On Sunday night, 5 games in the Italian Serie A are going to happen. One of the matches is going to be between AC Milan and Leece. After 30 games, Milan has 15 wins, 8 draws, 7 losses, a total of 53 points and 5th place while Lecce has 6 wins, 10 draws, 14 losses, a total of 28 points and 16th place. In this game, I'm predicting that Milan is going to win.

The atmosphere in Milan's camp should be good as the team secured a place in the Champions League's semifinal a few days ago. The situation isn't so bright in the Serie A where they climb down to 5th position after Juventus got back their 15 points. Last week, Milan drew on the road versus Bologna although Milan had an xG of 1.45 and the opponents only had 0.62. Prior to this game, Milan hosted Empoli. The team had 1.99 xG, opponents had only 0.10, Milan controlled the ball 70% of the time, and made 23 shots but wasn't able to win - 0:0. Despite the recent poor results in the championship, Milan has 9 wins and 3 draws in 14 home games this season, with a total of 28 goals scored and 17 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.95 goals at home (5th best) and concede 1.23 (5th best).

Lecce is fighting to keep their place in Serie A and they are 5 points above it. Last week, Lecce drew against Sampdoria at home but before that, they lost 6 in a row. What's even more frustrating - during the losing streak, Lecce scored only once. On the road, Lecce has lost 3 games in a row. Overall this season, Lecce has 4 wins and 3 draws in 15 road games, with a total of 11 goals scored and 16 conceded. Per xG, the team is expected to score 0.90 goals on the road (the worst) and concede 1.74 (7th worst).

Zlatan Ibrahimovic won't be able to help Milan because of an injury while Davide Calabria is disqualified for too many yellow cards. For Lecce, Marin Pongracic is out with an injury.

In the 1st matchup of the season, both teams scored 2 goals (2:2), while Milan had a little bit better xG. In the last 9 meetings in Milan, the home team has won 8 times. I'm picking AC Milan to win this game because they are just a better team. They need points to get a better position in the standings as their place in the Champions League isn't guaranteed right now. Milan is 3 points behind 4th place Roma and they are meeting next week, so everything depends only on the Milan players.

周日晚上，意大利甲级联赛将进行 5 场比赛。其中一场比赛将在 AC 米兰和；莱切之间进行。30轮过后，米兰15胜8平7负积53分排名第5，莱切6胜10平14负积28分排名第16。在这场比赛中，我预测米兰会赢。

米兰阵营的气氛应该是不错的，因为球队在几天前已经锁定了欧冠半决赛的席位。意甲的情况并不乐观，在尤文图斯拿回 15 分后，他们的排名下滑至第 5 位。上周，米兰在客场战平了博洛尼亚，尽管米兰的 xG 为 1.45，而对手只有 0.62。本场比赛之前，米兰主场迎战恩波利。全队1.99的预期进球，对手只有0.10，米兰70%的控球率，23次射门都未能取胜——0:0。尽管近期英冠成绩不佳，米兰14个主场9胜3平本赛季比赛，一共打进28球，失17球。根据预期进球，球队预计将在主场进 1.95 个球（第 5 名）并失球 1.23 个（第 5 名）。

莱切正在努力保住他们在意甲的位置，他们高出 5 分。上周，莱切主场战平桑普多利亚，但在此之前，他们已经遭遇了6连败。更令人沮丧的是——在连败期间，莱切只取得了一次进球。客场，莱切3连败。本赛季整体来看，莱切在15场客场比赛中取得4胜3平的成绩，总共打进11球失16球。平均预期进球，球队预计客场进球数为 0.90（最差），失球数为 1.74（第 7 差）。

兹拉坦·伊布拉希莫维奇因伤无法帮助米兰，而达维德·卡拉布里亚则因黄牌过多被停赛。莱切方面，马林·庞格拉西奇因伤缺阵。

本赛季第1场交手，两队各进2球（2:2），而米兰的预期进球稍胜一筹。在过去的 9 次交手中AC米兰8次取胜。我选择 AC 米兰赢得这场比赛，因为他们是一支更好的球队。他们需要积分才能在积分榜上获得更好的位置，因为他们在冠军联赛中的位置目前还没有保证。米兰落后第4名的罗马3分，他们下周将相遇，所以一切都取决于米兰球员。