I see Osasuna able to make a good game here.

Real Madrid has been very irregular lately. Although they showed their potential in some games (Chelsea, Barcelona), in others they made very poor performances. Some reason for this could be the lack of motivation, but it's clear that the team has not been consistent during the season.

On the other hand, Osasuna has been thinking and preparing for this match since a long time ago. This is an historical game for them - the second final in their history, so the motivation will be huge. In this tournament they managed to beat Betis, Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao. Here they have the opportunity to win a title for the first time in their history, because they lost the previous final played in 2003.

Coach Arrasate has been making rotations in the last weeks to keep players fresh for this fixture. He has no important missings.

Osasuna is a very competitive team, whose strong point is the intensity. It's difficult for rivals to equalize that intensity and surely Madrid will struggle.

The plan of the game is clear - Osasuna will leave Madrid to have the possession and will try to make a high pressure. If they do it well, it could create problems to Madrid. Ancelotti’s team must be very concentrated and focused to avoid mistakes in defense and break that high pressure, because upfront they have players to kill the match with spaces.

Against offensive/brave teams like Osasuna, Madrid has struggled a lot recently - 4:2 Girona, 0:2 Real Sociedad, 2:3 Villarreal…

Their recent meetings have been pretty equal as well:

0:2 for Madrid scoring at 93’

1:1 in Madrid

1:3 for Madrid scoring at 96’

0:0 in Madrid

2:0 in Madrid

0:0 at Osasuna’s stadium

So Osasuna already showed in previous seasons (and this one too) that they are able to compete against Madrid, being a difficult rival to beat.

Osasuna may have less quality, but will have a lot of motivation and have a great coach who knows very well how to make players give 200% being a very intense team.

I think that Madrid is the favorite to win, but not easily.

我预计奥萨苏纳能够打出一场精彩的比赛。

皇马最近很不规律。尽管他们在一些比赛中展现了自己的潜力（切尔西、巴塞罗那），但在其他比赛中他们的表现却非常糟糕。造成这种情况的一些原因可能是缺乏动力，但很明显球队在赛季中表现不佳。

反观奥萨苏纳，这场比赛其实早就在思考和准备了。这对他们来说是一场历史性的比赛——他们历史上的第二场决赛，所以动力将是巨大的。在国王杯中，他们成功击败了贝蒂斯、塞维利亚和毕尔巴鄂竞技。他们有机会在历史上第一次赢得冠军，因为他们输掉了 2003 年的上一场决赛。

Arrasate 教练在过去几周一直在进行轮换，以使球员在这场比赛中保持新鲜感。他没有重要的缺席。

奥萨苏纳是一支非常有竞争力的球队，强项就是强度。对手很难扳平比分强度和马德里肯定会挣扎。

比赛的计划很明确——奥萨苏纳将让马德里去控球，并试图制造高压。如果他们做得好，可能会给马德里带来麻烦。安切洛蒂的球队必须非常集中注意力，避免防守失误并打破高压，因为在前场他们有球员可以利用空间杀死比赛。

面对像奥萨苏纳这样进攻性/勇敢的球队，皇马马德里最近表现不佳——4:2 赫罗纳、0:2 皇家社会、2:3 比利亚雷亚尔…… 他们最近的交手也相当平等：

0:2 马德里在 93分钟进球

1:1 马德里

1:3 皇马在 96 分钟进球

在马德里 0:0

在马德里 2:0

0:0 在奥萨苏纳主场

所以奥萨苏纳已经在前几个赛季（本赛季也是）表明他们有能力与马德里竞争，是一个难以击败的对手。

奥萨苏纳的实力可能较差，但会充满动力，并且拥有一位非常了解如何让球员付出 200% 的出色教练，是一个非常难对付的团队。

我认为马德里是夺冠热门，但过程可能并不容易。