With optimal lineups and in form Betis would be even a bigger favourite in this Andalucian derby, but they have been bad, miss a lot of players, and Cadiz are ready to surprise anyone if given a chance. Here are my thoughts:

In the table both teams are rather correctly placed compared to xG-statistics. Cadiz have been a lot better than expected before the season, and despite a decent start Manuel Pellegrini's Betis are one of the biggest disappointments of the season. A few glimpses of class here and there. Let us look at the latest 7 results and xG-data.

Not much to cheer about, is there? Two winds vd relegation candidates, and a decent fight vs Villarreal, but the rest...

The biggest reason for the poor performances is that their key midfielder Canales has been and will be out, and today it is not any easier as df Emerson, mf Rodriguez are suspended, Carvalho and Camarasa are injured, and there are also several very important doubts in all areas. Also it seems that their star player Nabil Fekir seems to be desperate, their other talisman legend is approaching 40 years, and the likely striker today Sanabria is not good enough for this big size of a club. Perhaps Pellegrini sees the light and fields out of favour Iglesias instead?

Unfortunately there is very little positive to say about Betis today, I do like them as a club, but defensively they are currently the weakest in the league, and have nothing to show in the attack either.

Cadiz then?

Last 7 games with xG show us this:

They have won both Real Madrid and Barcelona this season which is something not many clubs can say, but the last two games have been weak. The 4-0 loss vs in-form Celta lies a lot as a result, but the home loss to Getafe raises questions as it was a poor game.

Cadiz also relies in a rather short material especially in the attack, but today they have both Lozano and Negero fit and starting, and they can cause troubles vs any team with the pace and experience. The only absentee for sure is a long-term Luismi, a few classy players are doubts but will probably be used as this is mentally a big derby for Cadiz who have always been as little brothers in nearly Seville City.

There is all the chance that once more Betis do hurt themselves here on their own, so if Cadiz are patient enough the chances will come, and they have already showed their countering skill. They have scored 10 of their 11 total goals from open play, so they are a lot less dependant on set pieces than promoted teams usually are. They are more likely to score from open play here than their hosts!

Long story short. I want to be brave here and look for an away win with huge odds, but of course 1X would win a lot more often so the choice is up to you. In any case I am not afraid of Betis until they get their key men back, and a decent rest.

1-3

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

拥有最佳阵容和最佳状态的贝蒂斯在这场安达卢西亚德比中会更受欢迎，但他们的表现很糟糕，错过了很多球员，加的斯已经准备好了给任何人一个惊喜，如果有机会的话。以下是我的想法:

在该表中，与xG-statistics相比，两个团队的位置都相当正确。卡迪斯在赛季前的表现比预期要好得多，尽管有一个不错的开局，佩莱格里尼的贝蒂斯是本赛季最大的失望之一。在这里或那里瞥见一些阶级。让我们看看最新的7个结果和xG-data。

没有什么值得欢呼的，对吧?两风vd降级候选人，和比利亚雷亚尔打了一场像样的比赛，但剩下的…

球队表现不佳的最大原因是他们的核心中场卡纳莱斯已经离场，而且即将离场。今天的情况并不容易，埃默森、罗德里格斯停赛，卡瓦略和卡马拉萨都受伤了，在各个方面都有一些非常重要的疑问。同时，他们的明星球员纳比尔·费克尔看起来也很绝望，他们的另一个传奇人物已经接近40年了，而今天可能的前锋萨纳布里亚对于这样一个大俱乐部来说还不够好。也许佩莱格里尼看到了光明和球场对伊格莱西亚斯不利?

不幸的是，今天关于贝蒂斯没有什么正面的评价，作为一个俱乐部，我确实喜欢他们，但他们目前在防守上是联盟中最弱的，在进攻上也没有任何表现。

加的斯呢?

过去7场比赛的预期进球数数据xG告诉我们:

他们本赛季赢得了皇家马德里和巴塞罗那，这是没有多少俱乐部能说的，但最近两场比赛是弱的。0 - 4输给了塞尔塔，这是一个很大的问题，但是主场输给赫塔菲，这是一场糟糕的比赛，这引起了人们的质疑。

加的斯在进攻上阵容也差，但今天他们同时拥有洛扎诺和内吉罗，他们在速度和经验上都能给任何球队带来麻烦。唯一可以肯定的是长期缺席的卢伊斯米，一些优秀的球员尚不确定，但可能会被使用，因为这是一场精神上的德比战，卡迪斯在塞维利亚几乎一直就像小兄弟一样。

贝蒂斯很有可能再次自己伤害自己，所以如果加的斯足够有耐心，机会就会到来，他们已经展示了他们的反击技能。他们的11个进球中有10个是在开放式比赛中打进的，所以他们对定位球的依赖比晋级球队通常要小得多。在这里，他们比东道主更有可能在公开比赛中进球!

长话短说。我想在这里勇敢一点，寻找一个客场赢球的机会，但1X当然会赢得更多，所以选择取决于你。无论如何，我不怕贝蒂斯，除非他们让关键人物回来，好好休息一下。

预测比分1:3。