In my opinion Everton have really good chances to avoid loss in today's match up.

In overall Everton have solid record at home against Manchester United - they went unbeaten in 61 of 92 home matches against them.

Both teams are in great form - at ghe moment both are in top4 with 26 points on their accounts. On the paper looks like very hard match to predict, but I have three strong reasons for my bet:

1. Home advantage:

Everton is very solid team at home - they went unbeaten in 40 of last 50 home matches in all competitions. They are not easy to beat at Goodison Park.

2. Motivation:

I believe EFL Cup means much more for Everton than for United. Everton didn't won any cup for a long time and they have only 3 matches left here, title as well can give them promotion to European Cups. I see big motivation in hosts camp before today's game. On the other hand United have much bigger goals in current season, on the paper they have a shot to win Premier League and top4 position at the end of the season is 'must have' for manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer. If he fail to do it, even with EFL cup in hands he will not avoid release.

3. Tiredness and schedule:

Everton had longer break between end of last season and start of current. Since start of November Everton played 8 matches, on the other hand Manchester in the same period played 12 matches - this is huge difference. Everton played last match Saturday at home against Arsenal (2:1), they don't have to travel. On Boxing Day they will play against the worst team in league from Sheffield, rotation is not necessary today. On the other hand United played last match Sunday. On the Boxing Day they will play huge game on away against Leicester on away (second place in table) - I believe that game is much more important for the team and because of that today Solskjaer will save his key players for upcoming Premier League game.

Everton plays at home, have bigger freshness and is fully motivated to win. As well Everton squad should looks closer to their best possible line up and I see reserve team for United. I don't see United top players like Rashford or Bruno Fernandes in first squad.

I trust for Everton here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来，埃弗顿有很好的机会避免在今天的比赛中输球。

总的来说，埃弗顿在主场对阵曼联的比赛中保持着稳定的记录——他们92场主场对阵曼联的比赛中有61场不败。

两支球队现在状态都很好，现在他们都以26分的成绩排在前四。从纸上看，这场比赛很难预测，但我有三个强有力的理由支持我的打赌:

1. 主场优势:

埃弗顿是一支非常坚固的球队，他们在过去的50场主场比赛中保持了40场不败。他们在古迪逊公园球场并不容易被击败。

2. 动机:

我相信EFL杯对埃弗顿比曼联更重要。埃弗顿很长一段时间没有赢得任何奖杯，他们在这里只剩下3场比赛，冠军也可以让他们晋级欧洲杯。我在今天比赛前的主场训练营看到了巨大的动力。另一方面，曼联在本赛季有更大的目标，从纸面上看他们有机会赢得英超冠军，赛季末的前四位置对主教练索尔斯克亚来说是“必须的”。如果他没有做到这一点，即使手中握着EFL杯，他也无法避免被释放。

3.疲劳和进度:

埃弗顿在上赛季末和赛季初之间有较长的休息时间。自11月初以来，埃弗顿打了8场比赛，而曼联则在同一时期打了12场比赛——这是一个巨大的差异。埃弗顿在上周六主场迎战阿森纳的比赛中出场，他们不用远行。在节礼日他们将对阵联盟中最差的谢菲尔德队，今天不需要轮换。另一方面，曼联参加了上周日的最后一场比赛。在节礼日，他们将在客场对阵莱斯特城(积分榜第二)——我相信比赛对球队来说更为重要，正因为如此，今天索尔斯科亚将为即将到来的英超比赛保留他的关键球员。

埃弗顿在主场比赛，有更强的新鲜感，充满了取胜的动力。埃弗顿的阵容应该更接近他们的最佳阵容，我认为曼联有后备阵容。我没有看到曼联的顶级球员像拉什福德或布鲁诺费尔南德斯进入一线队。