11/12 WON in this league! $$$
2023-05-22

Tapio

外籍分析师

罗甲

05/23 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Rapid Bucuresti vs Universitatea Craiova



Rapid București host Universitatea Craiova for this Romanian Liga 1 Championship Group round 9 battle in Bucharest, the capital of Romania. This league is of mediocre level by European standars but by Liga 1 standards we can expect a good-level game here! Universitatea Craiova currently occupy the 4th place in the Promotion Group standings where a total of six clubs play. The hosts are in 5th place.The points calculation system in the group is a little confusing so let's first take a look at the regular season standings to best understand the teams' long-term results and level.. 30 rounds were played and the visitors finished in 4th place with 52 points in their pocket. They had a score difference of 40:26. Rapid București, on the other hand, also played well and ended up in the 5thth place. They, in fact, had a better score difference than Universitatea Craiova!  Indeed, they netted the ball 40 times and allowed 26 goals. In terms of expected points (xPTS) both teams more or less grabbed the number of points they deserved.

The hosts now have 35 points to their account in the Championship Group table and have netted the ball 10 times and have conceded 16 goals. Indeed, have not been fully convinced by their defense recently – their defenders have made too many individual mistakes. However, I want to highlight that they allowed seven (!) goals on the 6th of May away from home against Farul Constanta. Indeed, the 16 goals allowed does not correctly reflect their defensive quality.. We have to remember that Farul Constanta are a very good team and currently top the standings with 50 points in their pocket. Furthermore, they were big favorites in this - priced around 1.50 by the bookies to take all three points. It was a weird match where Farul seemed to succeed in everything they tried! Alibec scored the first goal in the 3rd minute and Baluta scored twice before half an hour had been played. After this the match was more or less over and it seemed like Bucuresti started saving energy for the upcoming matches.. When the score was 3-0 the situation was simply hopeless. Bucuresti clearly wanted to avoid injuries too..

The betting market seems to have over-reacted to the heavy loss. Rapid Bucuresti, too, had their chances – they recorded eight goal attempts. They also recorded 50 attacks – Farul's number was 67. Yes, of course the hosts deserved to win but the final score is still very misleading. In their most recent match their defense was solid and no goals were scored in a home game against Sepsi St. Gheorghe, a dangerous team. Bucuresti would have deserved to win this match. Indeed, they had 54% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (11-7), shots on and off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks.The home advantage in Romania is substantial - Rapid Bucuresti have loyal and loud fans. They have played well at their stadium so far this season not losing any of their latest four home games – two wins and two draws. Moreover, they have lost just two of their most recent matches in front of their fans! With the expected lineups the visitors do have a narrow edge in all areas of the game. The biggest, often pretty sharp bookmakers that accept the biggest bets from customers see the hosts as clear favorites here – offering them odds of around 2.20 to take all three points. I must disagree and taking the home advantage into account based on an in-depth, strongly data-based analysis, I see this match as a coin toss – a 50-50% battle without a favorite. This means that the recommended betting option of +0.5 goals handicap is a lucrative one. Even a draw would bring my fans and me yet another win in this league where the bookies seem to make many mistakes with their odds!

Before the catastrophic 2-7 loss to Farul, Bucuresti showed their class and beat the reigning champions, CFR Cluj, 3-1 at home. I want to mention that Cluj are a very big club in terms of financial resources and historical success in Romania. It was a very strong performance especially offensively! The bookies offered them odds of around 3.20-3.70 to win when the match started. This was yet another example of the bookies underestimating Bucuresti! The visitors have 37 to their account in the Championship standings and have a score difference of 12:11. In terms of expected points they would have deserved a little more though – 38.12 to be precise. The bookies seem to give their potential for improvement and more wins too much emphasis.. They have, after all, not won any of their most recent games. Their offense lacks some individual skill and creativity at critical moments to capitalize on the scoring chances and often pretty high ball possession %. Universitatea Craiova did play well against Farul Constanța at home in their most recent game but it was a 1-1 draw. However, I want to mention that the visitors played below their normal level in this match.. In terms of players total market value - according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com the teams are almost equal. The visitors' players have a total market value of 18.45 million euros. Bucuresti's squad is valued at 17.40 million. Both numbers are correct in my opinion. The last three times the teams have locked horns there has been one draw and each team have won once.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Rapid Bucuresti vs .克拉约瓦大学



