Panetolikos vs Levadiakos

Panetolikos and Levadiakos lock horns in this Greek Super League Relegation Group round 31 battle at Panetolikos Stadium in Agrinio early Sunday morning. This league is of mediocre level by European standards. However, we cannot expect a particularly entertaining game here. I see this match as even more low scoring than the betting market does. I expect both teams to avoid risks and be somewhat defensive.. The probability of a draw is also high – 34% to be precise. This would bring my fans and me a winner with the recommended +0.5 goals handicap on the visitors. The biggest, often quite sharo bookmakers with the largest betting limits see the hosts as favorites here – offering them odds of around 2.70 to take all three points. I have to disagree – with today's expected lineups and current form the visitors deserve to be the favorites! The stakes are high here as both teams are in an intense struggle to avoid relegation. As most of my fans probably know at this point never let the league table fool me in any way..

The hosts currently occupy the 4th place in the standings with 29 points in their pocket.. They have, however, been somewhat lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) so far this season. They would have deserved a total of 24.33 points. The bottom-2 teams are relegated to the second tier for next season. Levadiakos are in last place but still have a pretty good chance of saving themselves from relegation. They have 23 points to their account but would have deserved 26.12 points in terms of xPTS! They have not lost any of their most recent five games and have performed pretty well lately! They are high in confidence and also have a great team spirit at the moment according to my sources. In their most recent match they played a 2-2 drae at home against Ionikos but would have deserved a win. They had 55% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts and shots on goal. The hosts have been abysmal lately! They have lost four games in a row and have not won any of their latest seven games! Their defense has been leaky lately as they have allowed 11 goals in their most recent four games. The home advantage is there but I do not think the atmosphere will be great at the stadium here.. I also do not rust their coach.