In my opinion Adelaide have really good chances to win this game.

Wellington don't likes to play in Adelaide, no doubt about that. They lost 16 of last 24 matches here. Last match between both teams at this stadium finished with Adelaide 5:1 win (17th March).

It's another hard trip for Wellington. Team back to home from Sydney at Sunday after the game against MacArthur. Only 3 days at home and another hard trip, now to Adelaide which requires two flights. Wellington lost last 3 away league matches in a row, all of them with at least 3 goal difference!

Wellington don't have any experience at this stage - they failed to win any game in play offs in last 11 years. Since then 4 times qualified to this stage and always losing in first game. I expect same story today.

Adelaide had amazing streak of 12 matches without a loss, but when they get qualification their form slashed down and failed to win in last 4 matches. Coach Veart said: "People will talk about last week but we finished third - the best finish we have had as a club for seven years, we have had a fantastic season."

Adelaide in their squad have the best player in whole league (according to the ratings) Craig Goodwin. He is also best assistant. Today we will see comeback to the first line up Adelaide second-best scorer Ibusuki. This duo should make a lot of troubles for guests.

Wellington coach Ufuk Talay decided to no extend his contract with the team so atmosphere in team is under big question mark for me. I can imagine it's his last game in Phoenix's bench.

All in all, I see excellent chances for hosts.

本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：

在我看来阿德莱德有很好的机会赢得这场比赛。

惠灵顿不喜欢在阿德莱德比赛，这是毫无疑问的。他们在这里输了24场比赛中的16场。两队在这个球场的最后一场比赛(3月17日)阿德莱德5:1获胜。

这对惠灵顿来说又是一次艰难的旅行。球队在周日与麦克阿瑟的比赛结束后从悉尼回到主场。只在国内呆了3天，又一次艰苦的旅行，现在去阿德莱德，需要两次航班。惠灵顿在最近的3场客场联赛中都输掉了比赛，他们都至少有3个净胜球!

惠灵顿在这个阶段没有任何经验——他们在过去的11年里没有赢过一场附加赛。从那以后，4次进入这个阶段，总是在第一场就输掉。我期待今天同样的故事。

阿德莱德取得了12场不败的惊人战绩，但是当他们获得出线资格后，他们的状态急转直下，最后4场比赛都没能获胜。维特教练说:“人们会谈论上周，但我们最终获得了第三名，这是我们俱乐部七年来最好的成绩，我们度过了一个梦幻般的赛季。”

阿德莱德在他们的阵容中有全联盟最好的球员(根据收视率)克雷格·古德温。他也是最好的助手。今天我们将看到重回阿德莱德一线队的第二射手井宿。这对组合应该会给客人带来很多麻烦。

惠灵顿主帅塔莱决定不再与球队续约，所以球队的气氛对我来说是个很大的问号。我可以想象这是他在太阳替补席上的最后一场比赛。

总而言之，我认为东道主有很好的机会。