Newport vs Harrogate

Newport and Harrogate lock horns in this English League Two round 38 clash at Rodney Parade early Wednesday morning Beijing time. However, in reality both teams have played 43 games in the Championship this season. The season is soon coming to an end – next month to be precise. My fans and The stakes for teams are high and the motivation factor has now become one of the key things in profitable betting in many late season games. For some things there is nothing left to play for. Here neither team has anything at stake anymore. 46 rounds will be played in the regular season. Harrogate currently occupy the 21 th place in this league with a total of 24 teams and have grabbed 45 points. However, they have been lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). They would have deserved just 42.04 points. The teams that finish 23rd and 24th are relegated to the National League. They have a margin of six points to Hartlepool, currently in 23rd place. This team has a score difference of 48:76 and have played 44 games. if teams finish on equal points at the end of the season, score difference will be the tie-breaker. Harrogate, on the other hand, have netted the ball 53 times and have allowed 64 goals. This means that in reality they are safe from relegation. I would not be surprised to see their manager S. Weaver to do some squad rotation here – offering a chance for some young, promising players a chance to prove their skills. Their number of expected goals (xG) is just 46.11. The season has been a slight disappointment for them - but I believe that at the end of the day keeping their place for next season was always the realistic goal. They do not have the financial resources or good enough players to achieve anything better. Last season they finished in 19th place.

The visitors looked pretty relaxed in their most recent game away from home last Saturday knowing that they are in a strong position in terms of avoiding relegation. They made Northampton, a pretty good team, to work hard to win. 3-1 was the final score and Northampton did deserve the three points after generating 1.73 in expected goals – Harrogate's number was 0.83. Before this they took a very important but somewhat undeserved win at home over Walsall 3-0. Indeed, the final score is massively misleading as the hosts had 55% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (11-7), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Furthermore, they created 0.92 in xG – Harrogate's number was just 0.64. With the expected lineups Newport have the edge in all areas of the game here and have 58% chance of sending the visitors home empty-handed. They have scored 47 goals but their xG is 49.31. In terms of defensive quality they have a substantial edge over the visitors – they have allowed 50 goals. Newport must be a little disappointed in their season - last season they finished in 11th place but are now in 14th place. They would have had potentiel for a top-10 position.. However, they could still topple a few teams.. I do not think this, as such, really motivates them. Even so, especially in the UK the home team always wants to thank home fans at the end of the season – even with nothing at stake. There is long-term data from several leagues suggesting that matches where neither team has anything to play for have a high % of home wins. Let's remember that Newport are a better team than the standings suggest – they have 53 points to their account but their number of xPTS is 57.98. Furthermore, they have easily beaten Harrogate in the two most recent games between the two teams. On the 15th of January they were victorious as home – 4-0 was the final score. Last August they crushed Harrogate away from home, also 4-0, and did not allow the hosts any shots on target! In their most recent match Newport took a fine away win over Doncaster 3-1. The visitors recorded more goal attempts (11-6), shots on goal, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Furthermore, they created 0.91 in xG - Doncaster's number was just 0.49.

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北京时间周三凌晨，纽波特和哈罗盖特将在罗德尼广场进行英乙第38轮的交锋。然而，在现实中，这两支球队本赛季在冠军联赛中打了43场比赛。这一季很快就要结束了——确切地说，下个月。我的球迷和球队的赌注很高，动机因素现在已经成为许多赛季后期比赛中盈利的关键因素之一。有些东西已经没有什么可玩的了。在这里，双方都不再有任何利害关系。常规赛将进行46轮。目前，哈罗盖特共有24支球队，在联赛中排名第21位，并获得了45分。然而，他们在期望值(xPTS)方面是幸运的。他们本应该得到42.04分。第23名和第24名的球队被降级到国家联盟。他们与目前排名第23位的哈特尔普尔有6分的差距。这支球队的比分是48:76，已经打了44场比赛。如果两队在赛季结束时得分相等，则得分差将成为决胜局。另一方面，哈罗盖特打进53球，丢了64球。这意味着在现实中他们不会降级。如果看到他们的主教练韦弗在这里进行阵容轮换，我不会感到惊讶——给一些年轻有为的球员一个机会来证明他们的技能。他们的预期进球数(xG)只有46.11个。这个赛季对他们来说有点失望，但我相信在最后一天保持下赛季的位置一直是现实的目标。他们没有足够的财政资源，也没有足够好的球员来取得更好的成绩。上个赛季，他们排在第19位。

客队在上周六的最近一场客场比赛中看起来相当轻松，因为他们知道自己在保级方面处于有利地位。他们让北安普顿，一支很好的球队，努力去赢球。最终比分是3-1，北安普顿的预期进球数是1.73，理应得到3分——哈罗盖特的预期进球数是0.83。在此之前，他们在主场3-0战胜沃尔索尔取得了一场非常重要但有些不太值得的胜利。事实上，最终的比分很容易被误导，因为主队拥有55%的控球率，并且有更多的进球次数(11-7)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。此外，他们在xG中创造了0.92，而哈罗盖特的数字只有0.64。按照预期的阵容，纽波特在比赛的各个方面都有优势，有58%的机会让客队空手而归。他们进了47个球，但他们的xG值是49.31。就防守质量而言，他们比客队有很大的优势——他们丢了50个球。纽波特这个赛季一定有点失望，上赛季他们排在第11位，但现在排在第14位。他们本来有可能进入前十的位置。然而，他们仍然可以推翻一些球队…我不认为这能真正激励他们。即便如此，特别是在英国，主队总是想在赛季结束时感谢主场球迷——即使没有任何利害关系。来自几个联赛的长期数据表明，两支球队都没有什么可争的比赛主场胜率很高。让我们记住，纽波特是一支比排名显示的更好的球队——他们的账户上有53分，但他们的xPTS数是57.98。此外，他们在两队最近的两场比赛中轻松击败了哈罗盖特。1月15日，他们在主场以4:0的比分取得了胜利。去年8月，他们在客场4-0击败了哈罗盖特，并且没有让东道主射正!在他们最近的一场比赛中，纽波特客场3:1完胜唐卡斯特。客队的进球次数(11-6)、射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都更多。此外，他们在xG中创造了0.91，而唐卡斯特的数字仅为0.49。