An interesting game in Israel! 耶路撒冷夏普尔VS内坦亚马卡比
2023-05-07

Tapio

外籍分析师

以超

05/08 01:15

已完赛

耶路撒冷夏普尔
1:0
内坦亚马卡比
解读理由:

Hapoel Jerusalem VS Maccabi Netanya

Hapoel Jerusalem welcome Netanya for this Israeli Ligat Ha’al Championship Group round 34 clash early Monday morning Beijing time. This league is of mediocre level by global standards. We can expect a pretty entertaining and high-level battle here by Ligat Ha’al standards between these two strong teams. The stakes are high here for both teams. Hapoel Jerusalem, Netanya and Ashdod are in an intense battle for the 4th place which would earn them a ticket for the UEFA conference League qualification next season. Neither Hapoel Jerusalem nor Netanya are among the biggest three teams in Israel so playing the Conference League would mean a lot. I expect pretty defensive football here as losing this game would be a big blow for both teams. Based on on my sophisticated, strongly data-based analysis the probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 63% - higher than the bookies estimate.. Furthermore, the biggest bookies who accept the biggest bets from customers do see the visitors as favorites but I think they should be pretty clear favorites with today’s expected lineups. The +0.5 goals handicap on Netanya has a big chance of winning! Especially in terms of offensive quality they have a clear edge over the hosts. Indeed, Netanya have scored 39 in this league so far this season but in terms of expected goals they have been unlucky and would have deserved 46.21 goals. Moreover, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 48.12. The hosts have 45 points to their account. Ashdod, currently in 6th place, have 40 points in their pocket.

Hapoel Jerusalem have lost two of their latest games but have not been bad in these games. Even so, they would have to improve are get lucky here to take all three points. There is no doubt about the fact that Netanya have been much better recently. They have won two of their latest games and before this they took two draws against Maccabi Tel-Aviv and Hapoel Beer Sheva. Netanya defended very well in these two games against the opponent's very strong offense. They have massively improved in this area of the game from early season! Hapoel Jerusalem lost to both Maccabi Tel-Aviv and Beer Sheva in April.. In their most recent match, the visitors took a deserved 3-1 win away from home over Ashdod. 1-3 was the final score and Netanya did record more goal attempts, shots on and off target. Before this they defeated the same opponent 2-0 at home quite comfortably. According to a very well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Netanya’s players have a total market value of over nine million euros. In my opinion this is way too low. I would set the number at around 13 million.. They can improve in all areas of the game of the during the remainder of the season and also have a very good coach. The hosts players have a total market value of approximately six million which is more or less correct in my opinion..

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周一凌晨,耶路撒冷欢迎内塔尼亚胡参加以色列联赛小组赛第34轮比赛。以全球标准来看,这个联赛处于中等水平。我们可以期待这两支强队之间以Ligat Ha 'al的标准进行一场非常有趣和高水平的比赛。这对两支球队来说都事关重大。耶路撒冷、内坦亚和阿什杜德正在激烈争夺第四名,这将为他们赢得下赛季欧洲联盟联赛资格的入场券。耶路撒冷Hapoel和内坦亚都不是以色列最大的三支球队,所以参加联盟联赛意义重大。我期待着这里的防守足球,因为输掉这场比赛对两支球队来说都是一个巨大的打击。根据我复杂的、强有力的数据分析,总进球数少于2.5个的概率是63%——比博彩公司估计的要高。此外,接受客户最大赌注的最大博彩公司确实认为客队是最受欢迎的,但我认为他们应该非常明显地受到今天预期阵容的欢迎。内塔尼亚胡+0.5个进球的劣势有很大的获胜机会!特别是在进攻质量方面,他们比东道主有明显的优势。事实上,内坦亚本赛季至今已经在联赛中打进39球,但就预期进球而言,他们运气不佳,应该打进46.21球。此外,它们的期望值(xPTS)为48.12。东道主的账上有45分。目前排名第六的阿什杜德已经拿到了40分。

耶路撒冷最近输了两场比赛,但在这些比赛中表现不错。即便如此,他们还需要提高,如果能在这里拿到全部三分,那就太幸运了。毫无疑问,内塔尼亚胡最近好多了。他们在最近的两场比赛中取得了胜利,在此之前,他们对特拉维夫马卡比和哈普尔-比尔-舍瓦取得了两场平局。在这两场比赛中,内坦亚防守得非常好,对手的进攻非常强大。从赛季初开始,他们在这方面有了很大的进步!耶路撒冷在四月份输给了特拉维夫马卡比和比尔舍瓦。在最近的一场比赛中,客队在客场3-1战胜阿什杜德,最终比分是1-3,内坦亚的进球次数、射正和射偏次数都有所增加。在此之前,他们在主场以2比0轻松击败了同一个对手。根据德国一家非常知名和受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,内坦亚球员的总市值超过900万欧元。在我看来,这太低了。我估计这个数字在1300万左右。在赛季剩余的时间里,他们可以在比赛的各个方面都有所提高,而且他们还有一个非常好的教练。东道主球员的总市值约为600万,在我看来这或多或少是正确的。

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