West Ham is looking for their third final in a major European tournament, after beating AZ 2:1 in the first leg.

The previous game was dominated by West Ham - they had 2.9 expected goals (xG) against 0.3 for AZ, 18 shots, 7 on target… but this game will be much different.

The Hammers are in bad form, losing 4 of their last 5 Premier League games and conceding 11 goals. They achieved the target of avoiding relegation, so coach Moyes made several changes in this weekend's game. Although their campaign in the Premier League has not been so good, in the Conference League has been great with 11 games unbeaten and 11 victories. But we must also remember that their rivals were pretty weak (Gent, AEK Larnaca, GCSB, Silkeborg…).

Furthermore, their away performances this season have been so poor, beating only weak-relegation teams from the Premier League or very weak sides in the Conference such as AEK Larnaca or Silkeborg. In the previous round of ¼ finals against Gent they were outplayed (less possession, xG, just 2 shots on target…) and drew 1:1.

On the other hand, AZ did what they needed to do in the first game – ensure a return to Alkmaar with the match still in the balance, and it certainly is.

They managed to beat one of the main title contenders in ⅛ finals - Lazio, thanks to a solid victory 1:2 in Italy and 2:1 at home. In ¼ finals they also managed to beat Anderlecxht thanks to the result of 2:0 at home, followed by the penalties shootout. And we must remember that Anderlecht beat another main title contender - Villarreal.

AZ is in really good form, including this weekend victory 5:1 against Emmen with 29 shots and 3.4 expected goals. In European competition, Including qualifiers, Pascal Jansen’s side are unbeaten in their last 25 home games (W17 D8). They won all eight games on home soil in the UEFA Conference League this season by an aggregate score of 25-5 (including qualifiers).

A draw would be enough for West Ham to achieve the final, and this will be a very difficult game to play as they know that and won’t be looking for the victory. AZ has been very strong at home this season in the Conference League and will put a lot of intensity and motivation on the field, which will be difficult for West Ham to equalize. Both teams have the same quality so I believe that the double chance for the home team, including the fact that guests just need a draw to qualify, is the right bet here.

西汉姆联在首回合以2:1击败阿斯滕后，正在寻求他们在欧洲主要赛事中的第三次决赛。

上一场比赛是由西汉姆联统治的——他们有2.9个预期进球(xG)，而阿斯马那有0.3个预期进球，18次射门，7次射正……但是这场比赛将会有很大的不同。

铁锤帮状态不佳，最近5场联赛输了4场，丢了11球。他们实现了保级的目标，所以教练莫耶斯在本周末的比赛中做出了一些改变。虽然他们在英超的表现不太好，但在联盟联赛中却取得了11场不败和11场胜利。但我们也必须记住，他们的对手相当弱(Gent, AEK拉纳卡，GCSB, Silkeborg…)。

此外，他们本赛季的客场表现非常糟糕，只击败了英超的弱降级球队或非常弱的球队，如拉纳卡AEK或西尔克堡。在上一轮1 / 4决赛对阵根特的比赛中，他们处于劣势(控球率更低，xG，只有2次射门)，1:1战平。

另一方面，阿斯利康在第一场比赛中做了他们需要做的事情——确保在比赛仍处于平衡状态的情况下回到阿尔克马尔，这确实是。

他们在决赛中以1:2在意大利和2:1在主场的大胜击败了一个主要的冠军争夺者——拉齐奥。在1 / 4决赛中，他们也凭借主场2:0的比分击败了安德莱赫特，随后又进行了点球大战。我们必须记住，安德莱赫特击败了另一个冠军争夺者——比利亚雷亚尔。

阿斯兰的状态真的很好，包括周末5:1战胜埃门，射门29次，预期进球3.4个。在包括预选赛在内的欧洲赛事中，帕斯卡·詹森的球队在最近25场主场比赛中保持不败(W17 D8)。本赛季在欧洲联盟联赛的主场比赛中，他们以25比5的总比分(包括预选赛)赢得了所有8场比赛。

一场平局就足以让西汉姆进入决赛，这将是一场非常艰难的比赛，因为他们知道这一点，他们不会去寻求胜利。阿斯利康本赛季在东部联赛的主场表现非常强劲，他们将在球场上投入大量的精力和动力，这对西汉姆来说很难追平。两支球队都有同样的实力，所以我相信主队有双倍的机会，包括客队只需要一场平局就能出线，这是正确的赌注。