A confident pick for La Liga!
2023-05-02

Borja

外籍分析师

西甲

05/03 01:30

已完赛

解读理由:

Very important game for Almeria.

This match is crucial for them if they want to avoid relegation. They are just 2 points above the red zone, so are absolutely forced to win here. At home is where they are stronger: they have numbers of european teams at home, while away are the second worst team after Elche, with only one victory and 7 points so far.

At home they managed to avoid the defeat against all teams out of the TOP8, with 7 victories and one defeat. They play with a lot of intensity and motivation, showing their best face especially in attack where they play with much more confidence.

They are coming from a huge defeat 4:2 vs Madrid, where they played with reserves and made rotations - a clear signal that they were totally focused on this match.

On the other hand, Elche is already relegated. The team is lacking motivation and conceding a lot in defense. In the previous game against Rayo managed to achieve a victory but was very lucky: Rayo had a lot of chances in the first half, deserved to score at least 2-3 goals, and then received a red card at 27’. After that red card, Elche played better and scored 4 goals, winning 4:0.

But their performances are terrible. Are conceding a lot in defense (worst numbers of the league with 62 goals conceded), and it’s impossible for them to keep the goal to nil - only against teams with 10 players like Rayo.

Far from home Elche is also the worst team in the league - only 6 points, 9 goals scored and 35 conceded in 16 games. And for today their defense will be even worse - three starters (Mascarell, Bigas, Carmona) are injured.

For Almeria this match is very important and they have the quality enough to win it. Their home performances against this kind of teams have been very convincing so far, so should be able to win here.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

对阿尔梅里亚来说非常重要的一场比赛。

如果他们想保级,这场比赛对他们至关重要。他们只比红区高出2分,所以他们绝对要赢。主场是他们更强的地方:他们在主场有很多欧洲球队,而客场是仅次于埃尔切的第二差的球队,到目前为止只赢了一场,拿到了7分。

在主场,他们以7胜1负的成绩避免了与TOP8之外的所有球队的失败。他们踢得很激烈,很有动力,表现出他们最好的一面,尤其是在进攻端,他们踢得更自信。

他们刚刚以4:2惨败马德里,在那场比赛中,他们用预备队上场,并进行了轮换——这是一个明确的信号,表明他们完全专注于这场比赛。

另一方面,埃尔切已经降级了。这支球队缺乏动力,防守上丢了很多球。在上一场对阵雷约的比赛中,虽然取得了胜利,但非常幸运:雷约在上半场获得了很多机会,至少应该打进2-3球,然后在第27分钟吃了一张红牌。在那张红牌之后,埃尔切发挥得更好,进了4个球,4:0获胜。

但是他们的表演很糟糕。他们在防守上丢了很多球(丢了62个球,是联盟中丢球最多的),而且他们不可能把球保持在零——只有面对像雷奥这样只有10个球员的球队。

在远离主场的地方,埃尔切也是联赛中表现最差的球队——在16场比赛中仅得6分,进9球,失35球。今天他们的防守会更糟糕——三名首发球员(马斯卡瑞尔,比加斯,卡莫纳)受伤。

对阿尔梅里亚来说,这场比赛非常重要,他们有足够的实力赢得比赛。到目前为止,他们在主场对阵这类球队的表现非常令人信服,所以他们应该能够在这里获胜。

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