7/7 latest WON in this league! $$$
2023-04-24

Tapio

外籍分析师

解读理由:

Universitatea Cluj VS CS Mioveni

Universitatea Cluj welcome Mioveni for this Romanian Liga 1 Relegation Group round 5 clash at Cluj Arena in Cluj-Napoca late Monday evening Beijing time. My fans and I have done extremely well betting on this league that is of mediocre level by European standards. The differences in class between the best teams and the worst teams are, however, substantial. We cannot expect a particularly entertaining game here but I have spotted yet another lucrative betting opportunity! There is, of course, no doubt about the fact that the hosts are the better team here - in all areas of the game. The points calculation system in the Relegation Group is a little complicated so let's take a look at the regular season to best understand the teams class - as well as strengths and weaknesses. After the regular season, 30 rounds of play, that is, U. Cluj had 34 points in the pocket and had a score difference of 25:37. That's a pretty weak goal difference.. Their number of expected points (xPTS) during the regular season was just 30.34. I have not been too convinced by their offense so far this season. It lacks creativity, speed, structure and passis accuracy. They have often been in quite a lot of problems to break the opponents defense when they defend with 10 or even all 11 men.. In the Championship Group they have netted the ball five times in four gamess.

Mioveni, on the other hand, scored 23 goals during the regular season. Indeed, by pure class their offense is not massively worse than that of the hosts. They conceded 45 goals but their number of expected goals allowed was 41.98. I expect Mioveni to be very defensive, perhaps even cautious and make Universitatea Cluj work very hard for every goal! The home advantage is there, of course, but U. Cluj do not have the best fans and meeting a lowly team like Mioveni in a match that starts quite early (17:30 local time) on a weekday will probably not excite the fans too much.. I do not expect the atmosphere to be very good here. I believe U. Cluj would be perfectly happy with a win and will probably focus on protecting a one goal lead. They need points to avoid relegation but I expect them - with a high probability - to drop down from the current 12th place in the standings before the season comes to an end.. The teams that finish 13-14th place still have a chance to save themselves from relegation at the end of the season but those who finish 15-16th will suffer the terrible fate of playing in the second tier next season.. Yes, Mioveni's situation is bad but they are still a better team than the recent results suggest! The betting market has given the motivation factor too much emphasis here. This is something I have written about many times before.. The two teams locked horns in February and it was a 2-2 at this same stadium. In this game the hosts were priced around 2.00 to win - quite different compared to today's 1.45-1.50 the biggest, often pretty smart bookies with the largest stake limits offer here!

U. Cluj took a 2-0 win away from home in their most recent game over Petrolul. Indeed, they won 2-0 but the match was a balanced one and could easily have gone either way. petrolul had 60% and recorded many more total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. Both teams had 10 goal attempts and U. Cluj created a few more shots on goal. Before this they were disappointing at home losing to U Craiova 1948 1-3 at home as solid favorites, priced around 2.10 to win by the bookies. They recorded just one shot on target. However, I want to mention the hosts' A. Miron was sent off in the second half. The visitors have lost several games in a row but are still fighting and look motivated on the pitch. In their most recent game they lost to a pretty good team, Hermannstadt 0-2 on the visitors were unarguably the better team. Even so, Mioveni had 55% ball possession and recorded eight scoring attempts and almost the same number of dangerous attacks as the visitors. A draw would not have been too unjustified.. Before this they faced Petrolul away from home as very clear underdogs and were unlucky to lose 0-2, Indeed, they had 57% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (9-4), shot on goal (2-1) total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. U. Cluj have a 55-56 % chance of winning so the +0.5 option on the visitors is an option for the fans who want to go for big odds but the recommended bet is Mioveni +1.5 goals with 73% chance of bringing us yet another winner!

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

北京时间周一晚间,克卢日大学将在克卢日纳波卡的克卢日体育馆欢迎米奥韦尼参加罗马尼亚甲级联赛第5轮的比赛。我和我的球迷都很看好这个以欧洲标准来说处于中等水平的联赛。然而,最好的球队和最差的球队在级别上的差异是巨大的。我们不能期待一场特别有趣的比赛,但我发现了另一个有利可图的赌博机会!当然,毫无疑问,主队在这里是一支更好的球队——在比赛的各个方面。保级组的积分计算系统有点复杂,所以让我们来看看常规赛的情况,以便更好地了解球队的级别,以及他们的优势和劣势。常规赛结束后,30轮比赛,也就是u - Cluj的口袋里有34分,比分差距为25:37。这是一个相当微弱的净胜球。他们在常规赛的预期得分(xPTS)只有30.34分。本赛季到目前为止,我还不太相信他们的进攻。它缺乏创造力、速度、结构和传球准确性。当他们用10人甚至11人防守时,他们经常遇到很多问题来突破对手的防守。在英冠组,他们在4场比赛中打进5球。

另一方面,米奥韦尼在常规赛中打进23球。事实上,从纯粹的等级来看,他们的进攻并不比东道主差多少。他们丢了45个球,但他们的预期失球数是41.98个。我希望米奥韦尼非常防守,甚至可能是谨慎的,让克鲁日大学为每一个进球都非常努力!当然,主场优势是存在的,但克鲁日并没有最好的球迷,而且在工作日开始得很早(当地时间17:30)的比赛中遇到像米奥韦尼这样的低水平球队,可能不会让球迷太兴奋。我不认为这里的气氛会很好。我相信克鲁日会很高兴赢球,并且很可能会专注于保持一球的领先优势。他们需要积分才能保级,但我预计他们很有可能在赛季结束前从目前的第12位下滑。排在第13-14名的球队还有机会在赛季结束后保级,但排在第15-16名的球队下赛季将面临在乙级联赛踢球的可怕命运。是的,米奥韦尼的情况很糟糕,但他们仍然是一支比最近的结果所显示的更好的球队!博彩市场在这里过分强调了动机因素。这是我以前写过很多次的事情。今年2月,这两支球队在同一个体育场上演了一场2比2的大战。在这场比赛中,东道主的胜率约为2.00,与今天的1.45-1.50有很大不同,这是最大的,通常是非常聪明的博彩公司提供的最大赌注限制!

克鲁日队最近在客场2-0战胜了汽油队。的确,他们以2比0获胜,但这场比赛是一场势均力敌的比赛,两种结果都有可能发生。佩特罗的传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都比他多。两队都有10次射门机会,克鲁日创造了更多的射门机会。在此之前,他们在主场令人失望地以1-3输给了克拉约瓦(1948),虽然他们是最受欢迎的球队,但博彩公司的胜率在2.10左右。他们只记录了一次射正。然而,我想提一下主队的米隆在下半场被罚下。客队已经连续输了几场比赛,但他们仍然在战斗,在球场上看起来很有动力。在他们最近的一场比赛中,他们输给了一支相当不错的球队,赫尔曼施塔特0-2不敌客队,毫无疑问客队更强。即便如此,米奥韦尼的控球率为55%,他有8次进球尝试,而且他的危险进攻次数几乎与客队相同。平局不会太不公平。在此之前,他们在客场面对汽油队时明显处于劣势,并且不幸以0比2输掉比赛。事实上,他们有57%的控球率,记录了更多的进球次数(9比4),射门次数(2比1),总传球次数,完成传球次数,攻击次数和危险攻击次数。克卢日有55- 56%的胜率,所以客队+0.5的赔率是想要大赔率的球迷的一个选择,但建议的赌注是米奥韦尼+1.5。

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