FC Voluntari VS Petrolul Ploiesti
FC Voluntari welcome Petrolul for this Romanian Liga 1 Relegation Group round 5 clash at Stadionul Anghel Iordanescu late early Tuesday morning Beijing time. My fans and I have done amazingly well betting on Liga 1 that is of mediocre level by European standards. The differences in class between the strongest teams and the lowly teams are, however, unfortunately big. We have no reason to expect a massively entertaining game here but I have spotted yet another very good betting opportunity! Yes,with today's expected lineups the hosts are the stronger team but only by a very thin margin. The points calculation system in the Relegation Group is a little confusing so let's take a look at the regular season to best understand the teams' class - as well as their strengths and weaknesses. After the regular season, 30 rounds of play, that is to be precise, Voluntari had had 34 points to their account and had a score difference of 28:32. That's a pretty good goal difference for a team that ended up in 10th place.. Their number of expected points (xPTS) during the regular season was 35.67 so they were, in fact, a little unlucky.. Petrolul managed to grab 36 points in the regular season and their number of xPTS was 35.41. I have not been very impressed by the hosts' offense so far this season. It does lack creativity and speed - the structure, however, has been pretty good in most games recently. In my opinion,they should have acquired one more skilled striker.. The bookies seem to give too much emphasis to their potential - and probably the home advantage as well - here. They have, after all, won just one of their most recent six games in front of their fans who are, in all honesty, not that great by Romanian standards..Even so, they have a 43% chance of sending the visitors home empty-handed but the biggest, pretty often relatively smart bookies offer them odds of around 1.83-1.90 - way too low! Indeed, the smart choice here Petrolul with the +0.5 goals handicap option! Let's not forget that Voluntari have failed to defeat Petrolul in any of the most recent four matches between the two teams. Furthermore, according to a well-known and respected source, a German website Transfermarkt.com the teams' squads are almost equally valued - at around 10 million euros.
In the Championship Group the hosts have netted the ball seven times in four games. Petrolul, on the other hand, have scored four times but have also allowed less goals than the hosts 2 vs 4. Both teams have been in pretty good form lately - at least results-wise.. However, Petrolul did suffer an undeserved loss in their most recent match. It was a home game against Universitatea Cluj and the visitors escaped with a 1-0 win. Petrolul had 60% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (10-6), total passes, completed passes, tackles, attacks (162-118) and dangerous attacks - 103-84. However, before this game they were strong and won four of the five matches! I expect both teams to be somewhat happy with a point here and should the score be level late into the second-half, big risks are probably avoided.. I believe both teams will avoid relegation - at the moment the visitors have four more points than Voluntari in the bank and have looked much more relaxed on the pitch recently.. They will probably be defensive here right from the kickoff - and as their defense has a good structure and silly mistakes are few the score might well be 0-0 for a long time.. Voluntari will probably have more ball possession especially in the first half but they know Petrolul can be very deadly on counter-attacks and transitions so I believe their coach to highlight to his players the importance of remaining calm and patient.. Voluntari have not lost a match since February but have not, on the other hand, won more than one of their most recent games! Especially some of their offensive players seem to pretty often lack confidence at critical moments.. Not a good sign ahead of this game for sure.. They played a 3-3 draw at home in their most recent game and yes scoring three goals away from home is a good achievement but their defense looked pretty leaky! Before this they failed to beat UTA Arad, currently in 8th place in this group with a total of 10 clubs. It was not a good performance as solid favorites according to the bookies. Once again they were clearly overvalued! The visitors had 53% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts 12-10 - both teams created five shots on target. Voluntari would probably have to improve - or have some luck on their side to take a win here!
本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:
北京时间周二凌晨,在罗马尼亚甲级联赛第5轮的比赛中,自愿足球俱乐部将在安赫尔-约丹内斯库球场迎来与petrol的比赛。我和我的球迷在西甲的投注上都做得非常好,而按照欧洲的标准来看,西甲的水平是中等的。然而,不幸的是,实力最强的球队和实力较弱的球队之间的等级差异很大。我们没有理由期待一场非常有趣的比赛,但我发现了另一个非常好的赌博机会!是的,在今天的预期阵容中,东道主是更强的球队,但只是微弱的优势。保级组的积分计算系统有点混乱,所以让我们来看看常规赛的情况,以便更好地了解球队的级别,以及他们的优势和劣势。在常规赛结束后的30轮比赛中,志愿者队得到了34分,比分差距为28:32。对于一支最终排名第10的球队来说,这是一个相当不错的净胜球。他们在常规赛的预期得分(xPTS)是35.67,所以他们实际上有点不走运。汽油队在常规赛中拿到了36分,他们的得分为35.41分。本赛季到目前为止,东道主的进攻并没有给我留下深刻的印象。它确实缺乏创造力和速度——然而,在最近的大多数比赛中,它的结构还是相当不错的。在我看来,他们应该多引进一名技术娴熟的前锋。博彩公司似乎过于强调他们的潜力——可能还有主场优势——在这里。毕竟,在最近的六场比赛中,他们只在球迷面前赢了一场,说实话,以罗马尼亚的标准来看,他们的球迷并不那么出色,即使如此,他们有43%的机会让客队空手而归,但最大的,通常相对聪明的博彩公司给出的赔率约为1.83-1.90——太低了!的确,明智的选择在这里与+0.5目标障碍选项的石油!让我们不要忘记,在最近的四场比赛中,志愿塔里没有击败过石油队。此外,根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com的消息,两支球队的球员价值几乎相当,都在1000万欧元左右。
在英冠组,东道主在4场比赛中7次进球。另一方面,石油队进了4球,但丢的球也比主队少(2比4)。两支球队最近的状态都很好——至少在结果方面。然而,在最近的一场比赛中,汽油队确实遭受了不应有的损失。这是一场主场对阵克鲁日大学的比赛,客队以1-0获胜。佩德罗的控球率为60%,进球次数(10胜6负)、传球次数、完成传球次数、抢断次数、进攻次数(162胜118负)和危险进攻次数(103胜84负)也更多。然而,在这场比赛之前,他们很强大,赢了五场比赛中的四场!我希望两支球队都对在这里得到一分感到高兴,如果下半场比分持平,可能会避免很大的风险。我相信两支球队都能保级——目前客队的银行存款比志愿塔里多4分,而且最近在球场上看起来轻松多了。他们可能会从开球开始就在这里防守,因为他们的防守结构很好,愚蠢的错误很少,比分很可能在很长一段时间内都是0-0。沃尔塔里可能会有更多的控球权,尤其是在上半场,但他们知道佩尔鲁在反击和转换时是非常致命的,所以我相信他们的教练会向球员强调保持冷静和耐心的重要性。自二月份以来,志愿军没有输过一场比赛,但另一方面,他们最近的比赛没有赢过一场以上!特别是他们的一些进攻球员似乎经常在关键时刻缺乏信心。在这场比赛之前,这肯定不是一个好迹象。他们在最近的一场比赛中主场3-3战平,是的,在客场打进3球是一个很好的成就,但是他们的防守看起来相当漏洞!在此之前,他们未能击败UTA Arad,后者目前在该小组中排名第8,共有10家俱乐部。根据博彩公司的说法,这并不是一个很好的表现。他们又一次被明显高估了!客队有53%的控球率,12比10的进球次数更多——两队都有5次射正。voltari可能需要改进——或者有一些运气在他们这边取得胜利!