70% WINS IN LA LIGA! 西甲 皇马VS巴列卡诺
2023-05-24

Ricards

外籍分析师

西甲

05/25 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

On Wednesday night, 5 games in the Spanish La Liga will happen. One of them is going to be between two teams from Madrid - Real and Rayo Vallecano. After 35 games, Real has 22 wins, 5 draws, 8 losses, a total of 71 points and 3rd place while Rayo has 12 wins, 10 draws, 13 losses, a total of 46 points and 11th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Real is going to win.

Last week wasn't the best for Real. The team lost to Manchester City on the road by 0:4 and ended their Champions League semifinal and on Sunday, the team lost on the road to Valencia. For the 1st time this season, Real has lost 2 games in a row and we know that losing any more games won't satisfy any Real fan, especially the heads of the team. The good thing is that Real will play at home where they have 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the last 10 games. Real is 2nd best home team this season with 12 wins, 4 draws in 17 games, with a total of 41 goals scored and 14 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 2.60 goals at home (the best) and concede 1.13 (3rd best).

Rayo Vallecano has lost the last 2 games and has just 2 wins in the last 6 games. The team struggles a lot on the road where they have 5 losses and 2 draws in the last 7 games. In 2023, the team has only 2 wins away from home and both were in January. Overall this season, Rayo has 4 wins and 5 draws in 17 road games, with a total of 16 goals scored and 26 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.42 goals on the road and concede 1.64.

Real Madrid will be without Vinicius Junior due to suspension while attacking duo Eden Hazard and Mariano Diaz are unlikely to feature. As for Rayo Vallecano, Mario Suarez will serve the final game of his two-match suspension, but Oscar Valentin is available to return from his one-match ban.

Rayo won the 1st matchup of the season as they won 3:2 at home but Real had an xG of 2.39 while Rayo had 1.55. While there's a slim chance for Rayo to get into the European zone, it is very unlikely. Expect Madrid to be very motivated because they have beaten Rayo at home in the last 10 meetings. I'm more than sure that Real won't get 3rd loss in a row.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周三晚上,西甲联赛将进行5场比赛。其中一场比赛将在皇马和巴列卡诺之间展开。35场比赛后,皇马22胜5平8负,积71分排名第3,而雷约12胜10平13负,积46分排名第11。在这场比赛中,我预测皇马会赢。

上周对皇马来说不是最好的。球队在客场0:4负于曼城,结束了他们的欧冠半决赛,周日,球队在客场输给了瓦伦西亚。这是本赛季皇马第一次连输2场,我们知道再输任何一场比赛都不会让皇马球迷满意,尤其是球队的领导。好消息是皇马将在主场比赛,他们在过去10场比赛中取得了8胜1平1负的战绩。皇马是本赛季表现第二好的主队,17场比赛12胜4平,进41球失14球。按xG计算,球队预计将在主场打入2.60球(最好),失球1.13球(第三)。

巴列卡诺最近2场输球,在最近6场比赛中只赢了2场。在过去的7场比赛中,球队有5负2平的战绩。在2023年,球队只有2场客场胜利,而且都是在1月份。本赛季,雷约在17场客场比赛中取得4胜5平的成绩,进16球失26球。平均每场比赛,球队预计将在客场取得1.42个进球,失球1.64个。

由于禁赛,皇马将失去小维尼修斯,而锋线双雄阿扎尔和迪亚兹也不太可能出现在比赛中。至于巴列卡诺,马里奥·苏亚雷斯将在两场禁赛的最后一场比赛中出场,但奥斯卡·瓦伦丁可以从一场禁赛中复出。

在本赛季的第1场比赛中,皇马主场3:2获胜,但皇马的xG为2.39,而雷约的xG为1.55。虽然Rayo进入欧元区的机会很小,但可能性很小。期待皇马充满斗志,因为他们在过去的10次交锋中都在主场击败了雷诺。我非常肯定皇马不会连输三场。

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