A fine game to bet on! 奥乙 FAC维也纳VS圣珀尔滕
2023-05-27

Tapio

外籍分析师

奥乙

05/27 01:15

已完赛

解读理由:

Floridsdorfer AC VS St.Polten


Floridsdorfer welcome St. Polten for this Austrian 2. Liga round 29 battle at FAC-Platz in Vienna. This league is of relatively low level by European standards. Indeed, the difference compared to the first tier is substantial.. However, my fans and my main goal is to make a long-term profit and I am convinced that we have yet another great betting opportunity here. The bookmakers  pretty often seem to make surprisingly many mistakes with their odds in this league. The bookies put more resources on the bigger leagues that attactact more attention and money from bettors.. Floridsdorfer currently occupy the 7th place in the standings in this league with a total of 16 clubs.. They are, however, in 5th place in my power rating that reflects the teams' pure class. They have not quite met my expectations so far this season. Even so, the bookies should respect them more! They have 39 points to their account but would have deserved more. Indeed, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 45.15 to be precise. They have netted the ball 36 times in this league so Even so, their number of expected goals (xG) is 42.55. Their defense has been even surprisingly solid and they have allowed just 29 goals so far. This is just three more goals than a very strong team, BW Linz, currently in second place in the league table. The visitors have allowed 25 goals but their number of expected goals allowed is higher – 28.42. Indeed, in this area of the game the visitors only have a very marginal edge over the hosts..

St. Polten have scored 49 goals so far but their number of xPTS is just 43.02. They have been lucky this season in terms of expected points as they have 53 points in their pocket. However, their number of xPTS is just 47.13. Most big bookies that accept the biggest bets see the visitors as solid favorites offering them odds of around 2.20 to take all three points but based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis this match is expected to be very balanced. With the expected lineups I do not see either team as the favorite. Both teams have struggled with scoring recently and I see this match as more low-scoring than the betting market does. The draw would not surprise anyone and would be enough for my fans and me to win with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap on Floridsdorfer! They have lost just one of their most recent six games. The visitors, on the other hand, have failed to win any of their most recent three matches!. They were very disappointing in their latest game – losing 1-2 to Kapfenberg away from home. St. Polten very big favorites in this game – priced around 1.70 to win by the bookies. This was yet another example of them being over-rated on the betting market. Before this they lost to BW Linz at home 0-2 and failed to record any shots on goal. The visitors recorded nine shots on target! What an abysmal performance it was!



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佛罗里达队VS圣波顿队


佛罗里达人欢迎圣波顿来参加这个奥地利的比赛。西甲第29轮比赛将在维也纳举行。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平相对较低。的确,与第一层相比,差距是巨大的…然而,我的球迷和我的主要目标是赚取长期利润,我相信我们在这里还有一个很好的投注机会。在这个联赛中,博彩公司似乎经常在赔率上犯很多令人惊讶的错误。博彩公司把更多的资源放在更大的联赛上,以吸引更多的关注和投注者的钱。佛罗里达队目前在这个联赛中排名第七,共有16家俱乐部。然而,他们在我的实力排名中排名第五,这反映了球队的纯粹等级。本赛季到目前为止,他们并没有达到我的期望。即便如此,博彩公司也应该更尊重他们!他们目前有39分,但本可以得到更多。确切地说,他们的期望值(xPTS)是45.15。尽管如此,他们的预期进球数(xG)是42.55。他们的防守甚至出奇的稳固,到目前为止他们只丢了29个球。这只比目前排名第二的强队BW林茨多进了3个球。客队丢了25个球,但他们的预期丢球数更高——28.42个。的确,在比赛的这方面客队只比主队略胜一筹。

圣波尔滕目前已经打进49球,但他们的得分只有43.02分。从预期积分来看,他们本赛季很幸运,因为他们已经拿到了53分。然而,他们的xPTS数量只有47.13个。大多数接受最大赌注的大型博彩公司都认为客队是最受欢迎的球队,他们提供2.20左右的赔率来获得所有三分,但根据我复杂的深入分析,这场比赛预计会非常平衡。根据预期的阵容,我不认为这两支球队是最受欢迎的。两支球队最近都在努力得分,我认为这场比赛比博彩市场上的得分更低。平局不会让任何人感到惊讶,而且对于我和我的球迷来说,在佛罗里达斯多弗推荐的+0.5个进球的情况下赢得比赛已经足够了!在最近的六场比赛中,他们只输了一场。另一方面,客队最近三场比赛一场也没赢。他们在最近一场比赛中表现得非常令人失望——客场1-2不敌卡芬堡。圣波尔顿队在这场比赛中非常受欢迎,博彩公司开出的赔率在1.70左右。这是他们在博彩市场上被高估的又一个例子。在此之前,他们在主场0-2输给了BW林茨,并且没有任何射门记录。客队射正了9次!多么糟糕的表演啊!

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