Huge week for Freiburg!
2023-05-02

Jarkko

外籍分析师

德国杯

05/03 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

At first thought Leipzig does sound like the better and bigger club of these two, and indeed in the performance data for this season Bundesliga it seems that they are 16 points better. In the actual data however it is Freiburg who are 2 points ahead, and as they are also 2nd best home team in the league behind Bayern Munchen the home odds start to feel generous!

To make this cup fixture even more interesting it has to be noted that the teams will also face in the Bundesliga next weekend in crucial game of top positions.


Last time the teams met in November in Leipzig the full-time score of 3-1 was fully deserved, but before that the previous 3 games ended in a 1-1 which is also today the likeliest outcome. Last season the teams met in the cup final, Leipzig came behind to win after penalties, and it is something that has not been forgotten in the Freiburg camp.


So class-wise there is not much difference, Leipzig do create more chances in their league matches, but they also concede goals in the wrong moments and have lost a number of points, leading by 1 goal does not seem to suite them at all. In comparison the Freiburg side has been stubborn and fought well back while in a losing position, never giving up.

There are no dramatic team news, at least not negative ones. Leipzig are getting back important pieces Dominik Szoboszlai and Amadou Haidara.

Freiburg have lost only 1 in latest 11 games in Bundesliga, that was a 0-1 home loss to Bayern Munchen.

Leipzig have lost 5 of their latest 11 games, and despite admitting that there is more class in the Leipzig side I can not overlook the odds and the home form and motivation.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

乍一看,莱比锡确实是这两家俱乐部中更好更大的一家,而且从本赛季德甲联赛的表现数据来看,他们似乎比莱比锡高出16分。然而,在实际数据中,弗赖堡领先2分,而且他们也是联赛中仅次于拜仁慕尼黑的第二大主场球队,主场赔率开始感到慷慨!

为了使这场杯赛更加有趣,我们必须注意到,两支球队下周末还将在德甲进行一场争夺榜首位置的关键比赛。

两队上一次交手是在去年11月的莱比锡,当时的终场比分是3-1,这是理所应当的,但在那之前的三场比赛都以1-1结束,这也是今天最有可能的结果。上赛季两队在足总杯决赛中相遇,莱比锡在点球大战中落后并获胜,这是弗赖堡阵营没有忘记的事情。

所以从级别上来说,没有太大的区别,莱比锡在联赛中确实创造了更多的机会,但他们也在错误的时刻丢了球,丢了很多分,领先1球似乎根本不适合他们。相比之下,弗赖堡的球队一直很顽强,在输球的情况下顽强反击,从不放弃。

没有戏剧性的球队新闻,至少没有负面新闻。莱比锡得到了重要球员绍博什莱和海达拉。

弗赖堡在最近的11场德甲比赛中只输了1场,那就是主场0-1负于拜仁慕尼黑。

莱比锡在最近的11场比赛中输掉了5场,尽管我承认莱比锡有更多的实力,但我不能忽视这种可能性,主场的状态和动力。

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