The best bet for FIFa WC Q 2022 today
2021-03-28

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外籍分析师

欧洲预选

03/29 02:45

已完赛

解读理由:

In my opinion Isreal have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.

Israel have good H2H against Scotland - they didn't lost in 4 of last 5 matches against them. Israel won last 2 home matches in a row against them. Last time Israel played against Scotland at home 4 months ago and recorded 1:0 win.

In first match Israel lost 0:2 at home against very strong Denmark, but they didn't played bad at all. That game was very close - both teams finished with the same number of shots and identical ball possession. Denmark had 1.27 expected goals scored, Israel 0.65. Israel biggest star and top striker Zahavi recorded 6 shots and looked dangerous, he should make a lot of troubles today for Scotland defensive formation. Israel looked good with ball, they had 423 accurate passes. On the other hand Scotland in first match get one point against Austria at home (2:2), but that wasn't high quality performance (0.95 expected goals for Scotland). They looked very poor with the ball - only 292 accurate passes and 40% ball possession.

It's a long trip for Scotland and this is huge advantage for hosts because 3 days ago they played at home. Isreal is hard to break at home. Since end of 2018 Isreal lost only 3 matches at home, against Poland, Denmark and Czech Republic (teams better than Scotland). In World Cup Q Israel didn't lost at home in 22 of last 29 matches. Since start of 2019 Scotland recorded only one good away win (2:1 against Czech Republic). They failed to win in 9 of last 13 away matches and lost last two in a row without scoring a single goal.

I don't see Scotland as a favorite of this match.

在我看来,在今天的比赛中,以色列有很好的机会至少进一分。

以色列在对阵苏格兰的比赛中表现不错——他们在过去5场比赛中没有输掉4场。以色列在过去的两场主场比赛中都战胜了他们。4个月前,以色列在主场对阵苏格兰,1:0获胜。

在第一场比赛中,以色列在主场0:2输给了非常强大的丹麦,但他们踢得一点都不差。那场比赛比分非常接近,两支球队的射门次数和控球率都是一样的。丹麦的预期进球数为1.27,以色列为0.65。以色列最大的明星和顶级前锋扎哈维记录了6次射门,看起来很危险,他今天应该会给苏格兰的防守阵型带来很多麻烦。以色列在控球方面看起来不错,他们有423次准确传球。另一方面,苏格兰在主场对阵奥地利的第一场比赛中得到一分(2:2),但这并不是高质量的表现(苏格兰的0.95个预期进球)。他们的控球能力看起来很差——只有292次准确传球和40%的控球率。

这对苏格兰来说是一个漫长的旅程,这对东道主来说是一个巨大的优势,因为三天前他们还在主场比赛。以色列在国内很难攻破。自2018年底以来,以色列只在主场输了3场,对手是波兰、丹麦和捷克(比苏格兰强的球队)。在世界杯预选赛中,以色列在最近的29场主场比赛中有22场没有输掉。自2019年初以来,苏格兰只取得了一场客场胜利(2:1战胜捷克)。他们在过去13场客场比赛中有9场都没有赢球,并且在过去的两场比赛中一球未进。

我不认为苏格兰会是这场比赛的热门。

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