Audax Italiano VS Universidad de Chile

Audax Italiano welcome U. De Chile for this Chilien Primera Division round 10 clash at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida in Santiago de Chile early Monday morning Beijing time. This is league is of pretty low-level by global standars but there are some pretty talented youngsters in this league. Typically for other South American leagues it is a low-scoring league. According to my sources Audax Italiano have been working in their defensive strategies a lot on the training pitch recently as they have had some problems in this area of the game early season. Indeed, they have allowed 14 goals in this league so far this. However, in terms of expected goals allowed( xGA) they should have allowed just 11.24 goals. I expect them to be pretty defensive here – even in front of demanding home fans. The fans are loyal and will surely boost the hosts a lot here. The goal expectancy here is much lower than the betting market thinks and the draw would not surprise anyone. This result would be enough for my fans and me to win. In their most recent match Audax Italiano defended very well away from home against Union La Calera – no goals were scored. The visitors were clear underdogs on the betting market so the result is a fine one.

Before the La Calera game the hosts were not at their best but still playeed 2-2 draw at home against O'Higgins after a pretty balanced battle. They should start converting draws to win - and would consequently climb up the standings. As my fans know by now I never let the league table fool me. The hosts have just seven points to their account but would have deserved much more in terms of expected points. The biggest, often quite smart bookies have the wrong favorite here. The visitors are in decline and have not won any of their most recent three games and have had some luck on their side not to lose. Their defense is solid though so the hosts are unlikely to score more than two goals here. Even 0-0 would not be a surprise. Traditionally the visitors are not strong on the road and are respected way too much here by the bookies.