯伯格(Eik-Tonsberg)。另一方面，莫尔德从赛季初开始就有了明显的进步，并且在最近的比赛中赢了四场。本月16日，在控球率达到59%、进球次数(17-9)、射门次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多的情况下，他们不幸在客场1-3不敌阿尔勒松。莫尔德的预期进球数也要高得多(xG: 2.45 - 1.99)。