I see excellent value on away side here. They should be bigger favorite. Odds are too big. +0 AH looks like great option to play. I see at least 1 points for guests and big possibility for full award.

4 reasons to play this bet today:

1. Heidenheim have good mental advantage as they won 3:1 first match of the season between both teams. It’s not long trip for guests, is less than two hours drive by car from Heidenheim. In previous season they won here. Guests not conceded a single in last 3 away matches against Furth.

2. Guests are in much better form. Heidenheim is superb team at both ends of the pitch – they already kept 12 clean sheets and it’s the best result in whole league. Not conceded in last two consecutive matches. On the other hand they have second-best offensive formation with league top scorer Kleindienst (he scored in last two matches in a row). Furth in last round lost 0:2 on away against poor Hansa from relegation and looked really awful. In last home game they won against Regensburg (other team from relegation zone), but that wasn’t convincing at all (expected goals scored for Furth 1.12, for Regensburg 1.07).

3. Furth have serious squad problems before today’s match because probably they will start without 3 key players: first goalkeeper Linde, second-best scorer Ache (7 goals) and best assistant Asta (6). That should have very bad impact on their performance.

4. Heidenheim for sure have much bigger motivation to win – they fighting to finish inside top2 and get automatic promotion. Furth plays for nothing till end of the season as they are well above relegation zone.

Excellent value on away side here.

我认为客队有极好的价值。他们应该更受欢迎。客队不败看起来是不错的选择。他们应该至少得到 1 分，并且很有可能得到全部三分。

今天的选择有 4 个理由：

1. 海登海姆在心理上占据优势，两队本赛季首战3:1取胜。对客人来说路程并不长，距离海登海姆不到两个小时的车程。上个赛季他们在这里获胜。客队近3场对阵弗斯的客场比赛未失一球。

2.客人的状态更好。海登海姆在攻防两端都是出色的球队——他们已经保持了 12 场不失球，这是全联盟最好的成绩。最近两场连续比赛未失球。另一方面，他们拥有联盟最佳射手 Kleindienst 的第二好的进攻阵型（他在最近两场比赛中连续得分）。菲尔特上轮客场0:2输给保级的可怜的罗斯托克，看起来真的很糟糕。在上一场主场比赛中他们赢了对阵雷根斯堡（降级区的另一支球队），但这一点也不令人信服（弗特的预期进球数为 1.12，雷根斯堡队的预期进球数为 1.07）。

3. 菲尔特在今天的比赛前阵容问题严重，因为他们可能会在没有 3 名关键球员的情况下开局：第一门将林德、第二射手阿切（7 球）和最佳助攻阿斯塔（6 球）。这应该会对他们的表现产生非常糟糕的影响。

4. 海登海姆肯定有更大的取胜动力——他们为进入前 2 名而战并自动晋级。由于远高于降级区，菲尔特没有任何目标。