An interesting match in Denmark!
2023-05-11

Tapio

外籍分析师

丹麦甲

05/12 00:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Sonderjyske VS Vejle


Sonderjyske welcome Vejle for this Danish 1st Division Promotion Group round 29 battle at Sydbank Park in Haderslev Friday night Beijing time. This league is not of high level by European standards but it is still better than for example the Finnish second tier, Ykkönen. However, by this league standards we can expect a pretty good-level clash here. Indeed, the visitors currently top the standings with 59 points to their account. However, they have been somewhat lucky this season. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 56.12. They have netted the ball 52 times so far this season but their number of expected goals (xG) is marginally lower – 50.98 to be precise. In this area of the game the two teams are more or less equally good with today's lineups. Sonderjyske have scored 51 goals so far this season. In terms of defensive quality Vejle do have an edge – but the difference between the teams in this are of the game is smaller than the numbers of goals conceded would suggest. Vejle do have the best defense in this league – no denying that. Their defense has a fine structure and silly defensive mistakes are somewhat rare. Even so, their expected number of goals allowed (xGA) is 28.12 but in reality they have conceded just 24 goals. The hosts, on the other hand, have conceded 38 goals but their number rof Xga is 33.12. They, too, have a lot of individual skill in defense but the structure could be a little better. Furthermore, the mid fielders should be more active in defending - especially against the top teams..

The teams that finish first and second are promoted to the Superliga for next season. Vejle already have 11 points more in the bank than Sonderjyske currently in third place. The hosts' number of xPTS is 52.02. Hvodore, in second place, have grabbed 52 points. I expect Sonderjyske to be very motivated here and this does affect the probability estimation here! The home advantage here is substantial and we have to give this factor enough emphasis! In the betting market Vejle are solid favorites – priced around 2.35 to win. I have to disagree – I think this match is a coin toss - a 50/50% game without an actual favorite. The smart bet is the hosts with +0.5 goals handicap option. Both teams have been in good form lately. However, Vejle had some luck on their side in their latest game when they beat Hvidore 1-0 away from home. The hosts had 67% ball possession and recorded more shots on goal, attacks and dangerous attacks.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Sonderjyske VS Vejle


北京时间周五晚上,桑德兰斯克将在哈德斯列夫的悉尼银行公园迎来丹麦甲级联赛升级组第29轮的比赛。按照欧洲的标准来看,这个联赛的水平并不高,但它仍然比芬兰的二级联赛Ykkönen要好。然而,按照这个联赛的标准,我们可以期待一场相当高水平的比赛。事实上,客队目前以59分排名第一。然而,他们本赛季还算幸运。他们的期望值(xPTS)为56.12。本赛季到目前为止,他们打进了52球,但他们的预期进球(xG)略低,准确地说是50.98。在这方面,两队在今天的阵容上或多或少是一样出色的。本赛季到目前为止,桑德兰斯克已经进了51个球。就防守质量而言,维耶勒确实有优势,但两队在这场比赛中的差距比丢球数所显示的要小。不可否认,维尔确实拥有联盟中最好的防守。他们的防守结构很好,很少出现愚蠢的防守失误。即便如此,他们的预期失球数(xGA)是28.12,但实际上他们只丢了24个球。另一方面,东道主虽然丢了38个球,但是他们的场均失球数是33.12。他们在防守方面也有很多个人技巧,但结构可能会更好一些。此外,中场应该更积极地防守,尤其是面对强队时。

获得第一名和第二名的球队将在下个赛季升入超级联赛。目前,韦勒的积分榜已经比排名第三的桑德兰多了11分。主机的xPTS个数为52.02。排在第二位的霍多尔获得了52分。我希望Sonderjyske在这里非常有动力,这确实影响了这里的概率估计!这里的主场优势是巨大的,我们必须给予这个因素足够的重视!在博彩市场上,Vejle是最受欢迎的,价格在2.35左右。我不同意——我认为这场比赛是一场掷硬币的比赛——一场50/50%的比赛,没有真正的最爱。聪明的赌注是东道主+0.5个进球障碍选项。两个队最近状态都很好。然而,在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场1-0击败了维多雷,这让他们有些运气。主队有67%的控球率,射门次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。

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