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2023-05-11

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外籍分析师

欧协联

05/12 03:00

已完赛

解读理由:

On Thursday night, the 1st two semifinal games in the Europa Conference League are going to be played. One of the matches will be in London where the local West Ham United is going to host AZ Alkmaar. In this game, I'm predicting that West Ham is going to win.

The last English Premier League round was very good for West Ham as the team was able to beat Manchester United at home and secure a place in the Premier League for the next year. Now they can fully focus on Conference League where they reached also the semifinal last year. One of West Ham's strengths is playing at home. During the group stage of the Conference League, West Ham won all 6 games, with a total of 13 goals scored and just 4 conceded. In the last 11 home games, the team has 6 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. In games that West Ham didn't win, the opponents were very good: Liverpool, Arsenal, Newcastle, Aston Villa and Chelsea. Per xG, the team is expected to score 2.00 goals at home in the Conference league and concede 1.08.

AZ Alkmaar has a good stretch as they have 3 wins and 1 draw in the last 4 games but prior to that, the team didn't win in 4 games in a row. AZ has struggled a little bit lately with playing on the road as they have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses in the last 4 road games. In the previous round, AZ Alkmaar came back from a 0:2 deficit on the road against Anderlecht, had a 2:0 lead at home and then won in penalties. West Ham also played against Anderlecht and won both matches. Per xG, Alkmaar is expected to score 1.51 goals on the road and concede 1.20.

There are no new injured players on the West Ham side. Kurt Zouma is likely to miss out with an ankle injury, while goalkeeper Alphonse Areola will return between the sticks. As for Alkmaar, Jens Odgaard is a major doubt for AZ after suffering a thigh injury.

Alkmaar shocked Lazio two rounds ago with a win on the road but the Italian team had much better xG. This time, I don't think that they will be ready to shock West Ham. Alkmaar has lost all 6 games played in England and they have conceded at least 4 goals in the last 3 games. West Ham has been a dominant force in the Conference League, they are very tough to beat at home and they should win this game.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周四晚上,欧联杯半决赛将进行前两场比赛。其中一场比赛将在伦敦举行,当地的西汉姆联队将主场迎战阿尔克马尔。在这场比赛中,我预测西汉姆会赢。

上一轮英超联赛对西汉姆来说是非常好的,因为这支球队能够在主场击败曼联,并确保下一年的英超席位。现在他们可以完全专注于东部联赛,他们去年也进入了半决赛。西汉姆联的优势之一就是在主场比赛。在联盟联赛小组赛中,西汉姆联队6战全胜,进13球,失4球。在过去的11场主场比赛中,球队取得了6胜3平2负的成绩。在西汉姆联没有获胜的比赛中,对手都很出色:利物浦、阿森纳、纽卡斯尔、阿斯顿维拉和切尔西。在东部联赛中,球队预计将在主场打入2.00球,失球1.08球。

阿尔克马尔在最近4场比赛中取得了3胜1平的好成绩,但在此之前,球队没有连续4场获胜。AZ最近在客场打得有点吃力,因为他们最近4场客场比赛1胜1平2负。在上一轮比赛中,阿尔克马尔在客场0比2落后安德莱赫特的情况下反超,在主场取得2比0的领先,然后在点球大战中获胜。西汉姆也和安德莱赫特交手,两场都赢了。预计阿尔克马尔将在客场打入1.51球,失球1.20球。

西汉姆没有新的受伤球员。库尔特·祖马很可能会因为脚踝受伤而缺席比赛,而门将阿方斯·阿雷奥拉将会复出。至于阿尔克马尔,在大腿受伤后,延斯·奥德加德能否出战阿斯兰还是个很大的疑问。

阿尔克马尔在两轮之前客场击败了拉齐奥,但是意大利队有更好的xG。这一次,我不认为他们会准备好震惊西汉姆。阿尔克马尔在英格兰的6场比赛全部输球,最近3场比赛至少丢4球。西汉姆联一直是联盟联赛的统治力量,他们在主场很难被击败,他们应该赢得这场比赛。

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