La Liga: big motivation or big pressure?
2021-04-02

Przem

外籍分析师

西甲

04/03 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Huesca have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

First match of the season between both teams finished with draw 1:1, but according to expected goals model Huesca played better there (1.78 against 0.71). In overall Huesca have very good streak against Levante - they didn't lost in last 5 matches in a row against them.

Of course, Levante is extremely solid team at home, but they are in very safe place in the table now - no chances for cups (10 points behind) and no stress about relegation (12 points above). All in all, this is not must win match for them. Their form is not on the highest level now - only 1 win in last 5 matches, 1:0 at home average Valencia in derby. That wasn't fully deserved win, that match could finished with every outcome - expected goals scored for Levante 0.78, for Valencia 0.74. Levante defense is not hard to break at the moment, they conceded at least one goal in 4 of last 5 matches.

On the other hand I see huge motivation for Huesca to grab some points today. They are on last position in table, 4 points behind safe place, but in current season they played much better than their results shows. According to the expected goals scored table they should be on 13th place. I see progress in their game since new coach Pacheta arrived to the club in January. They scored at least one goal in 4 of last 5 matches. They made at least one point in 3 of last 5 matches, but even when they lost they played on good level. They lost at home against Celta, but they should win - expected goals scored for Huesca 2.29, for Celta 0.87. When they lost on away against Barcelona, as well they played on high level - expected goals scored for Huesca 2.23(!), for Barcelona 1.13.

Pacheta said: “The room for mistakes is getting smaller every time, but we still have ten games to go. We trained well and played well. The team shows reactions. "

I trust for Huesca form and motivation here.


在我看来,韦斯卡确实有很好的机会在今天的比赛中取得至少取得1分。

两支球队赛季首场比赛以1:1结束,但根据预期进球,韦斯卡的表现更好(1.78对0.71)。总体来说,韦斯卡对莱万特的战绩非常出色-他们在最近5场比赛中均未输给莱万特。

当然,莱万特是一支主场非常稳定的球队,但他们现在在积分榜上的位置非常安全-没有机会冲击欧战(落后10分),也没有降级的压力(高12分)。总而言之,这不是一场必须要拿下的比赛。他们的状态目前还没有处在最高水平-在最近5场比赛中只有1场胜利,在德比战中1-0战胜巴伦西亚。那不是完全应得的胜利,比赛的结果一切皆有可能-预期进球莱万特0.78,瓦伦西亚0.74。目前,莱万特的防守并不难打破,他们在最近5场比赛中有4场都有失球。

另一方面,韦斯卡今天抢分的动力巨大。他们排在积分榜的最后位置,比安全位置落后4分,但是在当前赛季,他们的表现要比他们的成绩更好。根据预期的进球显示,他们应该排在积分榜第13位。自从新教练帕切塔(Pacheta)在一月份执教球队以来,我看到了他们的比赛进步。他们在最近5场比赛中的4场比赛中至少打进了一个进球。他们在最近5场比赛中有3场都取得了积分,即使输了比赛,他们的表现也不错。他们在主场对阵Celta的比赛中输了,但他们配得上赢球-预期进球韦斯卡2.29,塞尔塔0.87。输给巴塞罗那的比赛中-预期进球韦斯卡2.23,巴塞罗那1.13。

帕切塔说:“每次犯错的空间越来越小,但我们还有十场比赛要踢。我们训练得很好,发挥得很好。团队表现出化学反应。 ” 我相信韦斯卡的状态和动力。

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