Tacuary VS Estudiantes La Plata

Tacuary welcome Estudiantes La Plata for this Copa Sudamericana group stage round 4 battle at Estadio Defensores del Chaco in Asunción early Friday morning Beijing time. The visitors are an Argentinian team – the hosts come from Paraguay. Both teams still have a chance to qualify for the Play Offs. The group winner qualifies for the 1/8.finals and the team that finishes in second place qualifies for the 1/16-finals. The visitors have grabbed a total of seven points so far. They currently occupy the second place in the group. They have netted the ball five times in this group and have not conceded any goals so far. They have been very lucky not to concede even a single goal and we should not be fooled by this. Yes, their defense has been solid and stupid defensive mistakes have been rare but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is clearly over 2.00 goals. In their most recent match in this group they faced Bragantino, the current group leaders, away from home and were lucky to take a point. No goals were scored in this clash. I want to mention that Bragantino played below their normal level in this game. Estudiantes La Plata, on the other hand, played better than their normal level- Even so, the Brazilian hosts had 55% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (14-9), shots goal, total passes, completed passes and attacks. 

Tacuary have three points to their account and have scored four goals so far. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is higher – 4.43 to be precise. They have allowed nine goals and would have to improve in this area to take points today – and/or to qualify for the Play Offs. They have the potential to do this and I trust their often underrated coach. Their number of xGA is 7.12. In their most recent match they comfortably beat a Bolivian team, Oriente Petrolero, at home. 3-1 was the final score. They have loud and loyal  fans and  I expect the atmosphere at Estadio Defensores del Chaco to be great in this game! Fans usually love to see their team go against a strong opponent from another country. Tacuary fully deserved the three points against Petrolero after recording many more goal attempts (17-10), shots on goal (7-4), total passes, completed passes and attacks. They also generated more in xG. There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that the visitors are the better team here. They have an advantage over the hosts in all areas of the game. Even so, the current odds of around 1.40 offered by the biggest, often pretty sharp bookies that accept the biggest bets from customers on Estudiantes La Plata to win are way too low! The fans who want to go for bigger odds and accept a lower probability of winning can take Tacuary with the +0.5 goals handicap. We will,however, go with the +1.5 handicap option on the hosts with a clearly over 60% chance of winning! The teams locked horns on the 19th of April in Argentina and the hosts fully deserved to win. However, Tacuary did have their chances and recorded seven goal attempts. The final score (4-0) is somewhat misleading and probably affects the odds here too much. The hosts have lost just one of their most recent six games by a margin of more than one goal. Furthermore, the visitors have won just once in their latest six games by a margin of more than one goal..

Tacuary VS student La Plata

北京时间周五凌晨，南美杯小组赛第四轮比赛将在Asunción查科防御球场举行，欢迎拉普拉塔学生队参加。客队是阿根廷队，主队是巴拉圭队。两支球队都有机会进入附加赛。小组冠军有资格参加1/8的比赛。决赛，获得第二名的队伍有资格参加1/16决赛。到目前为止，客队总共获得了7分。他们目前在小组中排名第二。他们在小组赛中五次进球，至今没有失球。他们非常幸运没有丢球，我们不应该被他们的表现所迷惑。是的，他们的防守很稳固，愚蠢的防守失误很少，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)显然超过了200个。在该组最近的一场比赛中，他们在客场面对目前小组第一的布拉坎蒂诺，幸运地拿到了一分。在这场冲突中没有进球。我想说的是，布拉甘蒂诺在这场比赛中的表现低于他们的正常水平。另一方面，拉普拉塔大学生队的表现比他们的正常水平要好——尽管如此，巴西主队有55%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球次数(14-9)、射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数和进攻次数。

到目前为止，他们已经进了4个球，拿到了3分。然而，他们的预期目标数量(xG)更高——准确地说是4.43。他们已经丢了9个球，要想在今天拿到积分，或者晋级附加赛，他们必须在这方面有所提高。他们有潜力做到这一点，我相信他们经常被低估的教练。它们的xGA数是7.12。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场轻松击败了玻利维亚的东方石油队。3比1是最后的比分。他们有响亮而忠诚的球迷，我希望查科防守球场的气氛在这场比赛中会很好!球迷们通常喜欢看到自己的球队对阵来自另一个国家的强队。Tacuary在对Petrolero的比赛中获得了3分，他的进球次数(17-10)、射正次数(7-4)、传球次数、完成传球次数和进攻次数都更多。他们在xG中也产生了更多。毫无疑问，客队在这里是一支更好的球队。他们在比赛的各个方面都比东道主有优势。即便如此，目前最大的、通常相当精明的博彩公司提供的1.40左右的赔率也太低了，他们接受客户对拉普拉塔学生队的最大赌注!想要获得更大赔率并接受较低获胜概率的球迷可以选择进球障碍为+0.5的Tacuary。我们将，然而，去+1.5的障碍选项在东道主明显超过60%的获胜机会!两队于4月19日在阿根廷交锋，东道主完全配得上胜利。然而，塔库利确实有机会，他们有7次射门。最终比分(4比0)多少有些误导，可能对这里的赔率影响太大。东道主在最近的六场比赛中只输了一场，落后一球以上。此外，客队在最近的六场比赛中只赢了一场球以上的胜利。