HUGE WINNING STREAK! HUGE GAME! 英超 利物浦VS布伦特
2023-05-06

Ricards

外籍分析师

英超

05/07 00:30

已完赛

解读理由:

On Saturday night, 5 games in the English Premier League are going to happen and one of them will be in Liverpool as the local Liverpool is going to host Brentford. After 34 games, Liverpool has 17 wins, 8 draws, 9 losses, a total of 59 points and 5th place while Brentford has 12 wins, 14 draws, 8 losses, a total of 50 points and 9th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Liverpool is going to win.

Liverpool has been playing very well recently. Jurgen Klopp's team has won 5 games in a row. In all but 1 game the team has scored at least 2 goals and they have won 3 games in a row at home - versus Nottingham Forest, Tottenham and Fulham. It is hard to say that Liverpool has been lucky because in all games their xG was better. Against Tottenham, Liverpool blew a 3:0 lead but managed to score in the added time. At home this season, Liverpool has 12 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with a total of 44 goals scored (3rd best) and 16 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 2.15 goals at home (3rd best) and concede 1.16.

Brentford lost 3 games in a row in April but now has won 2 games in a row. The 1st win was against struggling Chelsea, and the opponents even had a better xG while 3 days later they beat Nottingham Forest at home. It's not like Brentford loves to play on the road as they have 3 losses, 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 6 road games. Overall this season, Brentford has 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses on the road, with a total of 20 goals scored and 26 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.21 goals on the road and concede 1.91 (3rd worst).

Thiago Alcantara got injured last week and it looks like he's going to miss the rest of the season. Naby Keita and Roberto Firmino are healthy enough to play so there's a chance for them to be back on the pitch. As for Brentford, Pontus Jansson and Keane Lewis-Potter are questionable for this weekend but there's no timetable for Christian Norgaard's return.

In the 1st matchup of the season, Brentford won 3:1. At the same time, Brentford was somehow lucky because their xG was 1.77 while Liverpool had 2.00. Only 1-time both teams have met in Liverpool, and the home team won 3:0. At this point of the season, I like Liverpool's chances much better. Under Klopp, Liverpool has played great in May as the team has 12 wins in the last 13 games played in May. It is very unlikely that Liverpool will be in the TOP4 but securing Europa League should be their priority but they are 4 points above Brighton which has 2 fewer games. Liverpool's performance has been great recently and I'm expecting them to win the game.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

周六晚上,英超联赛将有5场比赛,其中一场将在利物浦举行,因为当地的利物浦将主场迎战布伦特福德。34场比赛后,利物浦17胜8平9负,积59分排名第5,布伦特福德12胜14平8负,积50分排名第9。在这场比赛中,我预测利物浦会赢。

利物浦最近踢得很好。尤尔根·克洛普的球队已经取得了5连胜。除了一场比赛外,球队在主场都至少进了2球,并且取得了3连胜,分别是对阵诺丁汉森林、托特纳姆和富勒姆。很难说利物浦是幸运的,因为在所有的比赛中他们的xG都更好。在对阵托特纳姆热刺的比赛中,利物浦失去了3比0的领先优势,但在补时阶段取得了进球。本赛季在主场,利物浦取得了12胜4平1负的战绩,进球数为44球(排名第三),失16球。按xG计算,球队预计将在主场打入2.15球(排名第三),失球1.16球。

布伦特福德在4月份连输3场,但现在已经连赢2场。第一场胜利是对阵苦苦挣扎的切尔西,对手甚至有更好的xG,而3天后他们在主场击败了诺丁汉森林。布伦特福德并不喜欢在客场比赛,因为他们在过去的6场客场比赛中取得了3负2胜1平的战绩。本赛季,布伦特福德在客场取得了4胜7平6负的成绩,进球数为20球失26球。平均每场比赛,球队将在客场取得1.21个进球,失球1.91个(倒数第三)。

蒂亚戈·阿尔坎塔拉上周受伤了,看起来他将缺席本赛季剩下的比赛。纳比-凯塔和罗伯托-菲尔米诺都很健康,所以他们有机会回到球场上。至于布伦特福德,本图斯-杨森和基恩-刘易斯-波特是否能在本周末复出仍有疑问,但是克里斯蒂安-诺加德的回归还没有时间表。

在本赛季的第一场比赛中,布伦特福德队以3:1获胜。与此同时,布伦特福德有点幸运,因为他们的xG是1.77,而利物浦是2.00。两支球队在利物浦仅有过1次交锋,主场球队3:0获胜。在这个赛季的这个时候,我更喜欢利物浦的机会。在克洛普的带领下,利物浦在5月份表现出色,在5月份的最后13场比赛中取得了12场胜利。利物浦不太可能进入前四,但确保欧联杯应该是他们的首要任务,但他们比少2场比赛的布莱顿多4分。利物浦最近的表现很好,我希望他们能赢得比赛。

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