In my opinion Newcastle should be bigger favorite in this game. +0 AH looks like great option to play here.

In previous season Newcastle won 2:0 at home against Arsenal, so why not today?

Newcastle is in excellent form, no doubt about that. They won 8 of last 9 Premier League matches and everything clicking together. Their defensive formation look rock solid – 27 goals conceded so far is best result in whole league. They conceded only 3 goals in last 9 matches. Arsenal failed to score in last two consecutive matches against Magpies.

Newcastle at home is superb – they didn’t lost in 15 of 16 home league matches (10 wins in the process). They scored impressive 32 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 41.71(!). Newcastle don’t have any problems with goalscoring at the moment as they scored more than 2 goals in last 3 league matches in a row. Arsenal currently have serious problems at the back – failed to keep clean sheet in last 8 consecutive matches (only 6 in last 24 league matches). Key central defender Saliba is still unavailable, in addition to that other key central defender Gabriel is doubtful as he was forced off in last game against Chelsea. Second-choice central defender Kiwior don’t have enough experience on this level.. For me it’s hard to imagine clean sheet for guests. Guests conceded more than one goal in 4 of last 5 matches and Newcastle with their big firepower have all required tools to score more than one goal today.

Newcastle in current season played 9 matches at Sunday and have impressive record – 6 wins and 3 draws. Also they didn’t lost any of last 12 league matches against teams from London (producing impressive 27:7 goals balance in those matches). Arsenal failed to win in last 3 away matches in a row and I see continuation of this bad streak today.

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在我看来，纽卡斯尔在这场比赛中更受欢迎。+0 AH看起来是个不错的选择。

上个赛季纽卡斯尔主场2:0战胜了阿森纳，为什么今天不能呢?

纽卡斯尔的状态很好，这是毫无疑问的。他们在最近的9场英超比赛中赢了8场，一切都很顺利。他们的防守阵型看起来坚如磐石——目前丢了27球，是全联赛最好的成绩。他们在最近的9场比赛中只丢了3个球。阿森纳在最近两场对喜鹊的比赛中都没有进球。

纽卡斯尔在主场的表现非常出色——他们在16场联赛主场比赛中有15场没有输球(其中10场获胜)。他们打进了令人印象深刻的32球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该打进41.71(!)。纽卡斯尔目前在进球方面没有任何问题，因为他们在最近3场联赛中连续打进2球以上。阿森纳在后防线上有严重的问题——连续8场比赛没能保持不失球(在过去24场联赛中只有6场)。关键的中卫萨里巴仍然不能上场，另外一个关键的中卫加布里埃尔也不确定，因为他在上一场对切尔西的比赛中被迫下场。第二中卫基维尔在这方面没有足够的经验。对我来说，很难想象为客人提供干净的床单。在过去的5场比赛中，客队有4场丢了一个以上的球，纽卡斯尔凭借强大的火力，今天都需要工具来进一个以上的球。

纽卡斯尔本赛季在周日打了9场比赛，取得了令人印象深刻的战绩——6胜3平。此外，他们在过去的12场联赛中对阵伦敦球队没有输过一场(在这些比赛中取得了令人印象深刻的27:7进球平衡)。阿森纳在最近的3场客场比赛中都没有取得胜利，我认为今天这种糟糕的连胜还会继续。