在罗马尼亚首都布加勒斯特举行的罗马尼亚甲级联赛小组赛第9轮比赛中,快速队București主场迎战克拉约瓦大学。以欧洲的标准来看,这个联赛是中等水平的,但以西甲的标准来看,我们可以期待一场高水平的比赛!克拉约瓦大学目前在升级组排名第四,共有六家俱乐部参加。东道主排名第五。小组的积分计算系统有点混乱,所以让我们先看看常规赛积分榜,以最好地了解球队的长期成绩和水平。在30轮比赛中,客队以52分的成绩排名第四。他们的比分差是40:26。另一方面,快速București也发挥得很好,最终获得了第五名。事实上,他们的分数差距比克拉约瓦大学还要大!事实上,他们打进了40球,丢了26球。在期望积分(xPTS)方面,两支球队或多或少地获得了他们应得的积分。

东道主目前在英冠小组积分榜上积35分,10次进球,丢16球。事实上,我对他们最近的防守并不完全信服——他们的后卫犯了太多的个人错误。然而,我想强调的是,他们在5月6日客场对阵康斯坦塔的比赛中丢了7个球。的确,16个失球并不能正确反映他们的防守质量。我们必须记住,康斯坦塔是一支非常优秀的球队,目前他们以50分的成绩排名第一。此外,他们在这场比赛中是大热门——博彩公司的价格约为1.50分,可以获得全部三分。这是一场奇怪的比赛,法鲁似乎什么都能成功!阿里贝克在第3分钟打进第一球,巴卢塔在半小时前梅开二度。在这之后,比赛或多或少结束了,布加勒斯特似乎开始为即将到来的比赛积蓄能量。当比分是3比0时,情况简直是没有希望了。布加勒斯特显然也想避免受伤。

博彩市场似乎对巨额损失反应过度。快手布加勒斯特也有机会,他们有8次射门。他们还记录了50次袭击,而法鲁尔的数字是67次。是的,东道主当然应该获胜,但是最后的比分仍然很容易误导人。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们的防守很稳固,在主场对阵一支危险的球队圣乔治的比赛中没有进球。布加勒斯特应该赢得这场比赛。事实上,他们有54%的控球率,记录了更多的进球次数(11-7),射门和射门,进攻和危险进攻。在罗马尼亚的主场优势是巨大的——快速布加勒斯特拥有忠实而响亮的球迷。本赛季到目前为止,他们在主场打得很好,最近4场主场比赛2胜2平,没有输掉任何一场。此外,他们最近在球迷面前只输了两场比赛!在预期的阵容下,客队在比赛的各个方面都有微弱的优势。最大的、通常相当精明的博彩公司接受客户最大的赌注,他们认为东道主显然是最受欢迎的——给他们提供2.20左右的赔率来获得全部三分。我必须不同意,考虑到基于深入的、强有力的数据分析的主场优势,我认为这场比赛就像扔硬币一样——50-50%的战斗,没有最爱。这意味着推荐的+0.5个进球障碍的投注选项是有利可图的。即使平局也会给我和我的球迷带来另一场胜利,在这个博彩公司似乎在赔率上犯了很多错误的联赛中!

在7 - 2惨败给法鲁尔之前,布库雷斯蒂展示了他们的实力,在主场以3-1击败了卫冕冠军克鲁日。我想说的是,就财政资源和在罗马尼亚取得的历史成就而言,克鲁日是一家非常大的俱乐部。这是一场非常强劲的表现,尤其是在进攻端!比赛开始时,博彩公司给他们的赔率约为3.20-3.70。这又是一个赌马人低估布库雷斯蒂的例子!客队在冠军赛积分榜上有37分,比分差距为12:11。从预期积分来看,他们应该得到更多——准确地说是38.12分。博彩公司似乎过于强调他们的进步潜力和更多的胜利。毕竟,他们最近一场比赛都没赢过。他们的进攻在关键时刻缺乏一些个人技术和创造力来利用得分机会,而且通常控球率很高。大学

克拉约娃在最近一场主场对阵法鲁尔Constanța的比赛中踢得不错,但比分是1-1平。然而,我想说的是客队在这场比赛中的表现低于他们的正常水平。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,在球员的总市值方面,两支球队几乎持平。客队球员的总市值为1845万欧元。布加勒斯特的球队价值1740万英镑。在我看来,两个数字都是正确的。在过去的三次交锋中,两队各取得一场平局和一场胜利。

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