Huracan vs Danubio

Huracan welcome Danubio for this Copa Sudamericana group stage round 3 battle at Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco in Buenos Aires early Wednesday morning Beijing time. We can expect pretty good entertainment here – matches between two different countries are often interesting and offer lucrative betting opportunities. This is the case here as well! The hosts are an Argentinian team – the visitors, on the other hand, come from Uruguay. Both teams have grabbed three points in the group so far. Huracan suffered a loss in Ecuador in the second round at the hands of Emelec. Their offense was very lame in this game and they endep up losing 0-1. Yes, they had 54% ball possession but only managed three shots on goal – Emelec, however, also recorded just two. In the first round they did beat a Brazilian team, Guarani, 4-1 at home and did deserved to win. The final score is, however, very misleading! The ball possession was 50-50% and the visitors did have their chances. Guarani recorded eight scoring attempts and four shots on goal. The hosts did record more though. Huracan's offense lacked speed, structure and especially creativity in this game. They were also big favorites in this clash according to the booklies. Their season in the Argentinian Liga Pro has been a massive disappointment so far and I have significantly lowered their power rating that reflects the teams pure class from my sophisticated, in-depth analysis. 

Huracan currently occupy the 20th place in the standings in the league with a total of 28 clubs. Yes, it is clear that they have potential for improvement but their problems seem to be deep-rooted and I believe a quick improvement in their game is not probable. According to my sources their team spirit is also not great at the moment. They are the better and bigger team here, of course, and deserve to be clear favorites. They do have an edge over the visitors in all areas of the game. They have a 54% chance of taking all three points. However, they have won just two of their latest 13 matches and just one of these 13 games by more than a margin of more than one goal! We will go for the visitors not to lose by more than one goal here (+1.5) handicap with a big chance of winning! I expect the visitors to be very defensive here, relying mainly on counter attacks. The goal expectancy is lower than the bookies think. Huracan did beat a pretty lowly opponent, Arsenal Sarandi 2-1 at home. They did not deserve the win as the visitors had 58% ball possession and recorded more in expected goals (xG) 1.43-0.89. Danubio have been in bad form results-wise lately as well but have been unlucky in many games lately.