The 2nd game in La Liga on Sunday night is going to be between Getafe and Barcelona. After 28 games, Getafe has 7 wins, 9 draws, 12 losses, a total of 30 points and 16th place while Barcelona has 23 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses, a total of 72 points and 1st place. In this game, I'm predicting that Barcelona is going to win.
Getafe is fighting to be over the relegation zone and they have done it pretty well with 8 points in the last 5 games. At home, Getafe has won 3 games in a row but the opponents weren't the best: Sevilla (13th best), Girona (12th) and Valencia (18th). Overall this season, Getafe has 5 wins and 4 draws in 14 home games, with a total of 16 goals scored and 16 conceded. Per xG, Getafe is expected to score 0.98 goals at home (the worst) and concede 1.42.
The last 2 games weren't the best for Barcelona. In the Spanish Cup semifinal, Barcelona was blown out by Real (0:4) and it was followed by a 0:0 draw at home versus Girona. Although teams didn't score, Barcelona's xG was 1.31 while Girona had only 0.60. Barcelona won the previous 2 road games, and the team is the best road team this season with 12 wins in 14 games, with a total of 26 goals scored (2nd best) and 7 conceded (the best). Per xG, the team is expected to score 1.76 goals on the road (2nd best) and concede 1.36 (2nd best).
Getafe look set to be without key midfielder Mauro Arambarri this weekend, and veteran forward Jaime Mata also remains sidelined with a calf injury. As for Barcelona, they are going to be without Ousmane Dembele, Frenkie de Jong and Pedri. Out of the last 4 meetings, Barcelona has won 3 times. With 2 bad games in a row, I'm expecting Barcelona to be very focused. Yes, they are 10 points above 2nd place Real Madrid but they can't give opponents too many gifts.