Maccabi Tel Aviv VS Hapoel Jerusalem

Maccabi Tel Aviv host Hapoel Jerusalem for this Ligat Ha'al Championsip Group round 33 battle at Bloomfield Stadium early Sunday morning. This league is of mediocre level by globalstandards. Football fans can expect a pretty entertaining game here. I see this match as slightly more low scoring than the betting market does. I expect the visitors to avoid risks and and be somewhat defensive and probably they would be happy with a draw.. The probability of this result is 28%. This would bring my fans and me a winner with the recommended +1.5 goals handicap on the visitors. All we need to win is for the visitors to avoid losing a margin of more than one goal. The probability for this is almost 70%.The biggest, often quite sharp bookmakers with the largest betting limits see the hosts as massive favorites here – offering them odds of around 1.45 to take all three points. I have to disagree – with today's expected lineups I see them having a 58% chance of winning. Of course they are the better team and do have en edge in all areas of the game! The stakes are high here especially for the visitors.. As most of my fans probably know at this point never let the standings fool me in any way..

The hosts currently occupy the 43rd place in the standings with 64 points in their pocket.. They have, however, been a little lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) so far this season. They would have deserved a total of 62 points. The teams that finish 2-4th qualifu for the UEFA Europa League Qualification next season. The champions will earn a spot in the Champions Leagu Qualification but for tis the hosts do not have a chance anymore are the leaders, Maccabi Haifa have 11 points more to their account. The visitors are in the 4th place and still have an excellent chance of making it to top-4. They have 45 points to their acccount but would have deserved 48.12 points in terms of xPTS! SC Ashdod, in the 5th place, have taken 40 points so far. They visitors have performed pretty well lately! They seem to be pretty high in confidence and also have a great team spirit at the moment according to my sources. I also trust their excellent coach very much. In their most recent match they lost to a very strong team, Beer Sheva, currently in 2nd place, at home 1-2 but the match was pretty balanced.They had 49% ball possession and recorded a decent six goal attempts – both teams recorded three shots on on goal. Before this they took three impressive win in a row. On the 15th of this month they even beat Maccabi Haifa at home2-1 as massive underdogs according the betting market! They would earn more respect from the bookies! The hosts have not been at their best lately and have won just one of their most recent four games..