Bastia vs Amiens

Bastia and Amiens lock horns in this French Ligue 2 round 33 battle at Stade Armand Cesari early Sunday morning Beijing time. My fans and I have achieved strong long-term results betting on this league and here we have yet another very promising match to make money betting on! Bastia currently occupy the 6th place in the standings with 52 points in their pocket. However, they have been somewhat unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) so far this season. They would have deserved a total of 54.09 points. They have netted the ball 39 times in Ligue 2 so far but their number of expected goals (xG) is higher – 42.74. Furthermore, hosts have conceded 35 goals so far but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is just 31.02.. They have a clear edge over the hosts in all areas of the game here! The home advantage is, on average, substantial in this league and this game is no exception! Bastia have loud and demanding fans and have done very well at their home stadium this season winning 10/16 games recording a score difference of 21:12 in Ligue 2. Amiens, on the other hand, rarely impress on the road.. The biggest, usually pretty sharp bookmakers that accept the biggest bets from customers offer the hosts odds of around 1.90-1.95 to send Amiens back home empty-handed. We must take advantage of these too high odds with a 59% chance of winning! I would not be at all surprised to see the odds be cut before the match starts as clever money is expected to pile up on the hosts.. .

The visitors have allowed 42 goals. However, their number of xGA is much higher - 46.03! Their defense has been leaky - lately in particular. They have conceded 13 goals in their latest six games. Away from home Amiens' defense seems to lack structure, individual skill and the defenders have made too many stupid mistakes. Furthermore, the midfielders should be more active in defending. They have conceded eight goals in their most recent three games on the road. Moreover, they have lost four of their latest five away matches! Their record in their most recent six games is horrible – five defeats! In their latest game they lost to an out-of-form Valenciannes 0-2 as very clear favorites according to the bookies – priced around 1.9 to take all three points. Before this Guingamp beat them 3-1 and once again Amiens' defense looked very vulnerable. Furthermore, on the eighth of this month they did beat Nimes, currently in 19th place in this league with a total of 20 clubs, 1-0. This home win as clear favorites according to the betting market did not impress me at all. The match was a balanced one as a whole. The hosts had 53% ball possession but Nimes recorded more scoring attempts – 12-10- Both teams created three shots on goal. I would say a draw would have been a justified result

Bastia, on the other hand, have been in solid form lately! They were not quite at their best in their most recent game against Dijon away from home though. The massively motivated hosts, in threat of being relegated, played a strong game – above their normal level. It was a 1-1 draw after an intense battle. I would have wanted to see Bastia being more aggressive offensively in this game but at home they luckily play different kind of football! Indeed, they have won three home games in a row and have been very aggressive putting a lot of pressure on the visitors' defence! They have scored 10 goals in these three home matches boosted by the enthusiastic fans! In their most recent home game they crushed Annecy 3-0. It was a dominant performance – the visitors failed to record any shotson goal - Bastia had six! Moreover Bastia had 14 goal attempts – Annecy managed just three. Bastia also had over 60% ball possession and many more total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. On the first of April they beat a very dangerous team, Sochaux, currently in 4th place, 3-2 at home in a high-quality and entertaining clash and deserved the win!

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北京时间周日凌晨，巴斯蒂亚和亚眠将在第33轮法甲联赛中在阿尔芒·切萨里球场展开激战。我和我的球迷在这个联赛的投注上取得了强劲的长期成果，现在我们又有了一场非常有希望的比赛来赚钱投注!巴斯蒂亚目前在积分榜上以52分排名第六。然而，本赛季到目前为止，他们在期望积分(xPTS)方面有些不走运。他们应该得到54.09分。虽然目前在法甲联赛中打进39球，但期望进球数(xG)更高，达到42.74球。此外，东道主到目前为止丢了35个球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)只有31.02个。他们在比赛的各个方面都明显领先东道主!主场优势是，平均而言，在这个联盟，这场比赛也不例外!巴斯蒂亚的球迷呼声很高，要求很高，本赛季在他们的主场取得了非常好的成绩，10胜16负，在法甲联赛中取得了21:12的比分差。另一方面，亚眠人很少在路上留下深刻印象。最大的，通常是相当精明的博彩公司接受客户的最大赌注，给东道主提供1.90-1.95的赔率，让亚眠空手而归。我们必须利用这些过高的赔率，以59%的机会获胜!如果在比赛开始前看到赔率被降低，我一点也不会感到惊讶，因为聪明的钱预计会堆积在东道主身上。

客队丢了42个球。然而，他们的xGA数量要高得多——46.03!他们的防守漏洞百出——尤其是最近。他们在最近的6场比赛中丢了13个球。客场之战，亚眠的防守似乎缺乏结构和个人技术，后卫犯了太多愚蠢的错误。此外，中场应该更积极地防守。他们在最近的三场客场比赛中丢了8个球。此外，他们最近5场客场比赛输了4场!他们最近六场比赛的战绩很糟糕，五场失利!在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们0-2输给了状态不佳的瓦伦西亚内斯，根据博彩公司的预测，瓦伦西亚内斯是非常明显的热门球队，他们的价格在1.9左右，可以拿到全部三分。在此之前，甘甘3-1击败了他们，亚眠的防守又一次显得非常脆弱。此外，他们在本月8日以1比0击败了目前在20家俱乐部中排名第19位的尼姆斯。根据博彩市场的预测，这场主场的胜利并没有给我留下深刻的印象。比赛总体上是平衡的。主队有53%的控球率，但尼姆斯的得分次数更多——12比10。两队都有3次射门机会。我想说平局是一个合理的结果

另一方面，巴斯蒂亚最近状态很好!不过，他们在最近一场客场对阵第戎的比赛中并没有发挥出最佳状态。面对降级的威胁，热情高涨的东道主踢出了一场强劲的比赛——超出了他们的正常水平。经过一场激烈的比赛，结果是1比1战平。我本想看到巴斯蒂亚在这场比赛中更具侵略性，但幸运的是，他们在主场踢的是不同的足球!事实上，他们已经连续赢得了三场主场比赛，并且非常有侵略性，给客队的防守带来了很大的压力!在热情的球迷的推动下，他们在这三场主场比赛中进了10个球!在最近的主场比赛中，他们以3比0大胜安纳西。这是一场统治性的比赛——客队没有一个射门进球——巴斯蒂亚进了6球!此外，巴斯蒂亚有14次进球尝试，而安纳西只有3次。巴斯蒂亚的控球率也超过了60%，他的总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。4月1日，他们在主场3-2击败了一支非常危险的球队——目前排名第四的索肖队，这场比赛高质量、有趣，他们理应获胜!