AIK this bad really?
2023-05-07

Jarkko

外籍分析师

瑞超

05/07 21:00

已完赛

解读理由:

This time the table does not lie even if it only early season. Malmö FF have been superb, won all 6 games so far after dominating most of the matches from the start.

The last match on Wednesday away at Varberg also showed how deep and classy their material is from the bench as they took a 0-6 win, created big chances with ease and took another easy 3 points. It was against a side who had drawn 4 of their 5 games, and are no pushovers.

AIK were - or were supposed to be - among the favourites for the title as usual, but the raw truth is that their current position at 14th is well deserved, and they have scored only 3 goals so far in their 6 games, and 2 of them came in their only good match of the season in the derby v Hammarby.

Of course, they have not been quite this bad, they have scored 3 but the xG-data suggests that they should had scored 8. What they especially do miss is a clinical finisher as they have missed 8 so called big chances. Is is much though? After 6 rounds it is only 1.3 chances per game, and even if Malmö have scored 17 goals they also have missed a lot of chances. In fact AIK problem is not only finishing, as they only have created 3.3 shots on goal per game, and that is 2nd lowest in the whole league!

The only statistics where AIK do well is possession as they have the 2nd highest percentage with 57.5 %, yet we can discuss whether this is useful metrics at all, and if it is we can see that Malmö top also this stat by a big margin with 64.5 % possession per game!

The injury situation, class or form does not support the idea of backing AIK. The fans are demanding firing the coach, Malmö were able to rotate on Wednesday and they come fresh and full of confidence to this big encounter.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

这一次,即使只是在赛季初期,积分榜也不会有任何变动。Malmö FF表现非常出色,从一开始就控制了大部分比赛,到目前为止赢下了所有的6场比赛。

周三客场对阵瓦尔伯格的最后一场比赛也显示了他们的替补阵容是多么的有深度和有水准,他们以0-6取胜,轻松创造了很多机会,又轻松拿到了3分。面对的是一支5场比赛中4场平局的球队,他们没有被轻易击败。

像往常一样,AIK是——或者应该是——夺冠热门之一,但事实是他们目前排名第14位是当之无愧的,他们在目前的6场比赛中只进了3球,其中2球是他们本赛季唯一一场精彩的比赛——德比对阵哈马比。

当然,他们并没有那么糟糕,他们得到了3分,但xg数据表明他们应该得到8分。他们尤其错过的是临床终结者,因为他们错过了8次所谓的大机会。这是很多吗?6轮之后,场均只有1.3次机会,即使Malmö打进17球,他们也错过了很多机会。事实上,AIK的问题不仅仅是射门,因为他们场均只创造了3.3次射门,这是整个联盟第二低的!

AIK唯一做得好的数据是控球率,他们的控球率为57.5%,是第二高的,但我们可以讨论这是否是有用的指标,如果是的话,我们可以看到Malmö也以场均64.5%的控球率大大超过这个数据!

伤病情况、级别和状态都不支持支持AIK的想法。球迷们要求解雇教练,Malmö在周三的比赛中轮换了队员,他们在这场大的比赛中充满了活力和信心。

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