A fine match to bet on! 欧协联 西汉姆联VS阿尔克马
2023-05-12

Tapio

外籍分析师

欧协联

05/12 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

West Ham United VS AZ Alkmaar


West Ham and AZ Alkmaar lock horns in this UEFA Conference League semi-final first leg battle at London Stadium early Friday morning Beijing time. West Ham play in the Premier League the best league in the world. The visitors are are Dutch team. The Dutch Eredivisie is a good league by European standards but I want to highlight that the difference compared to the Premier League is massive. It is true that West Ham are having a disappointing season. I have significantly lowered their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class from the in-depth pre-season analysis. However, it seems that the bookies have completely lost faith in them and once again undervalue the hosts. We must not forget that West Ham have a big number of talented players – even by the Premier League standandards - in the squad! Benrahma, Paquata and Zouma for example have a lot of individual skills! Their early season was particularly difficult but this spring they have significantly improved their level of football. AZ Alkmaar are having a mediocre season in the Eredivisie and have 61 points to their account. However, their number of expected points is lower – 57.35 to be precise. They are in an intense battle with Ajax, currently in third place with 63 points, for a place in the UEFA Europa League qualification next season. This would be very important for the club..

West Ham, on the other hand, currently occupy the 15th place in the standings. They have secured their place in the league for next season and have nothing to play for left. The Conference League is only the third-highest of UEFA's club competitions and was originally surely not the main priority for either team. However, under the current circumstances I expect West Ham to be very motivated here in front of loyal and demanding fans. West Ham are not a club that gets to lift trophies on a regular basis! In terms of xPTS they have been massively unlucky and would have deserved 50.12 points! I have them in the 9th place in my power rating. In their most recent match they placed well and beat Manchester United, currently in 4th place in the league table, 1-0. It was a pretty balanced battle. However, we can say that the hosts did deserve the three points as they generated more in expected goals (xG) - 1.39-0.98. Before this the in-form Manchester City were too good and beat West Ham 3-0 but their performance was not bad at all. City were simply very strong in this game – and are the best team in the world. Furthermore, on the 20th of April they crushed Gent, a dangerous Belgian team, 4-1 in the Conference League second leg at home. AZ Alkmaar have been in decent form lately but were very lucky to avoid defeat in their latest game. It was an away game against Ajax and the hosts dominated the game generating 2.56 in xG. AZ Alkmaar recorded just 0.56 but no goals were eventually scored. West Ham have a 68% chance to win today!



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西汉姆联VS阿尔克马尔


北京时间周五凌晨,西汉姆联和阿尔克马尔将在伦敦体育场展开欧足联半决赛首回合的较量。西汉姆联在英超踢球,这是世界上最好的联赛。来访的是荷兰队。按照欧洲的标准,荷甲联赛是一个很好的联赛,但我想强调的是,与英超相比,荷甲联赛的差异是巨大的。西汉姆联确实经历了一个令人失望的赛季。根据赛季前的深入分析,我已经大大降低了他们的能量等级,这反映了球队的纯粹等级。然而,博彩公司似乎对他们完全失去了信心,再次低估了东道主。我们不能忘记西汉姆联有很多有天赋的球员——即使以英超的标准来看也是如此!例如,Benrahma, Paquata和Zouma就有很多个人技能!他们赛季初的表现特别困难,但今年春天他们的足球水平有了显著提高。阿尔克马尔本赛季在荷甲表现平平,只拿到61分。然而,他们的期望值更低,准确地说是57.35。他们正与目前以63分排名第三的阿贾克斯展开激烈的竞争,争夺下赛季的欧联杯资格。这对俱乐部来说非常重要。

另一方面,西汉姆目前在积分榜上排名第15位。他们已经确保了下赛季在联赛中的位置,没有什么可踢的了。欧洲联盟联赛只是欧足联第三高的俱乐部赛事,最初肯定不是两支球队的主要目标。然而,在目前的情况下,我希望西汉姆联在忠诚和苛刻的球迷面前表现得很有动力。西汉姆联不是一个经常举起奖杯的俱乐部!就积分而言,他们太不走运了,应该得到50.12分!我把它们排在我的能量等级第9位。在最近的一场比赛中,他们表现出色,以1比0击败了目前排名第四的曼联。这是一场势均力敌的战斗。然而,我们可以说主队确实应该得到三分,因为他们创造了更多的预期进球(xG) - 1.39-0.98。在此之前,状态不错的曼城表现太好了,他们3-0击败了西汉姆,但他们的表现一点也不差。曼城在这场比赛中非常强大,是世界上最好的球队。此外,在4月20日的联盟杯次回合比赛中,他们在主场以4比1击败了危险的比利时队根特。阿尔克马尔最近状态不错,但很幸运在最近的比赛中避免了失败。这是一场客场对阵阿贾克斯的比赛,东道主在比赛中占据了主导地位,全场得分为2.56。阿尔克马尔的得分只有0.56,但最终没有进球。西汉姆今天有68%的机会赢!

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