A GREAT match to bet on!
2023-05-29

Tapio

外籍分析师

冰岛超

05/29 01:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Fylkir VS Vestmannaeyjar


Fylkir welcome Vestamannaeyjar for this Icelandic Besta-deild karla round at Fylkisvöllur in Reykjavík, the capital of Iceland very early Monday morning Beijing time. This is the first tier of Icelandic football but the level is very low. It is even worse than that of the Finnish Veikkausliiga. We cannot expect a good-level game here – even by this league standards – between these two lowly teams. The hosts were promoted to this level for this season but did not fully convince me even in the second tier last season. They are a very small team in terms of financial resources and players total market value even by this league standards. They lack quality in all areas of the game and I expect them to have a difficult season. They are in 11th place in my power ratings that reflect the teams' pure class. According to well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com the hosts' squad has a total market value of just 955 000 euros but even this number is too high. I would say that the fair number is around 700 000 euros. The visitors' players have a total market value of 1.29 million euros. This is definitely too low! 4-5 players are undervalued and the fair market value would be around 1.70 million. Vestamannaeyjar have had a difficult start to the season but have much potential to improve in all areas of the game. I do trust their coach to work on especially the defense that has been too leaky so far.

 Let's not forget that the visitors played okay last season and finished in 8th place with a total of 32 points. Not that much has, after all, changed for this season. They have allowed 18 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 14.11. They have six points to their account but their number of expected points (xPTS) is 9.02. They have lost four games in a row but have been better on the pitch than these results would suggest. In their most recent match they faced Hafnarfjordur at home and lost 2-3. However, it was a balanced battle that could have gone either way. They would have deserved at least a point and the bookies should respect them more.. The hosts had 52% ball possession and also recorded more attacks – 103-90 to be precise. Fylkir too have been disappointing defensively this season and have allowed 18 goals which is a fair number in terms of xGA. They have been in bad form lately losing five of their most recent games. I have to admit that I may have underestimated their offense in my in-depth preseason analysis. Indeed, they have been surprisingly creativite but still do lack individual skill and speed. They have netted the ball 12 times in this league so far but almost certainly will not score 1.50 goals per game during the rest of the season. They have seven points to their account which is more than they would have deserved in terms of xPTS. The home advantage in this league is smaller than in most European leagues and Fylkir do not have very good fans.. The visitors are solid favorites with the expected lineups here.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

费基尔VS韦斯特曼尼贾尔


北京时间周一凌晨,在冰岛首都Reykjavík的Fylkisvöllur欢迎Vestamannaeyjar参加这场冰岛的best -deild karla比赛。这是冰岛足球的第一梯队,但水平很低。它甚至比芬兰的Veikkausliiga还要糟糕。即使按照联赛的标准,我们也不能指望这两支低水平球队之间会有一场高水平的比赛。主队本赛季升到了这个级别,但即使在上个赛季的二级联赛中也没有完全说服我。即使按照这个联盟的标准,他们的财政资源和球员的总市场价值都是一支非常小的球队。他们在比赛的各个方面都缺乏实力,我预计他们将度过一个艰难的赛季。在我的实力排名中,他们排在第11位,这反映了球队的纯粹实力。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,东道主球队的总市值只有95.5万欧元,但即使是这个数字也太高了。我想说,合理的数字是70万欧元左右。客队球员的总市值为129万欧元。这绝对太低了!4-5名球员被低估了,公平的市场价值在170万左右。维斯塔曼内亚尔本赛季开局艰难,但在比赛的各个方面都有很大的潜力可以提高。我相信他们的教练会在防守上有所作为,尤其是目前为止他们的防守漏洞太大了。

别忘了客队上赛季的表现还不错,总共拿到了32分,排在第8位。毕竟,这个赛季并没有太大的变化。他们丢了18个球,但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是14.11个。他们的账户上有6个点,但他们的预期点数(xPTS)是9.02。他们已经连续输了四场比赛,但在球场上的表现比这些结果所显示的要好。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在主场面对哈夫纳峡湾队,以2比3输掉了比赛。然而,这是一场两败俱伤的战斗。他们至少应该得到一分,博彩公司应该更尊重他们。主队有52%的控球率,也有更多的进攻记录——准确地说是103比90。费基尔本赛季的防守也令人失望,丢了18个球,这是一个相当大的数字。他们最近的状态很糟糕,输掉了最近的五场比赛。我不得不承认,在季前赛的深入分析中,我可能低估了他们的进攻。的确,他们具有惊人的创造力,但仍然缺乏个人技巧和速度。到目前为止,他们在联赛中有12次进球,但几乎可以肯定的是,在本赛季剩下的时间里,他们的场均进球数不会达到1.50。他们的账户上有7分,这比他们应得的分数要高。这个联赛的主场优势比大多数欧洲联赛都要小,而且费基尔也没有很好的球迷。客队是最受欢迎的阵容。

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