Fakel VS Krylya Sovetov

Fakel welcome Krylya Sovetov for this Russian Premier League round 29 battle at Tsentralnyi Profsoyuz Stadion in Voronezh late Sunday evening Beijing time. A total of 30 rounds will be played. The level of this league is mediocre by European standards. We cannot expect a particularly good-level game here - even by this league standards. The stakes are high and I expect a physical, intense and defensive game here. The goal expectancy is lower and the probability of a draw higher than the betting market seems to believe. Most importantly, however, we have a lucrative betting opportunity here. Krylya Sovetov currently occupy the 12th place in the standings where a total of 1 6clubs play. They have a clear edge over Fakel in all areas of the game. I must strongly disagree with the biggest, often somewhat smart bookies (that offer that odds on this game) accept the biggest betting limits. Even with today's expected lineups these bookies see the visitors only as slim favorites here offering them odds of around 2.60 to take all three points. Based on my sophisticated, strongly data-based analysis in-depth analysis the visitors deserve to be solid favorites. However, we will go with the +0.5 goals handicap with a big chance of winning! Both teams are in a fierce fight to avoid relegation to the second tier for next season. The visitors' situation looks much better than that of Fakel. Indeed, Krylya Sovetov have 29 points to their account. Their number of expected points is significantly higher though – 34.09 to be precise.

The hosts are currently in 14th place with 27 points in their pocket but their number of expected points (xPTS) is just 25.12. The teams who finish in 13th and 14th wil have to fight for their place in this league after the regular season has some to an end. Especially in terms of defensive quality the visitors are much better than Fakel. They have allowed 43 goals in this league so far this season but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is just 38.17. Fakel's defense is not the worst in this league but has been leaky -their xGA is 53.12. They lost their latest game to Lokomotiv Moscow away from home 0-1. The visitors, on the other hand, were impressive and crushed Ural 3-0 at home. I also want to mention that according to a very well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, the visitors' players have a total market value of just around 30 million euros. In my opinion this is a fair number. Fakel players have a total market value of only approximately 10 million which is too high! Fakel do not have particularly good home fans so the home advantage here is lower than normally..

Fakel VS Krylya Sovetov

北京时间周日晚，在沃罗涅日的岑特拉尼教授球场，法克勒欢迎克里亚·索维托夫参加俄罗斯超级联赛第29轮的比赛。比赛共进行30轮。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平是中等的。即使按照联赛的标准，我们也不能期待一场特别高水平的比赛。赌注很高，我期待着一场身体对抗，激烈和防守的比赛。预期进球比博彩市场所认为的要低，平局的可能性比博彩市场所认为的要高。然而，最重要的是，我们有一个有利可图的赌博机会。索维托夫目前在共有16家俱乐部参加的联赛中排名第12位。他们在游戏的所有领域都比Fakel有明显的优势。我必须强烈反对最大的，通常有些聪明的赌徒(在这个游戏中提供赔率)接受最大的投注限制。即使在今天的预期阵容中，这些博彩公司也只认为客队是微弱的热门，他们提供的赔率约为2.60，可以获得全部三分。基于我的复杂，强大的数据为基础的分析，深入分析的游客应该是坚实的最爱。然而，我们将使用+0.5个进球障碍，这是一个很大的获胜机会!两支球队都在为避免下赛季降级到乙级而进行激烈的竞争。游客的情况看起来比Fakel好多了。事实上，krryya Sovetov在他们的账户上有29分。不过，他们的期望值要高得多——准确地说是34.09分。

东道主目前以27分排名第14位，但他们的预期积分(xPTS)只有25.12分。常规赛结束后，排在第13位和第14位的球队将不得不为自己在联盟中的位置而战。特别是在防守质量方面，客队比法克尔强得多。本赛季到目前为止，他们在联赛中丢了43个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)只有38.17个。Fakel的防守并不是联盟中最差的，但是他们的xGA只有53.12。他们最近一场客场0-1输给了莫斯科火车头队。另一方面，客队表现出色，在主场3-0击败乌拉尔。我还想提一下，根据一个非常知名和受人尊敬的德国网站，Transfermarkt.com，客队球员的总市值只有大约3000万欧元。在我看来，这是一个合理的数字。假玩家的总市值只有大约1000万，这太高了!Fakel没有特别好的主场球迷，所以主场优势比平时要低。