More PROFIT from Japan?
2023-05-03

Tapio

外籍分析师

日乙

05/03 13:00

已完赛

解读理由:

Fujieda MYFC VS Oita Trinita

Fujieda welcome Oita Trinita for this Japanese J2 League battle at Fujieda soccer stadium Wednesday afternoon Beijing time. This is the second tier of Japanese football but the level is somewhat low by international standards. However, football fans and us football bettors can expect a pretty good-level game by this league's standards between these two relatively strong teams. Fujieda were promoted to this level from J3 League for this season. They have started the season very well and currently occupy the 6th place in the standings in this league with a total of 22 clubs. The bookies really should respect them more. I have raised their power rating that reflects the teams' pure class from my strongly data-based in-depth preseason analysis. They have a respectable 20 points to their account. However, in terms of expected points (xPTS) they would have deserved 22.12 points. They netted the ball 22 times in this league so far this season. This is the highest number in the J2 league! In terms of expected goals (xG) they have been a little lucky though. Indeed, their number of expected goals (xG) is slightly lower at 21.23. Even so, I have liked the way they have attacked this season a lot! Their offense has a great structure and they attack well as a team. They have various strategies to break the opponents' defense. However, they do lack some individual skill and this is the key reason why I do not think they will make it to the top-4 this season. They have allowed 18 goals but their number of expected goal allowed is just 16.03 goals. However, I have not been fully impressed by their defense. The structure has been okay in most games but their defenders have made too many silly mistakes. In this area of the game the visitors do have an edge. They have conceded 13 goals and have not been lucky or unlucky in terms of xGA. Oita Trinita have scored 15 goals so far but do have some potential for improvement. However, this will probably take some time. They have failed to score in their latest two games. Moreover, I do not fully trust their coach to create new offensive tactics/strategies.. He is overrated in my opinion.

The visitors have 22 points in the pocket and are in 4th place. However, their number of xPTS is 21.02. Taking the potential they unarguably have, I see them as slightly the stronger team here. However, with the substantial home advantage the hosts are slim favorites based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis. The biggest, pretty often relatively sharp bookies that offer the biggest betting limits, however, see the visitors as solid favorites offer them odds of around 2.40-2.50 to take all three points. However, I would not be at all surprised if the odds on Fujieda were to go down before the kick off as smart money is expected to pile up on the hosts. Oita Trinita have been in bad form lately and seemed to be a little low in confidence in their most recent game against Vegalta Sendai away from home. The visitors did record 61% ball possession but the host created many more goal attempts (15-3) and shots on goal – 3-1 Vegalta Sendai fully deserved the win. Before this they were very disappointing at home and lost to Mito as clear favorites - priced around 1.90 to win. Fujieda, on the other hand, have been in fine form in recent weeks. Indeed, they have not lost any of their latest five games. In their most recent match they faced Kanazawa away from home and would have deserved to win. They recorded 63% ball possession and created many more goal attempts (20-10), shots on goal (8-5), shots of goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. It was, however, a 1-1 draw after a pretty good-level game. Before this they took three fine wins and scored a total of 10 goals in these matches! They were indeed very impressive and creative near the opponent's goal in all three matches and did, in fact, score twice before these three games - it was a 2-2 home draw against Okayama.


北京时间周三下午,藤枝在藤枝足球场迎战大分三一。这是日本足球的第二梯队,但以国际标准来看,水平有些低。然而,足球迷和我们的足球投注者可以期待这两支相对强大的球队之间以联盟的标准进行一场相当不错的比赛。藤枝本赛季从 J3 联赛升入该级别。他们本赛季开局不错,目前以22支球队在联赛积分榜上排名第6。公司真的应该更加尊重他们。我提高了他们的实力评级,反映了我基于强大数据的深度季前分析中球队的纯级别。他们的帐户有可观的 20 点。然而,就预期分数 (xPTS) 而言,他们应得 22.12 分。本赛季到目前为止,他们在联赛中进了 22 球。这是J2联赛的最高数字!在就预期目标 (xG) 而言,他们有点幸运。事实上,他们的预期进球数 (xG) 略低于 21.23。尽管如此,我还是非常喜欢他们本赛季的进攻方式!他们的进攻结构很好,他们作为一个团队进攻得很好。他们有各种策略来打破对手的防守。然而,他们确实缺乏一些个人技术,这是我认为他们本赛季无法进入前四的关键原因。他们已经丢了 18 个球,但他们的预期进球数仅为 16.03 个。然而,我并没有完全被他们的防守打动。大多数比赛的结构都不错,但他们的后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误。在这方面,客队确实有优势。他们丢了13个球,在xGA方面算不上幸运或不幸。到目前为止,大分三神 Trinita 已经进了 15 个球,但确实有一些改进的潜力。但是,这可能需要一些时间。他们失败了在最近的两场比赛中得分。此外,我不完全相信他们的教练会创造新的进攻战术/策略。我认为他被高估了。

客队积22分排在第4位。然而,他们的 xPTS 数量是 21.02。考虑到他们无可争议的潜力,我认为他们是这里更强大的球队。然而,根据我复杂的深入分析,主队拥有巨大的主场优势。然而,提供最大投注限额的最大、通常相对敏锐的公司将客队视为可靠的热门,为他们提供大约 2.40-2.50 的赔率来获得全部三分。然而,如果藤枝的赔率在开赛前下降,我一点也不会感到惊讶,因为智能资金预计会堆积在东道主身上。大分 Trinita 最近状态不佳,最近客场对阵仙台维加泰的比赛信心似乎有点低。访客确实记录了61%球权,但主队创造了更多的进球尝试(15-3)和射门 - 3-1 仙台维加尔塔当之无愧的获胜。在此之前,他们在主场的表现非常令人失望,并以明显的热门输给了大分三神——获胜的赔率约为 1.90。另一方面,藤枝最近几周状态良好。事实上,他们在最近的五场比赛中没有输过任何一场。在最近的一场比赛中,他们在客场面对金泽,他们理应获胜。他们记录了 63% 的控球率,并创造了更多的射门次数 (20-10)、射门次数 (8-5)、射门次数、总传球次数、传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。然而,这是在一场相当不错的比赛之后以 1-1 战平。在此之前,他们取得了三场精彩的胜利,并且在这些比赛中总共打进了10个进球!在所有三场比赛中,他们在对手球门附近的表现确实令人印象深刻且富有创造力,事实上,在这三场比赛之前,他们进了两球——主场 2-2 战平冈山。

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